NCAA Power Index (NPI)

[Bballfan]

This might help: https://www.patreon.com/inkblotsport...-npi-148466259

Thanks! Love your site BTW.

[Inkblot]

Thanks for that. Makes absolutely no sense to me however. The old systems I understood. This one just seems like they will do whatever they want.

Anyway you can explain it better than they can?

This might help: https://www.patreon.com/inkblotsport...-npi-148466259

[Bballfan]

Dials have now posted for basketball. https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...D2CH_NPIQA.pdf

Thanks for that. Makes absolutely no sense to me however. The old systems I understood. This one just seems like they will do whatever they want.

Anyway you can explain it better than they can?

[Inkblot]

Dials have now posted for basketball. https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...D2CH_NPIQA.pdf

[Predatory Primates]

That is correct; I don't think anything I wrote contradicts that.

Pretty sure B was replying to Buffalo Islander since he started by addressing "buf"

[Inkblot]

buf.. I was toldthat the npi will be used for at large selections an there will still be AQs. If I hear from theNCAA. NCAA I'll make any necessary corrections.

That is correct.

EDIT: I misunderstood who this was directed at. Buffalo/Islander Alum Yes, sorry I hadn't answered that question.

[Buffalo/Islander Alum]

buf.. I was toldthat the npi will be used for at large selections an there will still be AQs. If I hear from theNCAA. NCAA I'll make any necessary corrections.

Hey Brandon. Good to see you back around posting and all is well.

I am 99.9% confident the AQ stands.

My interest is if/how things will be handled when a team only plays 8 D2 games against another team that plays 11 D2 games.

I will look at inkblot's link and maybe that might answer a lot of questions I have.

[Brandon]

buf.. I was toldthat the npi will be used for at large selections an there will still be AQs. If I hear from theNCAA. NCAA I'll make any necessary corrections.

[Inkblot]

I calculated football NPI ratings for the last five years. https://www.patreon.com/posts/155289841

[Buffalo/Islander Alum]

Dials have been released for fall sports. https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...D2CH_NPIQA.pdf

So no more regional rankings, head to head, and regional selection committees?

Is there still automatic qualifiers for conference champions?

Looks like NPI will be released weekly?

[TheBigCat2192]

Dials have been released for fall sports. https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...D2CH_NPIQA.pdf

I’m somewhat surprised that the all of the Fall sport committees simply opted to use a 0.25/0.75 “dial” setting for W%/SOS, in contrast to the slightly wider spread across D3. Did they want a few seasons of data before they each individually begin tweaking things?

[Inkblot]

Dials have been released for fall sports. https://ncaaorg.s3.amazonaws.com/cha...D2CH_NPIQA.pdf

[Buffalo/Islander Alum]

Pitt and NW had /the same record last year and NW had to travel because of the HtoH. What would be the determiner under the new system?

Honestly in 2025 it was pretty easy in SR4 to seed the teams and know who 5-7 were. It was that last playoff spot that had the debate. UTPB did have the overall numbers and likely ended up the better choice but you felt for Western Oregon since there was a provision in the past where you could flip teams next to each other in head to head. I think what "saved" UTPB was there were several metrics and not all of them had UTPB/Western Oregon side by side. I will be interested to see how this new system handles the GAC silo if Harding comes back to the pack with the likes of Ouachita Baptist. Also all LSC schools will play at least 10 D2 games so that shouldnt be an issue for Western Oregon this time in 2026.

[TheBigCat2192]

I actually like the idea of an overtime adjustment to lessen the reward/punishment for those games on the grounds that overtime football isn’t real football, but I’m not sure what numbers would be ideal in order to avoid a Bettman Point scenario.

[Inkblot]

Pitt and NW had /the same record last year and NW had to travel because of the HtoH. What would be the determiner under the new system?

I think any version of NPI would have Pitt higher due to having played a tougher schedule.