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  • #1

    Early mock regional rankings

    For now, I'm mostly using a formula that takes into account winning percentage, SOS, Performance Indicator, and in-region RPI, but sometimes adjusting based on head-to-head and other factors. Note that at this point in the season, there's a huge disparity in games played against D2 opponents: Daemen has played 17 games, whereas Southwest Baptist has only played 6. The fewer games a team has played, the more volatile its numbers are.

    Through Monday, January 6.

    Atlantic
    1. Indiana (10-1)
    2. Fairmont State (8-2)
    3. West Chester (13-0)
    4. Charleston (10-2)
    5. Shippensburg (9-3)
    6. Pitt Johnstown (8-2)
    7. Fayetteville State (12-3)
    8. Virginia State (10-5)
    9. Johnson C. Smith (8-3)
    10. West Virginia State (7-3)
    CentralEast
    1. St. Thomas Aquinas (12-2)
    2. Bridgeport (9-2)
    3. Jefferson (11-2)
    4. Bentley (12-2)
    5. Stonehill (8-5)
    6. Dominican NY (11-3)
    7. Daemen (13-4)
    8. Le Moyne (9-4)
    9. St. Anselm (7-5)
    10. Southern New Hampshire (9-4)
    Midwest
    1. Bellarmine (9-0)
    2. Indianapolis (8-2)
    3. Ferris State (11-2)
    4. Grand Valley State (9-2)
    5. Michigan Tech (8-3)
    6. UMSL (6-1)
    7. Saginaw Valley State (4-3)
    8. Southern Indiana (8-2)
    9. UIS (6-3)
    10. Southwest Baptist (4-2)
    SouthSouth Central
    1. Dixie State (11-2)
    2. Dallas Baptist (9-1)
    3. West Texas A&M (10-1)
    4. St. Edward's (8-1)
    5. New Mexico Highlands (8-2)
    6. Angelo State (8-2)
    7. Texas A&M Kingsville (9-3)
    8. Colorado Mines (9-5)
    9. Texas A&M Commerce (6-4)
    10. UCCS (7-4)
    SoutheastWest
    1. UC San Diego (13-1)
    2. Azusa Pacific (11-3)
    3. Cal Poly Pomona (9-3)
    4. Chico State (11-3)
    5. Seattle Pacific (7-4)
    6. Western Oregon (8-2)
    7. Point Loma Nazarene (10-3)
    8. Cal State San Bernardino (10-3)
    9. Stanislaus State (9-4)
    10. Western Washington (6-4)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Last week's ranking is in brackets. Note that I slightly adjusted my methodology this week.

    Through Monday, January 13

    Atlantic
    1. Shippensburg (11-3) [5]
    2. Indiana (12-1) [1]
    3. Charleston (12-2) [4]
    4. West Chester (14-1) [3]
    5. Fairmont State (9-3) [2]
    6. Pitt Johnstown (10-2) [6]
    7. Fayetteville State (14-3) [7]
    8. Virginia State (11-5) [8]
    9. Johnson C. Smith (9-4) [9]
    10. West Liberty (11-3) [NR]
    Dropped out: 10 West Virginia State

    Central

    East
    1. Bridgeport (12-2) [2]
    2. St. Thomas Aquinas (14-2) [1]
    3. Jefferson (13-2) [3]
    4. Bentley (14-2) [4]
    5. Stonehill (9-6) [5]
    6. St. Anselm (9-5) [9]
    7. Dominican NY (12-3) [6]
    8. Franklin Pierce (9-4) [NR]
    9. Daemen (14-5) [7]
    10. Le Moyne (10-5) [8]
    Dropped out: 10 Southern New Hampshire

    Midwest
    1. Bellarmine (11-0) [1]
    2. Indianapolis (9-3) [2]
    3. Ferris State (13-2) [3]
    4. Grand Valley State (11-2) [4]
    5. UMSL (8-1) [6]
    6. Michigan Tech (9-4) [5]
    7. Lewis (7-5) [NR]
    8. McKendree (5-5) [NR]
    9. Saginaw Valley State (5-4) [7]
    10. Davenport (9-5) [NR]
    Dropped out: 8 Southern Indiana, 9 UIS, 10 Southwest Baptist

