NWMSU destroyed MSSU in Joplin 96-75
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2019-20 Performance Indicators
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PI Rank Team Region Conference Record Win% P.I. O.W% O.O.W% Regional Record Regional% RPI RPI Rank 1 Northwest Missouri State Central MIAA 21-1 95.45% 17.14 50.00% 51.29% 20-1 95.24% 0.616 6 21 Missouri Southern Central MIAA 16-5 76.19% 15.05 52.35% 50.79% 16-4 80.00% 0.589 22 34 Southeastern Oklahoma State Central GAC 17-6 73.91% 14.70 55.68% 51.27% 16-5 76.19% 0.597 13 36 Northern State Central NSIC 20-6 76.92% 14.69 51.75% 50.57% 20-6 76.92% 0.577 36 41 Rogers State Central MIAA 17-5 77.27% 14.45 48.21% 49.67% 17-5 77.27% 0.558 54 42 Southern Nazarene Central GAC 18-7 72.00% 14.44 55.29% 51.13% 18-7 72.00% 0.584 25 44 Minnesota Duluth Central NSIC 19-7 73.08% 14.38 51.56% 50.34% 18-7 72.00% 0.564 47 52 Sioux Falls Central NSIC 19-6 76.00% 14.12 45.79% 50.57% 19-6 76.00% 0.545 77 61 Oklahoma Baptist Central GAC 15-8 65.22% 13.70 53.47% 51.09% 15-8 65.22% 0.558 55 85 Upper Iowa Central NSIC 16-9 64.00% 13.16 48.07% 50.02% 16-9 64.00% 0.525 111 86 Henderson State Central GAC 15-7 68.18% 13.14 49.32% 51.72% 15-7 68.18% 0.546 74 106 Nebraska Kearney Central MIAA 13-9 59.09% 12.77 48.56% 50.18% 13-9 59.09% 0.516 128 107 East Central Central GAC 13-8 61.90% 12.76 51.21% 51.81% 12-8 60.00% 0.536 92 108 Augustana Central NSIC 14-10 58.33% 12.75 50.10% 49.68% 14-10 58.33% 0.520 122 112 Winona State Central NSIC 13-10 56.52% 12.61 51.49% 49.78% 13-10 56.52% 0.523 117 114 Washburn Central MIAA 12-10 54.55% 12.59 53.33% 50.85% 11-9 55.00% 0.531 102 116 MSU Moorhead Central NSIC 12-10 54.55% 12.55 53.31% 49.75% 12-10 54.55% 0.527 110 121 Northeastern State Central MIAA 13-9 59.09% 12.36 46.62% 50.13% 13-9 59.09% 0.506 146 131 Arkansas Monticello Central GAC 14-9 60.87% 12.09 48.05% 51.16% 11-9 55.00% 0.506 147 136 Minnesota State Central NSIC 13-12 52.00% 12.04 49.60% 49.81% 13-10 56.52% 0.514 132 140 Missouri Western Central MIAA 12-12 50.00% 11.96 48.95% 51.11% 12-9 57.14% 0.515 129 161 Southwestern Oklahoma State Central GAC 12-12 50.00% 11.29 49.38% 51.36% 12-12 50.00% 0.500 156 169 Fort Hays State Central MIAA 8-12 40.00% 11.10 51.73% 49.36% 8-12 40.00% 0.482 181 170 Bemidji State Central NSIC 10-12 45.45% 11.09 48.76% 49.89% 9-11 45.00% 0.481 183 174 Minnesota Crookston Central NSIC 10-15 40.00% 11.00 51.30% 49.63% 10-15 40.00% 0.481 185 176 Lincoln (Mo.) Central MIAA 9-13 40.91% 10.95 51.94% 50.14% 9-13 40.91% 0.487 173 177 St. Cloud State Central NSIC 10-13 43.48% 10.91 49.00% 49.97% 10-13 43.48% 0.479 188 189 Arkansas Tech Central GAC 9-12 42.86% 10.67 51.93% 51.23% 9-12 42.86% 0.495 164 195 Southern Arkansas Central GAC 10-13 43.48% 10.52 49.13% 50.74% 10-13 43.48% 0.481 182 212 Pittsburg State Central MIAA 6-14 30.00% 10.05 56.10% 49.57% 6-13 31.58% 0.483 179 217 Ouachita Baptist Central GAC 8-13 38.10% 9.95 51.98% 50.80% 8-13 38.10% 0.482 180 231 Wayne State (Neb.) Central NSIC 8-19 29.63% 9.63 51.69% 49.66% 8-18 30.77% 0.460 220 245 U-Mary Central NSIC 7-15 31.82% 9.23 48.04% 49.47% 7-15 31.82% 0.443 248 247 Concordia-St. Paul Central NSIC 6-16 27.27% 9.14 49.29% 49.54% 6-16 27.27% 0.438 256 249 Central Oklahoma Central MIAA 7-17 29.17% 9.13 46.31% 49.74% 7-17 29.17% 0.429 271 250 Northwestern Oklahoma State Central GAC 6-16 27.27% 9.05 52.43% 50.96% 6-16 27.27% 0.458 224 253 Emporia State Central MIAA 5-14 26.32% 9.00 49.35% 50.46% 5-14 26.32% 0.439 255 255 Central Missouri Central MIAA 6-15 28.57% 8.95 50.00% 50.09% 5-15 25.00% 0.438 258 258 Newman Central MIAA 5-17 22.73% 8.91 49.45% 49.75% 5-17 22.73% 0.428 272 262 Southwest Minnesota State Central NSIC 5-19 20.83% 8.75 49.30% 49.49% 5-18 21.74% 0.425 275 264 Minot State Central NSIC 7-16 30.43% 8.74 46.29% 49.83% 7-16 30.43% 0.432 268 277 Harding Central GAC 5-16 23.81% 8.38 50.00% 50.85% 5-16 23.81% 0.437 261
