Final Week of the Regular Season - Previews and Predictions

Brief Recap of last week:


ENMU v. MSU: ENMU took full control of the game against Midwestern by going up 27 points in the 1st quarter. The Mustangs had no answer for the ENMU run game and could not score enough to stay in this and win, giving them their 2ndrd KOR TD of the year. WT 63 WGA 23

TAMC v. HBU: Commerce had no problem taking down an outmatched Houston Baptist team. Commerce came out firing on all cylinders and took a 41 to 14 lead in a game that was pretty much over. The offense compiled 545 yards of total offense with passing consisting of over 400 yards of the total. HBU was no match for this improved team. Can the Lions take down a very very hot ENMU team??? ENMU just beat the 3 teams that Commerce lost to. TAMC 55 HBU 21

ASU v. TAMK: The Angelo Rams walked out with a victory over the Javelinas to improve their record on the season. The Rams stayed very balanced offensively all game and the Javelinas could not keep up with the play calling as the Rams raced out in front. However, ASU gave up over 300 yards through the air to the Javlinas, it was not enough to make a difference in the game. ASU 49 TAMK 28



Things were shaken up again this week with an ENMU win over Midwestern. This is probably the biggest week of the season for several teams. Who would think that ENMU would be in contention to take home some of the LSC crown at this point? I certainly did not see this coming but am not surprised because this team has lots of potential. Currently, there are two teams ranked in the D2football.com and AFCA poll: #20/25West Texas A&M and #23/24 Midwestern State.




Super Region 4 Rankings:

The Final Week of the Regular Season Previews and Predictions:
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Angelo State (4-6) (2-4) v. Incarnate Word (FCS) (6-4) Saturday, 2 p.m. Kickoff
San Antonio, TX Gayle & Tom Benson Stadium


Angelo State has won 2 straight games and is on the verge of winning their third. Can they beat this Incarnate Word team that just stunned ACU. The way that Angelo has been playing, that may very well happen. Incarnate word is very balanced this year with 1,887 rushing yards and 1,844 passing yards. The stat that stands out is that they have given up 2,474 passing yards to opponents. However, they have been solid against the run this season only allowing 1,362 rushing yards. On the other side, Angelo has been balanced leaning a little more towards the run game. Angelo has 2,546 yards rushing and 2,049 yards passing. They also struggle with the passing game giving up 2,780 passing yards but they are great against the run game only giving up 1,387 rushing yards. These two teams look very identical in over yards. Ultimatley, I think that Incarnate will need to rely on their passing game to help them win this game and same goes for Angelo. Whose passing game will out do the other? My thoughts fall with Angelo because they are just a little more explosive offensively and I think their defensive pressure will make good plays down the stretch. However, I think this could go either way. Furthermore, this game should be close and probably come down to the 4th quarter. I will pick Angelo to win on a high note.

Prediction: Angelo State 31 Incarnate Word 28



Texas A&M Kingsville (2-7) (0-6) v. Valdosta State (5-4) Saturday, 7 p.m. Kickoff
Kingsville, TX Javelina Stadium


What a disappointing season for both of these teams. Kingsville comes in on a 7 game losing streak and Valdosta comes in on a 3 game losing streak. Kingsville welcomes the defending champs to Javelina Stadium in a game that will be fairly one-sided. Valdosta has a lot of talent on both sides of the ball and has played considerably better than Kingsville. However, Kingsville has played a lot better over the past 3 weeks and has increased their offensive production to be competitive; but, the defense just cannot step up enough and makes critical stops. I have a difficult time seeing how Kingsville will have any way of winning this game with the way their defense is playing. Last year, this game was very close and was the closest game that the Blazers had before making their Championship run to a National Title. They won by 7 points and ended up moving on to win the whole thing. I think this year will be way different as both teams are struggling and having a hard time. Look for Valdosta to go up early and coast to their season ending game against the Javelinas.

Prediction: Valdosta State 41 Texas A&M Kingsville 30



Texas A&M Commerce (7-3) (2-3) v. Eastern New Mexico (5-3) (4-1) Saturday, 2 p.m. CST Kickoff
Commerce, TX Memorial Stadium


This is going to be one heck of a game. Two of the most improved programs clashing in their season finales. Who will knock the other one off the tree stump? The Lions have racked up a staggering 3,184 total passing yards. The one thing that they have done really well is stopping the run. They 2nd in the nation in sacks and can get into the backfield, in a hurry. They have the best rushing defense in the LSC and it will be challenged this weekend. ENMU has amassed 2,207 yards on the ground and have jumped up quite a bit in their passing department to 1,453 total passing yards. ENMU is on a roll and playing for a share of the LSC title for the first time in a long time. I know they will have that in the back of their mind as they play this game. When I think of this matchup, I go back to the ENMU-WT game. It will be a similar matchup to that game. I think that Commerce has a better rushing defense and can make some good stops. However, I think they will be overwhelmed by the ENMU running game just like the past several teams have. I think the ENMU run game will determine the pace of this game and should be interesting to watch the #1 LSC rushing defense challenged. I have to go with ENMU on this one, especially, the way that they are playing right now. ENMU earns a share of the title for the first time in a long time.

Prediction: Eastern New Mexico 38 Texas A&M Commerce 24



Game of the Week: Tarleton State (7-2) (5-1) v. North Alabama (7-2) Saturday, 2 p.m. Kickoff
Stephenville, TX Memorial Stadium
Tarleton N. Alabama
Scoring Points 321 367
Opponent Points 245 168
Passing Yards 3,020 1,779
Rushing Yards 1,398 1,947
Total Offense 4,418 3,726
INTs 7 20
Sacks 18 21
TFLs 53 75
Total Defense 3,918 3,320
Rush Defense 1,213 1,512
Pass Defense 2,705 1,808



Prediction: North Alabama 35 Tarleton State 31



Game of the Year: #20/25 West Texas A&M (8-2) (3-2) v. #23/24 Midwestern State (7-2) (3-2), Saturday, 1 p.m. Kickoff
Wichita Falls, TX Memorial Stadium


















# - indicates LSC ranking West Texas Midwestern
()- indicates national ranking
Scoring Offense (avg/g) 53.7 #1 (2) 42.2 #2 (14)
Total Offense (avg/g) 529.8 #1 (5) 430.6 #4 (53)
Total Defense (avg/g) 419.7 #6 344.7 #1
Rushing Offense (yds/g) 113.7 #6 277.3 #1
Rushing Defense (yds/g) 175.7 #7 163.0 #5
Passing Offense (avg/g) 416.1 #1 (1) 153.2 #7
Passing Defense (avg/g) 244.0 #4 181.7 #1 (16)
Kickoff Return (avg) 30.9 #1 (1) 19.5 #6
Punt Return (avg) 14.7 #1 (15) 12.0 #4 (41)
INTs 9 #5 12 #1
Sacks by 33 #2 (15) 15 #7
Sacks Against 20 #5 10 #1
Turnover Margin (overall) #1 #2
Redzone Offense (pct) 92.2% #2 93.3% #1
Redzone Defense (pct) 68.2% #1 78.6% #4
Tackles For Loss (TFLs) 111 (1) 52

Prediction: West Texas 45 Midwestern State 42



Please feel free to say the answer in the comments section below. I will answer the question next week with a detailed answer.


Thanks for reading and travel safely to your sporting events!

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