    SouthDropped out: 10 Montevallo

    South Central
    1. West Texas A&M (12-1) [3]
    2. St. Edward's (10-1) [4]
    3. Dallas Baptist (10-2) [2]
    4. Dixie State (12-3) [1]
    5. Colorado Mines (11-5) [8]
    6. Angelo State (9-2) [6]
    7. Texas A&M Kingsville (11-3) [7]
    8. Texas A&M Commerce (7-5) [9]
    9. UCCS (9-4) [10]
    10. Black Hills State (8-5) [NR]
    Dropped out: 5 New Mexico Highlands

    SoutheastDropped out: 5 Tusculum, 9 King, 10 Augusta

    West
    1. UC San Diego (15-1) [1]
    2. Azusa Pacific (12-3) [2]
    3. Cal Poly Pomona (11-3) [3]
    4. Chico State (12-3) [4]
    5. Seattle Pacific (9-4) [5]
    6. Point Loma Nazarene (12-3) [7]
    7. Cal State San Bernardino (12-3) [8]
    8. Western Washington (8-4) [10]
    9. Western Oregon (9-3) [6]
    10. Stanislaus State (10-5) [9]
    Dropped out: none

    Comment

    • #3
      Originally posted by Inkblot View Post
      Last week's ranking is in brackets. Note that I slightly adjusted my methodology this week.
      Kind of like the NCAA!!!!

      Comment

      • #4
        I'll go ahead and share top-10 based solely on performance indicators, which are also still pretty volatile this early.
        GAMES THRU 1/19/20

        Atlantic
        1. Indiana (14-1)
        2. Shippensburg (13-3)
        3. Charleston (14-2)
        4. Fayetteville State (14-3)
        5. Johnson C. Smith (11-4)
        6. West Liberty (13-3)
        7. Fairmont State (10-4)
        8. Pittsburg-Johnston (11-3)
        9. West Chester (14-3)
        10. West Virginia State (11-3)
        CentralEast
        1. Bridgeport (14-2)
        2. Jefferson (15-2)
        3. St. Thomas Aquinas (16-2)
        4. Bentley (14-4)
        5. Daemen (15-5)
        6. Le Moyne (12-5)
        7. St. Anselm (10-6)
        8. Stonehill (10-7)
        9. Dominican NY (12-5)
        10. Franklin Pierce (10-5)
        Midwest
        1. Bellarmine (13-0)
        2. Grand Valley State (13-2)
        3. Ferris State (14-3)
        4. UMSL (9-2)
        5. Michigan Tech (11-4)
        6. Indianapolis (10-4)
        7. Truman State (10-5)
        8. Southern Indiana (10-4)
        9. Davenport (11-5)
        10. Walsh (11-2)
        SouthSouth Central
        1. West Texas A&M (14-1)
        2. St. Edward's (12-1)
        3. Dixie State (14-3)
        4. Dallas Baptist (11-3)
        5. Angelo State (10-3)
        6. Texas A&M Kingsville (12-4)
        7. Black Hills State (10-5)
        8. Texas A&M Commerce (9-5)
        9. Colorado Mesa (9-5)
        10. Colorado Mines (11-7)
        SoutheastWest
        1. UC San Diego (17-1)
        2. Azusa Pacific (14-3)
        3. Chico State (12-3)
        4. Cal Poly Pomona (12-4)
        5. Seattle Pacific (11-4)
        6. Point Loma Nazarene (13-3)
        7. Cal State San Bernardino (13-4)
        8. Western Oregon (10-4)
        9. Western Washington (10-4)
        10. Stanislaus State (11-6)
        Last edited by schnautza; 01-21-2020, 08:15 AM.