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(Posted in "Regional ranking predictions" thread under General Discussion)Being the only conference with four teams in the top 10, coupled with being the only conference that plays a double round robin, means that the GAC teams have played more games against other top 10 teams than the MIAA and NSIC teams have. That could prove to be helpful for the conference. Meanwhile, Missouri Southern is 0-2 against the rest of the top 10, Northern State is 1-4, and Sioux Falls is 1-1. (Is 1-1 really a worse record than 3-4? Maybe not, but Oklahoma Baptist's 3-4 includes wins over SEOSU and SNU.)
I expect these teams, in some order, to be the committee's top 10. Upper Iowa has a nice 4-1 mark against the top 10, but I don't think that's enough to get them in.
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I believe that the MIAA has 3 teams locked into the regional right now and the GAC has two. For the NSIC if Northern and Duluth take care of business and each win their next 3 games against bad opponents they are in. That leaves one spot and I would say that it is USF's to lose. They will need to beat Augie this weekend and if they win a couple games in the NSIC tourney I think they will be in. Of course Upper Iowa, Winona, Mankato, Augie, or Moorhead could win the NSIC tourney and take that last spot as well. If USF falters and either Northern or Duluth win the tourney then there will be a third GAC team.
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Originally posted by Thunder View PostI believe that the MIAA has 3 teams locked into the regional right now and the GAC has two. For the NSIC if Northern and Duluth take care of business and each win their next 3 games against bad opponents they are in. That leaves one spot and I would say that it is USF's to lose. They will need to beat Augie this weekend and if they win a couple games in the NSIC tourney I think they will be in. Of course Upper Iowa, Winona, Mankato, Augie, or Moorhead could win the NSIC tourney and take that last spot as well. If USF falters and either Northern or Duluth win the tourney then there will be a third GAC team.
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Originally posted by Inkblot View Post(Posted in "Regional ranking predictions" thread under General Discussion)Being the only conference with four teams in the top 10, coupled with being the only conference that plays a double round robin, means that the GAC teams have played more games against other top 10 teams than the MIAA and NSIC teams have. That could prove to be helpful for the conference. Meanwhile, Missouri Southern is 0-2 against the rest of the top 10, Northern State is 1-4, and Sioux Falls is 1-1. (Is 1-1 really a worse record than 3-4? Maybe not, but Oklahoma Baptist's 3-4 includes wins over SEOSU and SNU.)
I expect these teams, in some order, to be the committee's top 10. Upper Iowa has a nice 4-1 mark against the top 10, but I don't think that's enough to get them in.
