ATLANTIC | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | Indiana (Pennsylvania) | 20-2 | 20-2 |
2 | Shippensburg | 19-5 | 19-5 |
3 | West Liberty | 20-4 | 20-3 |
4 | Fairmont State | 17-5 | 17-5 |
5 | Charleston (West Virginia) | 19-5 | 19-5 |
6 | Virginia State | 19-7 | 19-7 |
7 | West Virginia State | 16-6 | 16-6 |
8 | Pittsburg-Johnstown | 16-6 | 16-6 |
9 | Bowie State | 16-10 | 16-10 |
10 | Johnson C. Smith | 17-7 | 17-7 |
CENTRAL | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | Northwest Missouri State | 21-1 | 20-1 |
2 | Southeastern Oklahoma State | 17-6 | 16-5 |
3 | Missouri Southern State | 16-5 | 16-4 |
4 | Southern Nazarene | 18-7 | 18-7 |
5 | Northern State | 20-6 | 20-6 |
6 | Minnesota Duluth | 19-7 | 18-7 |
7 | Rogers State | 17-5 | 17-5 |
8 | Oklahoma Baptist | 15-8 | 15-8 |
9 | Sioux Falls | 19-6 | 19-6 |
10 | Henderson State | 15-7 | 15-7 |
EAST | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | Bridgeport | 20-2 | 20-2 |
2 | St. Thomas Aquinas | 19-4 | 19-3 |
3 | Thomas Jefferson University | 22-2 | 22-2 |
4 | Le Moyne | 18-7 | 16-6 |
5 | Saint Anselm | 15-8 | 15-8 |
6 | Stonehill | 15-10 | 14-9 |
7 | Daemen | 21-6 | 18-5 |
8 | Dominican (New York) | 19-5 | 18-4 |
9 | Franklin Pierce | 14-8 | 14-8 |
10 | Adelphi | 18-7 | 18-7 |
MIDWEST | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | UIndy | 18-5 | 17-5 |
2 | Truman | 17-7 | 17-7 |
3 | Bellarmine | 16-6 | 16-6 |
4 | Ferris State | 20-5 | 17-5 |
5 | Grand Valley State | 18-5 | 18-5 |
6 | Missouri-St. Louis | 15-5 | 15-5 |
7 | Southern Indiana | 18-5 | 18-5 |
8 | Michigan Tech | 15-8 | 13-8 |
9 | Davenport | 16-8 | 15-8 |
10 | Findlay | 16-6 | 15-6 |
SOUTH | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | Florida Southern | 23-2 | 19-2 |
2 | Nova Southeastern | 17-3 | 16-3 |
3 | Lee | 16-5 | 16-5 |
4 | Valdosta State | 18-3 | 18-3 |
5 | Palm Beach Atlantic | 17-6 | 16-6 |
6 | West Alabama | 16-6 | 16-6 |
7 | Barry | 12-7 | 12-7 |
8 | Embry-Riddle (Florida) | 14-9 | 14-9 |
9 | Alabama Huntsville | 18-5 | 18-5 |
10 | Miles | 16-3 | 16-3 |
SOUTH CENTRAL | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | West Texas A&M | 22-1 | 20-1 |
2 | St. Edward's | 19-2 | 19-2 |
3 | Dixie State | 21-4 | 20-4 |
4 | Black Hills State | 17-6 | 17-6 |
5 | Texas A&M-Kingsville | 17-6 | 17-4 |
6 | Angelo State | 15-6 | 13-6 |
7 | Colorado School of Mines | 18-8 | 18-8 |
8 | Dallas Baptist University | 14-7 | 14-7 |
9 | Lubbock Christian | 12-8 | 12-8 |
10 | Westminster (Utah) | 15-9 | 15-8 |
SOUTHEAST | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | Lincoln Memorial | 23-1 | 23-0 |
2 | UNC Pembroke | 19-5 | 19-5 |
3 | Queens (North Carolina) | 18-6 | 18-6 |
4 | Catawba | 18-6 | 18-6 |
5 | Augusta University | 17-7 | 17-7 |
6 | Lander | 17-7 | 17-7 |
7 | King (Tennessee) | 17-6 | 17-6 |
8 | South Carolina Aiken | 17-9 | 17-7 |
9 | Southern Wesleyan | 15-10 | 15-10 |
10 | Tusculum | 16-10 | 16-10 |
WEST | |||
Rank | School | Overall DII Record | In-Region Record |
1 | UC San Diego | 24-1 | 24-1 |
2 | Azusa Pacific | 21-3 | 21-3 |
3 | Cal Poly Pomona | 17-5 | 16-5 |
4 | Chico State | 17-6 | 17-6 |
5 | Cal State San Bernardino | 18-5 | 17-5 |
6 | Seattle Pacific | 18-5 | 18-5 |
7 | Point Loma | 17-6 | 16-6 |
8 | Western Oregon | 16-6 | 16-6 |
9 | Western Washington | 13-9 | 13-9 |
10 | Concordia (California) | 18-7 | 16-6 |
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First Regional Rankings (2/19)
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First Regional Rankings (2/19)
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My reactions to the rankings (as compared to my predictions):
Atlantic
The top eight is the same as mine, except that I have Fairmont State ahead of West Liberty. WLU's head-to-head win makes the committee's order unsurprising. FSU will have a chance to presumably pass the Hilltoppers with a win on Sunday.
