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  • I just posted my week 10 rankings if anyone wants to go check them out on the SAC page!

    Comment


    • So I'm going to post projections for several scenarios (I'll take requests!). The first one supposes that the higher-ranked team wins in every game this week.
      SR1 SR2 SR3 SR4
      1 Kutztown 1 Valdosta State 1 Ferris State 1 Minnesota State
      2 Slippery Rock 2 Lenoir–Rhyne 2 Central Missouri 2 Tarleton State
      3 Notre Dame 3 Bowie State 3 Ouachita Baptist 3 Colorado Mines
      4 Indiana 4 Wingate 4 Harding 4 CSU Pueblo
      5 Shepherd 5 Carson–Newman 5 Indianapolis 5 Texas A&M Commerce
      6 West Chester 6 West Florida 6 Grand Valley State 6 Augustana
      7 Tiffin 9 Albany State 7 Northwest Missouri State 7 Sioux Falls



      Bracket

      1-1 Kutztown
      1-5 Shepherd at 1-4 Indiana
      1-7 Tiffin at 1-2 Slippery Rock
      1-6 West Chester at 1-3 Notre Dame (OH)

      2-1 Valdosta State
      2-6 West Florida at 2-4 Wingate
      2-9 Albany State at 2-2 Lenoir–Rhyne
      2-5 Carson–Newman at 2-3 Bowie State

      3-1 Ferris State
      3-5 Indianapolis at 3-4 Harding
      4-7 Sioux Falls at 3-2 Central Missouri
      3-7 Northwest Missouri State at 3-3 Ouachita Baptist

      4-1 Minnesota State
      4-6 Augustana at 4-4 CSU Pueblo
      4-5 Texas A&M Commerce at 4-2 Tarleton State
      3-6 Grand Valley State at 4-3 Colorado Mines

      Comment


      • Originally posted by Inkblot View Post
        So I'm going to post projections for several scenarios (I'll take requests!). The first one supposes that the higher-ranked team wins in every game this week.
        SR1 SR2 SR3 SR4
        1 Kutztown 1 Valdosta State 1 Ferris State 1 Minnesota State
        2 Slippery Rock 2 Lenoir–Rhyne 2 Central Missouri 2 Tarleton State
        3 Notre Dame 3 Bowie State 3 Ouachita Baptist 3 Colorado Mines
        4 Indiana 4 Wingate 4 Harding 4 CSU Pueblo
        5 Shepherd 5 Carson–Newman 5 Indianapolis 5 Texas A&M Commerce
        6 West Chester 6 West Florida 6 Grand Valley State 6 Augustana
        7 Tiffin 9 Albany State 7 Northwest Missouri State 7 Sioux Falls



        Bracket

        1-1 Kutztown
        1-5 Shepherd at 1-4 Indiana
        1-7 Tiffin at 1-2 Slippery Rock
        1-6 West Chester at 1-3 Notre Dame (OH)

        2-1 Valdosta State
        2-6 West Florida at 2-4 Wingate
        2-9 Albany State at 2-2 Lenoir–Rhyne
        2-5 Carson–Newman at 2-3 Bowie State

        3-1 Ferris State
        3-5 Indianapolis at 3-4 Harding
        4-7 Sioux Falls at 3-2 Central Missouri
        3-7 Northwest Missouri State at 3-3 Ouachita Baptist

        4-1 Minnesota State
        4-6 Augustana at 4-4 CSU Pueblo
        4-5 Texas A&M Commerce at 4-2 Tarleton State
        3-6 Grand Valley State at 4-3 Colorado Mines
        Who replaces WCU should they lose ?

        Comment


        • Originally posted by CALUPA69 View Post

          Who replaces WCU should they lose ?
          I'd guess it's Urbana if they win. If they lose, I think it's either WVSU or Cal. There hasn't been a week yet where these two had the same number of losses, so I don't know how the committee would view them.

          Comment


          • Nobody being moved into another region?

            Comment


            • Originally posted by SRU 88 View Post
              Nobody being moved into anther region?
              In this one, just Grand Valley State and Sioux Falls.

              Comment


              • Originally posted by Inkblot View Post
                So I'm going to post projections for several scenarios (I'll take requests!). The first one supposes that the higher-ranked team wins in every game this week.
                SR1 SR2 SR3 SR4
                1 Kutztown 1 Valdosta State 1 Ferris State 1 Minnesota State
                2 Slippery Rock 2 Lenoir–Rhyne 2 Central Missouri 2 Tarleton State
                3 Notre Dame 3 Bowie State 3 Ouachita Baptist 3 Colorado Mines
                4 Indiana 4 Wingate 4 Harding 4 CSU Pueblo
                5 Shepherd 5 Carson–Newman 5 Indianapolis 5 Texas A&M Commerce
                6 West Chester 6 West Florida 6 Grand Valley State 6 Augustana
                7 Tiffin 9 Albany State 7 Northwest Missouri State 7 Sioux Falls



                Bracket

                1-1 Kutztown
                1-5 Shepherd at 1-4 Indiana
                1-7 Tiffin at 1-2 Slippery Rock
                1-6 West Chester at 1-3 Notre Dame (OH)

                2-1 Valdosta State
                2-6 West Florida at 2-4 Wingate
                2-9 Albany State at 2-2 Lenoir–Rhyne
                2-5 Carson–Newman at 2-3 Bowie State

                3-1 Ferris State
                3-5 Indianapolis at 3-4 Harding
                4-7 Sioux Falls at 3-2 Central Missouri
                3-7 Northwest Missouri State at 3-3 Ouachita Baptist

                4-1 Minnesota State
                4-6 Augustana at 4-4 CSU Pueblo
                4-5 Texas A&M Commerce at 4-2 Tarleton State
                3-6 Grand Valley State at 4-3 Colorado Mines


                Inkbot....are you projecting that Mankato will pass Tarleton....per some calculations? Thanks.

