Originally posted by Matt Burglund
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Do you get the IUP team that has shown up against Slippery Rock the past two years -- full of confidence and ready to roll ... or, do you get the team that went to Erie a couple weeks ago? Now, I fully acknowledge they went to Erie minus a great starter on both sides of the ball and I do think that played a role in their mentality that day. Coaches can ramble on about 'next man up' but I'm not sure the players always buy in to it. IUP looked like it was simply there to play that day. Gannon looked like it was there to win. Such a big difference in mentality.
Perfect example of what Dayjure Stewart's absence cost them in Erie: IUP either scored a TD in like 3-4 plays or went 3 and out. With no running game they couldn't run any clock. Their defense was on the field all day. And, as we saw, if you give a great QB that many chances while your defense gets run ragged ... that's what happens. You give up 43 points.
Point of the story: Stewart looked fresh last week. He has to have a monster day tomorrow. Every first down they get probably equates to 2-3 minutes of clock. Bagent can't be being Bagent while on the sidelines. IUP can't win a shootout tomorrow. They have to dictate the terms and pace of the game. IUP's DL is capable of having a big game tomorrow. That's a good group -- big and nasty. Bagent is extremely hard to actually hit and sack, but they at least have to make things uncomfortable.
I worry about the mindset of the secondary. They are going to get beat some tomorrow. This is a guy who is going to get drafted in April who also has great weapons. They aren't pitching a shutout. They have to avoid getting down in the dumps (like we saw in Erie).
Far and away, my opinion, Dayjure Stewart is the key to IUP winning tomorrow. IUP has the giant OL full of upperclassmen. They need to take over tomorrow. If they do, Stewart can make a lot of magic happen.
And, I think IUP is a little tired of hearing about Shepherd. This is their chance on a real big stage.
I'd be afraid to bet this game even using any of your money.
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