It doesn't surprise me that the committee left out California, with their lack of good wins. However, I didn't expect to see Bowie State as the team in instead. On further reflection, their #9 regional RPI should've put them on my radar. The CIAA's top four teams (the three ranked teams plus Fayetteville State) all split with each other, so the only way any are distinguishable is through non-conference results. Virginia State's win over Shippensburg has them leading the pack in that regard. Bowie State, unlike Johnson C. Smith and Fayetteville State, actually played non-conference games against top-10 teams, but lost both such games to Shippensburg and Fairmont State. It also doesn't hurt that Bowie beat Cal.
CentralEast
This is the region where my rankings least resemble the committee's.
In my write-up for my predictions, I expressed uncertainty about how the NE10 teams would be ranked relative to the rest, given the conference's dominance in OOC games. And so it happened that the three NE10 teams I had sixth through eighth, the committee had fourth through sixth. Given how the committee treated the conference last year, that's not surprising. Similarly, the committee included a fifth NE10 team rather than a third CACC. This also trickles down into the relative order of Daemen and Dominican.
I'm a little baffled as to how the committee ranked the top three. St. Thomas Aquinas beat Jefferson, it's true, but by the same token Jefferson beat Bridgeport. (And, to complete the circle, Bridgeport beat St. Thomas Aquinas, but STAC has a chance at revenge next week.) I suppose with the NE10 teams ranked as the committee did, STAC's win over Stonehill suddenly increases in value.
Midwest
It appears the committee ranked the jumble from second through fifth largely on how they fared against each other. Truman is the only one with two wins against the other four, and UMSL is the only one with zero.
Apparently Davenport's win over Truman was offset by Michigan Tech's head-to-head win. The Panthers have a chance for revenge on Thursday.
Since these rankings are using data from before Walsh's loss to Malone, I'm a little surprised that Findlay is in and Walsh isn't. Walsh has a win over UMSL, whereas Findlay is 0-2 against the top nine. Perhaps Findlay's win over St. Thomas Aquinas (#2 in the East) gave the Oilers the edge. Regardless, neither is getting in without winning the GMAC tournament.
SouthSouth Central
I mentioned that the only uncertainty in my rankings for this region were the ordering of Angelo State and Texas A&M Kingsville, and the #10 spot. Those turned out to be the two things I got wrong. It'll be cleared up when they meet on Thursday, but I'm a little surprised the committee ranked TAMUK higher than ASU, given the Javelinas' lack of good wins.
As for the #10 spot, this is basically the Atlantic Region all over again: a team with zero ranked wins is left out in favor of a team I didn't even consider. Only this time, that team doesn't have a high RPI or anything of that sort. The main thing Westminster has going for them is a 2-1 record against the top nine.
Southeast
The only difference from my predictions is Tusculum's position. I understand that USC Aiken has a high RPI (aided by two of their losses being out of region), but I'm not sure the rationale for putting Tusculum behind Southern Wesleyan. SWU has a better record against the top nine, but Tusculum has played six games against the top four, winning one.
West
I stated earlier in the similar case of Walsh that Monday's games aren't included in these rankings. I'm pretty sure that's true, given that they're not included in the stat PDFs. But Chaminade is another team whose omission from the rankings would seem to make more sense if Monday's loss were considered. On the other hand, Western Washington has a better RPI, which is very important except when it isn't. Concordia (CA)'s position makes sense with WWU in, as the Eagles have a sweep of Chaminade and a loss to the Vikings.
The top seven are the exact same as my prediction.
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The easiest part is "getting" the top 8 teams. The part that's most difficult is determining what order the they should be in. Seems like you could get almost as close by simply stacking each regions teams by W/L.
Now getting 9 and 10 right were there are a lot of teams with the same record, that's somthing.Last edited by boatcapt; 02-21-2020, 07:15 AM.
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