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PI Rank Regional Rank Team Region Conference Record Win% P.I. O.W% O.O.W% Regional Record Regional% Ranked Record Ranked% RPI RPI Rank 2 C1 Northwest Missouri State Central MIAA 23-1 95.83% 16.96 50.10% 51.54% 22-1 95.65% 6-0 100.0% 0.618 4 27 C7 Rogers State Central MIAA 19-5 79.17% 14.79 49.24% 49.83% 19-5 79.17% 3-1 75.0% 0.569 42 29 C5 Northern State Central NSIC 22-6 78.57% 14.71 50.22% 50.31% 22-6 78.57% 2-4 33.3% 0.573 37 39 C3 Missouri Southern Central MIAA 16-7 69.57% 14.43 54.24% 50.61% 16-6 72.73% 0-4 0.0% 0.580 30 42 C4 Southern Nazarene Central GAC 20-7 74.07% 14.30 53.33% 51.00% 20-7 74.07% 5-4 55.6% 0.579 31 43 C2 Southeastern Oklahoma State Central GAC 18-7 72.00% 14.28 54.68% 51.03% 17-6 73.91% 4-4 50.0% 0.586 21 47 C6 Minnesota Duluth Central NSIC 20-8 71.43% 14.14 51.10% 50.36% 19-8 70.37% 5-2 71.4% 0.557 51 56 C9 Sioux Falls Central NSIC 20-7 74.07% 13.74 45.50% 50.44% 20-7 74.07% 1-1 50.0% 0.539 82 61 C8 Oklahoma Baptist Central GAC 17-8 68.00% 13.60 51.61% 51.16% 17-8 68.00% 3-4 42.9% 0.556 52 66 C10 Henderson State Central GAC 17-7 70.83% 13.42 48.96% 51.70% 17-7 70.83% 3-3 50.0% 0.551 61 98 Augustana Central NSIC 16-10 61.54% 12.85 49.92% 49.61% 16-10 61.54% 2-3 40.0% 0.527 106 103 Upper Iowa Central NSIC 17-10 62.96% 12.67 47.56% 50.03% 17-10 62.96% 4-1 80.0% 0.520 123 107 Winona State Central NSIC 15-10 60.00% 12.60 51.01% 49.75% 15-10 60.00% 2-4 33.3% 0.529 102 117 Washburn Central MIAA 14-10 58.33% 12.42 50.52% 51.18% 13-9 59.09% 0-6 0.0% 0.528 104 121 Northeastern State Central MIAA 14-10 58.33% 12.38 46.56% 50.42% 14-10 58.33% 1-3 25.0% 0.505 149 124 MSU Moorhead Central NSIC 13-11 54.17% 12.25 51.84% 49.62% 13-11 54.17% 1-5 16.7% 0.519 128 125 Missouri Western Central MIAA 14-12 53.85% 12.19 48.61% 51.47% 14-9 60.87% 2-4 33.3% 0.524 115 130 Nebraska Kearney Central MIAA 13-11 54.17% 12.08 50.28% 49.87% 13-11 54.17% 2-4 33.3% 0.512 139 134 East Central Central GAC 13-10 56.52% 11.96 50.30% 51.59% 12-10 54.55% 2-5 28.6% 0.517 131 144 Arkansas Monticello Central GAC 15-10 60.00% 11.84 49.49% 51.28% 12-10 54.55% 2-4 33.3% 0.512 138 159 Minnesota State Central NSIC 13-14 48.15% 11.37 50.34% 49.61% 13-12 52.00% 1-4 20.0% 0.506 146 162 Bemidji State Central NSIC 12-12 50.00% 11.29 49.72% 49.82% 11-11 50.00% 1-4 20.0% 0.498 160 174 Southern Arkansas Central GAC 12-13 48.00% 11.00 50.00% 51.11% 12-13 48.00% 3-4 42.9% 0.498 162 177 Southwestern Oklahoma State Central GAC 12-14 46.15% 10.92 50.18% 50.78% 12-14 46.15% 1-7 12.5% 0.493 169 179 Fort Hays State Central MIAA 9-13 40.91% 10.91 52.48% 49.45% 9-13 40.91% 0-5 0.0% 0.488 173 181 St. Cloud State Central NSIC 11-14 44.00% 10.80 48.39% 50.03% 11-14 44.00% 1-4 20.0% 0.477 190 192 Minnesota Crookston Central NSIC 10-17 37.04% 10.41 51.74% 49.62% 10-17 37.04% 1-6 14.3% 0.475 194 195 Lincoln (Mo.) Central MIAA 9-15 37.50% 10.33 51.25% 50.28% 9-15 37.50% 0-6 0.0% 0.476 191 201 Ouachita Baptist Central GAC 10-13 43.48% 10.26 50.68% 51.00% 10-13 43.48% 2-6 25.0% 0.490 171 217 Arkansas Tech Central GAC 9-14 39.13% 9.87 53.19% 51.23% 9-14 39.13% 2-7 22.2% 0.492 170 223 U-Mary Central NSIC 8-16 33.33% 9.75 49.65% 49.57% 8-16 33.33% 0-5 0.0% 0.456 232 230 Pittsburg State Central MIAA 6-16 27.27% 9.59 57.70% 49.43% 6-15 28.57% 