        Comment

        • #5
          Through Monday, January 20

          Atlantic
          1. Indiana (14-1) [2]
          2. Shippensburg (13-3) [1]
          3. Charleston (14-2) [3]
          4. Fayetteville State (14-3) [7]
          5. Fairmont State (10-4) [5]
          6. Pitt Johnstown (11-3) [6]
          7. Johnson C. Smith (11-4) [9]
          8. West Liberty (13-3) [10]
          9. West Chester (14-3) [4]
          10. Virginia State (12-6) [8]
          Dropped out: none

          CentralDropped out: none

          East
          1. Bridgeport (14-2) [1]
          2. Jefferson (15-2) [3]
          3. St. Thomas Aquinas (16-2) [2]
          4. Bentley (14-4) [4]
          5. Stonehill (10-7) [5]
          6. St. Anselm (10-6) [6]
          7. Le Moyne (12-5) [10]
          8. Daemen (15-5) [9]
          9. Dominican NY (12-5) [7]
          10. Franklin Pierce (10-5) [8]
          Dropped out: none

          Midwest
          1. Bellarmine (13-1) [1]
          2. UMSL (10-2) [5]
          3. Indianapolis (11-4) [2]
          4. Grand Valley State (13-2) [4]
          5. Ferris State (14-3) [3]
          6. Michigan Tech (11-4) [6]
          7. Truman (11-5) [NR]
          8. Davenport (11-5) [10]
          9. Southern Indiana (11-4) [NR]
          10. Walsh (11-2) [NR]
          Dropped out: 7 Lewis, 8 McKendree, 9 Saginaw Valley State

          SouthDropped out: 10 Miles

          South Central
          1. West Texas A&M (14-1) [1]
          2. St. Edward's (12-1) [2]
          3. Dixie State (14-3) [4]
          4. Dallas Baptist (11-3) [3]
          5. Texas A&M Kingsville (12-4) [7]
          6. Black Hills State (10-5) [10]
          7. Angelo State (10-3) [6]
          8. Texas A&M Commerce (9-5) [8]
          9. Colorado Mines (11-7) [5]
          10. Colorado Mesa (9-5) [NR]
          Dropped out: 9 UCCS

          SoutheastDropped out: 10 Belmont Abbey

          West
          1. UC San Diego (17-1) [1]
          2. Azusa Pacific (14-3) [2]
          3. Cal Poly Pomona (12-4) [3]
          4. Chico State (12-3) [4]
          5. Seattle Pacific (11-4) [5]
          6. Point Loma Nazarene (13-3) [6]
          7. Cal State San Bernardino (13-4) [7]
          8. Western Washington (10-4) [8]
          9. Western Oregon (10-4) [9]
          10. Stanislaus State (11-6) [10]
          Dropped out: none

          Comment

          • #6
            Through Sunday, January 26

            Atlantic
            1. Indiana (16-1) [1]
            2. Shippensburg (15-3) [2]
            3. Fairmont State (12-4) [5]
            4. Charleston (15-3) [3]
            5. West Liberty (15-3) [8]
            6. Virginia State (14-6) [10]
            7. Johnson C. Smith (12-4) [7]
            8. Fayetteville State (14-5) [4]
            9. Pitt Johnstown (12-4) [6]
            10. West Virginia State (12-4) [NR]
            Dropped out: 9 West Chester

            CentralDropped out: None

            East
            1. Bridgeport (16-2) [1]
            2. Jefferson (17-2) [2]
            3. St. Thomas Aquinas (17-3) [3]
            4. Le Moyne (14-5) [7]
            5. Bentley (16-4) [4]
            6. Stonehill (11-8) [5]
            7. Dominican NY (14-5) [9]
            8. Daemen (17-5) [8]
            9. St. Anselm (10-8) [6]
            10. Franklin Pierce (11-6) [10]
            Dropped out: None

            Midwest
            1. Bellarmine (14-2) [1]
            2. UMSL (12-2) [2]
            3. Indianapolis (13-4) [3]
            4. Ferris State (16-3) [5]
            5. Grand Valley State (14-3) [4]
            6. Walsh (13-2) [10]
            7. Michigan Tech (12-5) [6]
            8. Southern Indiana (13-4) [9]
            9. Southwest Baptist (9-4) [NR]
            10. Truman (12-6) [7]
            Dropped out: 8 Davenport

