After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

[Casual_Observer]

This is after 6 Games

These Polls had some movement this week. The only question you end up having, was the TAMUC Vs MSU game considered at MSU or Neutral?

Games to watch this week:
Tarleton State (6-0) @ TX A&M Commerce (5-1)
West Texas A&M (3-2) @ Angelo State (3-2) - Winner has an outside shot at the last playoff spot with a little help.
St Cloud (4-2) @ Sioux Falls (4-2)
CSU - Pueblo (5-1) @ Colorado Mesa (4-2) - A loss could leave Pueblo seriously on the bubble.
Chadron State (4-2) @ Dixie State (4-2)


This poll is using the statistics that the NCAA identifies: D2 %, SOS, D2 Road, D2 vs.500, In Region % then there are bonuses given for In region wins and penalties for losses. (This formula was fairly close to final from last year).:
1.) MN State
2.) MN Duluth
3.) Colorado Mines
4.) Tarleton State
5.) CSU - Pueblo
6.) Central Washington
7.) Midwestern State
8.) Bemidji State
9.) TX A&M Commerce
10.) Azusa Pacific
11.) West Texas A&M
12.) Winona State
13.) Colorado Mesa
14.) Angelo State
15.) Sioux Falls

Set of numbers based on In Region W%+SOS+Overall D2 W%+D2 Road %:

1.) MN State - .839
2.) MN Duluth - .826
3.) Colorado Mines - .799
4.) CSU - Pueblo - .779
5.) Tarleton State - .766
6.) Midwestern State - .712
7.) Central Washington - .694
8.) TX A&M Commerce - .685
9.) Azusa Pacific - .680
10.) Bemidji State - .676
11.) Dixie State - .642
12.) West Texas A&M - .629
13.) Moorhead State - .618
14.) St Cloud - .610
15.) Sioux Falls - .606

Using Just Performance Index:
1.) MN State - 20
2.) MN Duluth - 19
3.) CSU - Pueblo - 18.167
4.) Colorado Mines - 18
5.) Tarleton State - 17
6.) Midwestern State - 16.167
7.) Central Washington - 15.6
8.) Azusa Pacific - 15.6
9.) TX A&M Commerce - 15.5
10.) Bemidji State - 14.5
11.) West Texas A&M - 14.4

[Turbonium]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

Pueblo should roll Mesa...but they have 3 opponents left with a combined 1 win so they'll start to take a big hit there even if they win out.

Mines has APU left but get them at home, I'd be very surprised if they are challenged the rest of the regular season.

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

Playing with the spreadsheet inputting next weeks projections using Massey. If Commerce & Pueblo wins then:
3.) Mines
4.) Pueblo
5.) MSU
6.) Central Washington
7.) TAMUC
8.) Tarleton State

3.) Pueblo - .798
4.) Mines - .779
5.) TAMUC - .734
6.) MSU - .717
7.) Central Washington - .703
8.) Tarleton St - .692

1T.) Pueblo - 18.86
4.) Mines - 17
5.) Central Washington - 16
6.) TAMUC - 15.86
7.) MSU - 15.86
8.) Tarleton State - 15.5

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

After going through with Massey Predictions which has Tarleton losing to both TAMUC and MSU:

1.) MN State - .796
2.) Mines - .791
3.) Duluth - .775
4.) Pueblo - .750
5.) TAMUC - .749
6.) MSU - .744
7.) Bemidji St - .686
8.) Tarleton St - .654
9.) Sioux Falls - .648
10.) Colorado Mesa - .642

1.) Mines
2.) MN State
3.) MN Duluth
4.) CSU - Pueblo
5.) MSU - Would Flip to 6
6.) TAMUC - Would Flip to 5
7.) Bemidji St
8.) Central Washington No Earned Access for GNAC
9.) Tarleton St
10.) Winona St

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

After going through with Massey Predictions if Tarleton beats TAMUC and loses to MSU:

1.) MN State - .796
2.) Mines - .791
3.) Duluth - .775
4.) Pueblo - .747
5.) MSU - .744
6.) Tarleton St - .713
7.) TAMUC - .698
8.) Bemidji St - .686
9.) Sioux Falls - .648
10.) Colorado Mesa - .642

1.) Mines
2.) MN State
3.) MN Duluth
4.) CSU - Pueblo
5.) MSU
6.) Tarleton St
7.) Bemidji St
8.) TAMUC
9.) Central Washington - No Earned Access for GNAC
10.) Winona St

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

After going through with Massey Predictions which has Tarleton loses to TAMUC but beats MSU:

1.) MN State - .796
2.) Mines - .791
3.) Duluth - .775
4.) Pueblo - .750
5.) TAMUC - .749
6.) Tarleton St - .713
7.) MSU - .691
8.) Bemidji St - .686
9.) Sioux Falls - .648
10.) Colorado Mesa - .642

1.) Mines
2.) MN State
3.) MN Duluth
4.) CSU - Pueblo
5.) TAMUC
6.) Tarleton St
7.) MSU
8.) Bemidji St
9.) Central Washington - No Earned Access for the GNAC
10.) Winona St

[Twincitiesmav]

[Boohaha]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

What does it look like if Tarleton wins out with pueblo and mines

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

Correct, NCAA packet list all conferences that do get earned access. There are 2 conferences that do not and the GNAC is one of them. I think the other is the GMAC.

[ctrabs74]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

Correct, NCAA packet list all conferences that do get earned access. There are 2 conferences that do not and the GNAC is one of them. I think the other is the GMAC.

Correct about the GNAC (fewer teams than required for EA, which is either six or eight) and the GMAC (second year of sponsoring football; will be eligible for EA next season).

[ctrabs74]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

These Polls had some movement this week. The only question you end up having, was the TAMUC Vs MSU game considered at MSU or Neutral?

The box score lists Apogee Stadium, Denton, as the site at the time the game was declared official (the end of the third quarter). That might lead me to believe that this game will be considered neutral, though, with the NCAA, who knows?

[Casual_Observer]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

The box score lists Apogee Stadium, Denton, as the site at the time the game was declared official (the end of the third quarter). That might lead me to believe that this game will be considered neutral, though, with the NCAA, who knows?

I discussed this last night with a member of MSU athletics department and they said that since the game started at memorial it is a Home game.

[Twincitiesmav]

Re: After 6 Games Playoff Rankings

Correct, NCAA packet list all conferences that do get earned access. There are 2 conferences that do not and the GNAC is one of them. I think the other is the GMAC.

Could very well happen if they beat each other up...