1-6 14.3% 0.484 180 239 Central Oklahoma Central MIAA 8-17 32.00% 9.36 46.20% 49.56% 8-17 32.00% 0-5 0.0% 0.435 266 248 Central Missouri Central MIAA 7-16 30.43% 9.17 50.20% 50.03% 6-16 27.27% 2-2 50.0% 0.444 252 249 Wayne State (Neb.) Central NSIC 8-21 27.59% 9.10 50.99% 49.30% 8-20 28.57% 0-7 0.0% 0.450 242 251 Concordia-St. Paul Central NSIC 7-17 29.17% 9.00 50.09% 49.42% 7-17 29.17% 0-4 0.0% 0.447 245 264 Minot State Central NSIC 7-18 28.00% 8.80 47.88% 49.91% 7-18 28.00% 1-4 20.0% 0.434 267 265 Northwestern Oklahoma State Central GAC 6-18 25.00% 8.71 52.90% 50.70% 6-18 25.00% 0-8 0.0% 0.454 234 269 Newman Central MIAA 6-17 26.09% 8.65 49.12% 49.81% 6-17 26.09% 0-6 0.0% 0.435 265 272 Southwest Minnesota State Central NSIC 6-20 23.08% 8.54 48.91% 49.69% 6-19 24.00% 1-4 20.0% 0.429 277 274 Emporia State Central MIAA 5-16 23.81% 8.48 46.20% 50.51% 5-16 23.81% 0-3 0.0% 0.417 290 285 Harding Central GAC 5-18 21.74% 8.04 51.57% 50.84% 5-18 21.74% 1-7 12.5% 0.439 258
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Here's my take on the Central Region:
MIAA
NW Missouri St - IN
Rogers St - IN
Mo Southern - IN
NSIC
Northern St - IN
Duluth - IN if they beat Concordia on Wednesday
USF - needs to get to tourney semis for sure and probably make it to the championship game to get in
GAC
Southern Nazarene - IN
SE Oklahoma - IN (as long as they don't stumble early in tourney)
Henderson St - could get in by beating SE Oklahoma this week and advancing in tourney
OK Baptist - needs help from USF and Henderson
One of the teams listed will win the MIAA and GAC tournaments, but there could be a Cinderella to win the NSIC and take the 8th spot.
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The question right now is how fall will Southern drop. Not going to lie, I would love to see them on the bottom of the bracket. Hope they drop to 6th after the two losses this past week. No numbers to back it, just a guess on how it shakes out this week based on wins and losses of past week:
1. NW
2. Southern Nazarene
3. NSU
4. SE Oklahoma
5. Rogers St.
6. MSSU (they may be ranked at 5 but Rogers has H2H so I'm ranking it this way)
7. OK Baptist
8. UMD
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Originally posted by NWHoops View PostThe question right now is how fall will Southern drop. Not going to lie, I would love to see them on the bottom of the bracket. Hope they drop to 6th after the two losses this past week. No numbers to back it, just a guess on how it shakes out this week based on wins and losses of past week:
1. NW
2. Southern Nazarene
3. NSU
4. SE Oklahoma
5. Rogers St.
6. MSSU (they may be ranked at 5 but Rogers has H2H so I'm ranking it this way)
7. OK Baptist
8. UMD
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Here's my projection for this week's ranking:If the teams to be included in the top 10 were clear last week, they're even more so now.
The 2-6 spots are close together in my weighted average, but when taking head-to-head and ranked wins into account, they seem to fall pretty clearly into the order I have them here. It seems odd for Rogers State to leapfrog Northern State after two unranked wins for both, but RSU's opponents were somewhat better and the games were on the road.
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