            South

            South Central
            1. West Texas A&M (16-1) [1]
            2. St. Edward's (13-2) [2]
            3. Dixie State (16-3) [3]
            4. Black Hills State (12-5) [6]
            5. Angelo State (11-4) [7]
            6. Dallas Baptist (11-4) [4]
            7. Texas A&M Kingsville (13-5) [5]
            8. Colorado Mines (13-7) [9]
            9. Texas A&M Commerce (10-6) [8]
            10. Lubbock Christian (8-6) [NR]
            Dropped out: 10 Colorado Mesa

            SoutheastDropped out: 9 Mount Olive, 10 Southern Wesleyan

            West
            1. UC San Diego (19-1) [1]
            2. Azusa Pacific (15-3) [2]
            3. Cal Poly Pomona (12-5) [3]
            4. Chico State (14-3) [4]
            5. Seattle Pacific (13-4) [5]
            6. Point Loma Nazarene (15-3) [6]
            7. Cal State San Bernardino (14-4) [7]
            8. Stanislaus State (13-6) [10]
            9. Western Washington (11-5) [8]
            10. Concordia CA (13-6) [NR]
            Dropped out: 9 Western Oregon

            Comment

            • #7
              Through Sunday, February 2

              Atlantic
              1. Indiana (17-2) [1]
              2. Shippensburg (16-4) [2]
              3. Charleston (17-3) [4]
              4. West Liberty (17-3) [5]
              5. Fairmont State (13-5) [3]
              6. Virginia State (15-7) [6]
              7. Fayetteville State (15-5) [8]
              8. California (14-6) [NR]
              9. Pitt Johnstown (13-5) [9]
              10. West Virginia State (13-5) [10]
              Dropped out: 7 Johnson C. Smith

              CentralDropped out: None

              East
              1. Bridgeport (17-2) [1]
              2. Jefferson (19-2) [2]
              3. St. Thomas Aquinas (18-3) [3]
              4. Le Moyne (15-6) [4]
              5. Stonehill (13-8) [6]
              6. Dominican NY (16-5) [7]
              7. Daemen (18-5) [8]
              8. Bentley (16-6) [5]
              9. St. Anselm (12-8) [9]
              10. Post (15-6) [NR]
              Dropped out: 10 Franklin Pierce

              Midwest
              1. Bellarmine (15-3) [1]
              2. UMSL (14-2) [2]
              3. Indianapolis (14-5) [3]
              4. Grand Valley State (16-3) [5]
              5. Ferris State (17-4) [4]
              6. Southern Indiana (14-5) [8]
              7. Truman (14-6) [10]
              8. Walsh (13-3) [6]
              9. Southwest Baptist (11-4) [9]
              10. Michigan Tech (12-7) [7]
              Dropped out: None

              SouthDropped out: None

              South Central
              1. West Texas A&M (18-1) [1]
              2. St. Edward's (15-2) [2]
              3. Dixie State (17-4) [3]
              4. Black Hills State (14-5) [4]
              5. Angelo State (13-4) [5]
              6. Dallas Baptist (12-5) [6]
              7. Texas A&M Kingsville (15-5) [7]
              8. Lubbock Christian (10-6) [10]
              9. Colorado Mines (14-8) [8]
              10. New Mexico Highlands (12-6) [NR]
              Dropped out: 9 Texas A&M Commerce

              Southeast
              1. Lincoln Memorial (19-1) [1]
              2. UNC Pembroke (16-4) [2]
              3. Queens NC (14-6) [3]
              4. Lander (16-4) [4]
              5. Catawba (14-6) [6]
              6. King (14-5) [9]
              7. USC Aiken (13-9) [7]
              8. Columbus State (12-7) [8]
              9. Anderson (13-7) [NR]
              10. Augusta (13-7) [NR]


              West
              1. UC San Diego (21-1) [1]
              2. Azusa Pacific (16-3) [2]
              3. Point Loma Nazarene (17-3) [6]
              4. Cal State San Bernardino (16-4) [7]
              5. Cal Poly Pomona (14-5) [3]
              6. Chico State (15-4) [4]
              7. Seattle Pacific (14-5) [5]
              8. Concordia CA (14-7) [10]
              9. Western Oregon (13-5) [NR]
              10. Stanislaus State (13-8) [8]
              Dropped out: 9 Western Washington

              Comment

              • #8
                For comparison, I've added in red italics the differences between yours and the performance indicators. Only 3 teams listed (bolded) that your system didn't pick up, so most of it is just slightly shuffled.

