Hey Guys.

Sorry for the lack of depth on the picks lately. What can I say...been super busy. Am blessed to be so. Will see what I can whip up for you here:


Northern @ Tiffin

Northern has, traditionally, always been immediately in the hole by 4+ when they hit the road. If Jake Mayon can't play (that seems to be a prevailing opinion), that adds to the trouble. Toss in a defense giving up a league-worst 492 yards per game, and this sure looks like a relatively easy win for the Dragons on Military Appreciation Day.


Tech @ Ashland

Tech makes the longest trip the league offers to take on an Ashland team that has won five straight. We all know that Tech will play sound, disciplined football. That said, for me this comes down to the simple fact that in four league games this year the Huskies are completing less than 45% of their passes. That inability to effectively throw the ball is going to be a problem against a defense allowing less than 13 points per game. Ashland's going to score some points, and if Tech falls behind I just don't see them having the ability to play catch-up. If AU comes out firing, they have the opportunity to put this one away early.


McKendree @ Davenport

As much as I hate picking against a league team (well, ever), it's hard for me not to be realistic about things. McKendree is not a bad club, and Davenport still has so much work to do that I just can't see this one coming together for the Panthers. I stand by my statements previously that Davenport will eventually be competitive in this league, but the signs point to little chance we'll see glimpses of that yet in 2017. Pull the upset, DU! Would be stoked get a pick wrong here.


GVSU @ Truman

Despite the lengthy road trip, this should not prove to be a significant test for the Lakers. GV put one of its best performances together last week, and they seem to be continuing to take positive steps forward every week. GV's starting defense has only yielded three TD's in five games, and the Bulldogs have yet to post more than 19 points against a D2 opponent not named Lincoln...that's not a good trend, friends. These two played a year ago when Truman was 5-1 (as opposed to the 1-5 they are this year), and the game was essentially over by the end of the first quarter. Last year was last year, but it's hard not to lean toward GV here.


Ferris @ SVSU

Since Reggie Bell's injury, Ferris has continued to find ways to win despite their offense not being "other world prolific". That's not a knock, we just know what the production can/has looked like with Bell at the helm. In addition, FSU has played a couple of the league's best defenses in the last three weeks, and that certainly can't be overlooked. They'll face yet another solid D today as Saginaw has, very quietly, worked their way to the top of the league in total defense. Granted, against better teams the Cards have yielded some points, but I actually like their chances to hang around this one. While Saginaw's D is good, Ferris's is better...and I think that's the difference here.


Northwood @ Wayne

You know, I still think Wayne is better than what they have shown in losing four of five. DJ Zezula (if he can play today after getting dinged a week ago) is an experienced, talented QB. On top of that, the Warriors still have one of the best backfields in the league. The problem I have here is that their run defense has been exposed of late, and are now giving up nearly 195 rushing yards per game. That's not a trend to like heading into a game against a Northwood team that wants nothing more than to run the ball on you. While I'm still skittish about NU's lack of offensive balance, if they can control the front when they have the ball I think they can win this one.


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