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  • SR4- Prediction

    Approaching the halfway point of the season and there's still a lot of good football left to be played but with Mines/Pueblo and Pueblo/Commerce already out of the way let's take a look at what SR4 might look like at the end of the season. After looking around the region and with remaining games on the schedule here is my prediction for how the super region shakes out.

    Seeding:

    #1 Mankato 11-0, Mankato has looked dominant and crushed #7 Duluth at home last weekend in an embarrassing 52-7 victory...

    #2 Tarleton 11-0, looks to be the class of the Lone Star for the second year in a row. Noticeable games left against Commerce, ENMU, and Midwestern after beating Angelo State yesterday.

    #3 Mines 11-0, should run the table barring taking a game off. Still have Western, Fort Lewis, and Dixie left on the schedule but all at home. With a non-conference game in California vs. Azuza (who has looked terrible this year) and a road trip up north to play against Tech (lost for the first time in school history last time they made the trip in 2017 and looks like Tech played CSUP really well yesterday). But the schedule looks pretty weak all things considering.

    #4/5
    Depends how they seed this, CSUP and Duluth will play in the first round if they both win out and 1-3 win out as expected.

    CSUP 10-1 Could very well be 9-2 since they still have to play on the road in Durango and we all know the history there... Should take care of their remaining conference games but this is also the worst CSUP offense potentially ever. However, I predict the CSUP defense carries them like they did last year and Pueblo wins out. CSUP vs. Mines rematch in Golden if Mines drops a game the rest of the way.

    Duluth 10-1, overrated like last year when they got stomped by Commerce at home in the first round of the playoffs but Duluth wins out the rest of the year in the exclusive NSIC to secure the #5 seed. CSUP dominates this game if the cards fall this way. They were EMBARRASSED last weekend against Mankato losing 52-7 on the road.

    #6/7
    It'll be interesting how things shake out the rest of the way. Wouldn't be shocked if Dixie wins out in RMAC play with the exception of Mines to get 3 RMAC teams into the playoffs for the first time maybe ever? CSUP beating Commerce really helps the RMAC in the SR4 power rankings, especially if Commerce wins out with the exception of Tarleton, we may actually see 3 RMAC teams clinch a playoff spot. Unless Bemidji State wins out, I think we see Dixie/LSC (Angelo or Commerce) in the #6/7 slots.

    Dixie State 9-2
    Bemidji State 9-2
    Commerce 8-3
    Angelo 9-2/8-3
    ENMU 8-3
    Midwestern State 8-3/7-4
    West Texas A&M 8-3/7-4

    The GNAC is cancelled this season with all of their teams losing to LSC teams and the lack of an autobid
    Azuza: 1-3
    Western Oregon: 3-2 (Losses to Angelo State and Commerce)
    Central Washington: 1-4 (Losses to Western Oregon and West Texas, got DESTROYED by Ferris in Week 2)
    Simon Fraser...being Simon Fraser

    Playoff matchups

    Rd. 1
    Dixie @ Tarleton -> Tarleton
    Commerce @ Mines -> Mines
    Duluth @ CSUP -> CSUP

    Rd. 2
    Mines @ Tarleton -> Tarleton
    CSUP @ Mankato -> Mankato
    Rd. 3
    Tarleton @ Mankato -> Mankato represents SR4 again.

    We'll see how well this ages. Let me know how you think things will shake out!

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