                Through Sunday, February 2

                Atlantic
                1. Indiana (17-2) [1]
                2. Shippensburg (16-4) [2] Charleston
                3. Charleston (17-3) [4] Shippensburg
                4. West Liberty (17-3) [5] Fairmont State
                5. Fairmont State (13-5) [3] West Liberty
                6. Virginia State (15-7) [6]
                7. Fayetteville State (15-5) [8]
                8. California (14-6) [NR] Johnson C Smith
                9. Pitt Johnstown (13-5) [9] California
                10. West Virginia State (13-5) [10] Pitt Johnstown
                Dropped out: 7 Johnson C. Smith

                Central
                1. Northwest Missouri State (17-1) [1]
                2. Southeastern Oklahoma State (15-4) [2]
                3. Rogers State (15-4) [7]
                4. Missouri Southern (13-4) [4]
                5. Southern Nazarene (15-6) [6] Minnesota-DuluthNorthern State
                6. Northern State (17-5) [9] Southern Nazarene
                7. Henderson State (12-6) [5] East Central
                8. East Central (12-5) [8] Henderson State
                9. Oklahoma Baptist (12-7) [10]
                Dropped out: None

                East
                1. Bridgeport (17-2) [1]
                2. Jefferson (19-2) [2]
                3. St. Thomas Aquinas (18-3) [3]
                4. Le Moyne (15-6) [4]
                5. Stonehill (13-8) [6] Daemen
                6. Dominican NY (16-5) [7]
                7. Daemen (18-5) [8] Stonehill
                8. Bentley (16-6) [5]
                9. St. Anselm (12-8) [9]
                10. Post (15-6) [NR]
                Dropped out: 10 Franklin Pierce

                Midwest
                1. Bellarmine (15-3) [1] UMSL
                2. UMSL (14-2) [2] Bellarmine
                3. Indianapolis (14-5) [3] Grand Valley State
                4. Grand Valley State (16-3) [5] Indianapolis
                5. Ferris State (17-4) [4]
                6. Southern Indiana (14-5) [8] Truman
                7. Truman (14-6) [10] Walsh
                8. Walsh (13-3) [6] Southern Indiana
                9. Southwest Baptist (11-4) [9] Findlay
                10. Michigan Tech (12-7) [7]
                Dropped out: None

                South
                1. Florida Southern (19-2) [1]
                2. Nova Southeastern (15-2) [2] Valdosta State
                3. Valdosta State (14-3) [3] Nova SoutheasternPalm Beach Atlantic
                4. West Alabama (13-5) [9] Miles
                5. Palm Beach Atlantic (13-6) [7] Alabama-Huntsville
                6. St. Leo (12-8) [6]
                7. Barry (11-5) [10]
                8. Miles (12-3) [8] West Alabama
                Dropped out: None

                South Central
                1. West Texas A&M (18-1) [1]
                2. St. Edward's (15-2) [2]
                3. Dixie State (17-4) [3] Black Hills State
                4. Black Hills State (14-5) [4] Dixie State
                5. Angelo State (13-4) [5]
                6. Dallas Baptist (12-5) [6]
                7. Texas A&M Kingsville (15-5) [7] Lubbock Christian
                8. Lubbock Christian (10-6) [10] Texas A&M Kingsville
                9. Colorado Mines (14-8) [8]
                10. New Mexico Highlands (12-6) [NR]
                Dropped out: 9 Texas A&M Commerce

                Southeast
                1. Lincoln Memorial (19-1) [1]
                2. UNC Pembroke (16-4) [2]
                3. Queens NC (14-6) [3] Lander
                4. Lander (16-4) [4] Queens NC
                5. Catawba (14-6) [6]
                6. King (14-5) [9]
                7. USC Aiken (13-9) [7] Lees McRae
                8. Columbus State (12-7) [8]
                9. Anderson (13-7) [NR]
                10. Augusta (13-7) [NR]