                Comment


                • Originally posted by Matt Witwicki View Post



                  Inkbot....are you projecting that Mankato will pass Tarleton....per some calculations? Thanks.
                  It seems like Mankato's SOS will pass Tarleton's this week, and the SR4 committee seems to have been pretty consistent in using SOS.

                  Comment


                  • With this change is the NCAA moving towards doing away with Regions?

                    Since it’s all about travel costs and saving money the NCAA could just have 2 rankings(in Playoffs/not in Playoffs).

                    Take the 32 teams that made it in and play each week based solely on proximity without regard to win/loss records. Flip a coin to pick home teams each week. Redo each round this way and then have title game at a point midway between the 2 schools left.

                    Comment


                    • Ink, curious how you have NW below GV. If they flip, do PO match ups stay the same? And IF you have GV over NW, does that also mean that you have GV in OVER NW if HSU wins? Honestly, I have NW over GV.. regardless. Unless the Comm just says "nah" GV should be above NW. Silo thing maybe? And eyeballing competition instead of using just W/L data.

                      TIA... fun exercise!

                      Comment


                      • Originally posted by Inkblot View Post

                        It seems like Mankato's SOS will pass Tarleton's this week, and the SR4 committee seems to have been pretty consistent in using SOS.
                        yes....to the decimal. Agreed.

                        Comment


                        • Originally posted by Redwing View Post
                          Ink, curious how you have NW below GV. If they flip, do PO match ups stay the same? And IF you have GV over NW, does that also mean that you have GV in OVER NW if HSU wins? Honestly, I have NW over GV.. regardless. Unless the Comm just says "nah" GV should be above NW. Silo thing maybe? And eyeballing competition instead of using just W/L data.
                          I have GV ahead mainly because they were ahead last week when both were 8-1. Swapping them wouldn't affect the matchups at all.

                          Comment


                          • Originally posted by Redwing View Post
                            Ink, curious how you have NW below GV. If they flip, do PO match ups stay the same? And IF you have GV over NW, does that also mean that you have GV in OVER NW if HSU wins? Honestly, I have NW over GV.. regardless. Unless the Comm just says "nah" GV should be above NW. Silo thing maybe? And eyeballing competition instead of using just W/L data.

                            TIA... fun exercise!
                            Red....wont the SOS for GV move up around .510/.520 if they beat Wayne? While NW will finish at .500. Seems like there's been pretty straight WP% and SOS being applied so far. That said, it doesn't seem like a 6 or 7 seed matters much....they look to be looking at 5-6-7 as free agents who can play and travel a 2-3-4 in a matter that best fits the travel model. Maybe I have it wrong..but that's how I'm interpreting the new NCAA playoff vision.

                            Comment


                            • Originally posted by Inkblot View Post

                              It seems like Mankato's SOS will pass Tarleton's this week, and the SR4 committee seems to have been pretty consistent in using SOS.
                              It seems that only the math will be really considered in distinguishing who is top 4 seed and bottom 3 seed. As is stands with all the movement to save travel costs, a 5-7 seed is essentially the same seed, free to be placed with a 2, 3 or 4 as the mileage calculator determines.
                              Last edited by CatFan88; 11-12-2019, 07:04 PM.
                              Go Hounds!
                              B-E-A-R-C-A-T-S
                              Cyclone Power

                              Comment


                              • Next scenario: In which each game is won by the Massey favorite. SRU over Kutztown, Cal over West Chester, Findlay over Tiffin, Truman over Urbana, NWMSU over UCM.
                                SR1 SR2 SR3 SR4
                                1 Slippery Rock 1 Valdosta State 1 Ferris State 1 Minnesota State
                                2 Kutztown 2 Lenoir–Rhyne 2 Ouachita Baptist 2 Tarleton State
                                3 Notre Dame 3 Bowie State 3 Northwest Missouri State 3 Colorado Mines
                                4 Indiana 4 Wingate 4 Harding 4 CSU Pueblo
                                5 Shepherd 5 Carson–Newman 5 Central Missouri 5 Texas A&M Commerce
                                6 West Virginia State 6 West Florida 6 Indianapolis 6 Augustana
                                8 Ohio Dominican 9 Albany State 7 Grand Valley State 7 Sioux Falls


                                Bracket

                                1-1 Slippery Rock
                                1-6 West Virginia State at 1-4 Indiana
                                1-8 Ohio Dominican at 1-2 Kutztown
                                1-5 Shepherd at 1-3 Notre Dame (OH)

                                2-1 Valdosta State
                                2-6 West Florida at 2-4 Wingate
                                2-9 Albany State at 2-2 Lenoir–Rhyne
                                2-5 Carson–Newman at 2-3 Bowie State

                                3-1 Ferris State
                                3-6 Indianapolis at 3-4 Harding
                                3-5 Central Missouri at 3-2 Ouachita Baptist
                                4-7 Sioux Falls at 3-3 Northwest Missouri State

                                4-1 Minnesota State
                                4-6 Augustana at 4-4 CSU Pueblo
                                4-5 Texas A&M Commerce at 4-2 Tarleton State
                                3-7 Grand Valley State at 4-3 Colorado Mines

                                Comment

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