                West
                1. UC San Diego (21-1) [1]
                2. Azusa Pacific (16-3) [2]
                3. Point Loma Nazarene (17-3) [6]
                4. Cal State San Bernardino (16-4) [7] Seattle Pacific
                5. Cal Poly Pomona (14-5) [3] Chico State
                6. Chico State (15-4) [4] Cal Poly Pomona
                7. Seattle Pacific (14-5) [5] Cal State San Bernardino
                8. Concordia CA (14-7) [10]
                9. Western Oregon (13-5) [NR]
                10. Stanislaus State (13-8) [8]
                Dropped out: 9 Western Washington

                Comment

                • #9
                  Originally posted by schnautza View Post
                  For comparison, I've added in red italics the differences between yours and the performance indicators. Only 3 teams listed (bolded) that your system didn't pick up, so most of it is just slightly shuffled.

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    The first actual regional rankings come out next week, so this will be my last set to appear in this thread.

                    Through Sunday, February 9

                    Atlantic
                    1. Indiana (18-2) [1]
                    2. Shippensburg (18-4) [2]
                    3. Fairmont State (15-5) [5]
                    4. West Liberty (18-4) [4]
                    5. Charleston (17-5) [3]
                    6. Pitt Johnstown (15-5) [9]
                    7. Virginia State (16-7) [6]
                    8. West Virginia State (14-6) [10]
                    9. California (14-7) [8]
                    10. Fayetteville State (16-6) [7]
                    Dropped out: None

                    CentralDropped out: 10 Oklahoma Baptist

                    East
                    1. Bridgeport (19-2) [1]
                    2. Jefferson (20-2) [2]
                    3. St. Thomas Aquinas (19-3) [3]
                    4. Le Moyne (17-6) [4]
                    5. St. Anselm (14-8) [9]
                    6. Stonehill (14-9) [5]
                    7. Dominican NY (17-5) [6]
                    8. Daemen (19-6) [7]
                    9. Post (16-7) [10]
                    10. Adelphi (16-7) [NR]
                    Dropped out: 8 Bentley

                    Midwest
                    1. Indianapolis (16-5) [3]
                    2. Bellarmine (15-5) [1]
                    3. UMSL (14-4) [2]
                    4. Grand Valley State (17-4) [4]
                    5. Truman (16-6) [7]
                    6. Ferris State (18-5) [5]
                    7. Southern Indiana (16-5) [6]
                    8. Walsh (15-3) [8]
                    9. Southwest Baptist (12-5) [9]
                    10. Michigan Tech (14-7) [10]
                    Dropped out: None

                    SouthDropped out: 9 Barry

                    South Central
                    1. West Texas A&M (20-1) [1]
                    2. St. Edward's (17-2) [2]
                    3. Dixie State (19-4) [3]
                    4. Black Hills State (15-6) [4]
                    5. Angelo State (14-5) [5]
                    6. Dallas Baptist (14-5) [6]
                    7. Texas A&M Kingsville (16-6) [7]
                    8. Lubbock Christian (11-7) [8]
                    9. Colorado Mines (16-8) [9]
                    10. UCCS (14-7) [NR]
                    Dropped out: 10 New Mexico Highlands

                    Southeast
                    1. Lincoln Memorial (21-1) [1]
                    2. UNC Pembroke (18-4) [2]
                    3. Queens NC (16-6) [3]
                    4. Lander (17-5) [4]
                    5. Catawba (16-6) [5]
                    6. King (16-5) [6]
                    7. Augusta (15-7) [10]
                    8. USC Aiken (15-9) [7]
                    9. Southern Wesleyan (14-9) [NR]
                    10. Columbus State (12-8) [8]
                    Dropped out: 9 Anderson

                    West
                    1. UC San Diego (22-1) [1]
                    2. Azusa Pacific (18-3) [2]
                    3. Point Loma Nazarene (17-4) [3]
                    4. Cal State San Bernardino (18-4) [4]
                    5. Cal Poly Pomona (16-5) [5]
                    6. Seattle Pacific (16-5) [7]
                    7. Chico State (16-5) [6]
                    8. Concordia CA (16-7) [8]
                    9. Chaminade (13-5) [NR]
                    10. Western Washington (12-8) [NR]
                    Dropped out: 9 Western Oregon, 10 Stanislaus State

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