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  • northernGNAChoopfan
    replied
    Boy, I really hope for a season next year too. If I were a football fan, I would be worried too. Vaccines are a ways out. It's possible that they could be ready earlier than a year from now, but that probability is really, really low. We still don't have a vaccine for HIV and we continue to struggle to stay ahead of influenza and develop vaccines each year that will actually target circulating strains.

    The U.S. is behind the 8-ball with testing and we are thus flying blind compared to other countries who can see better what's happening and how they'll be able to back out of "lockdown status" without triggering another huge wave of cases. Remember in the 1918 influenza pandemic, there were three waves of deaths due to this strain of flu that was novel, like the coronavirus circulating now. Without better testing the single factor that remains the most important in getting society back to normal is how people behave. If we want to watch sports, we need to break the chain of transmission and stay away from people and follow mandates seriously. I'm surprised to learn in my group of friends locally how many people are twisting the mandates to interpret them as is most convenient for what they would like to be able to do rather than what the mandates are intended to direct us to do and not to do. If we can get enough people to break the chain of transmission it means that the big brains and great minds in the U.S. can shift to figuring out how to back out of this lockdown after we've controlled the initial outbreaks in a way that won't trigger another big wave rather than fighting over ventilators and PPE.

    Schools may be open well before everything else gets back to normal though. All models indicate if we loosen up NPIs (non-pharmaceutical interventions, eg school closures, public gathering bans, business closures, etc) there will be a rebound in cases and we will start all over again. Children are different with regard to the fact that they are not as susceptible to this virus, but what is their role in transmission? Sporting events will likely be low on the priority list of restrictions to loosen, due to the huge economic impacts that are going to take precedence over sports when we can start baby-stepping back to normal. The best news sources for what backing out and getting back to normal may look like will come from watching and reading news from other countries that are ahead of us in this pandemic. China is very slowly opening up, Germany is talking about how to do that and getting closer, Norway and Austria too. Sweden and Iceland took very different paths initially and will be interesting too.

    My "best case scenario" right this minute is that preseason/non-conference play for basketball may come too early based on models to actually happen, but it might be more likely that timing of the regular season in December or January might be more realistic. Fan restrictions? Maybe. A LOT could happen that we can't predict though. I was wrong about basically everything about basketball over the last few years. I said you guys were clowns for thinking Sparling would come to Fairbanks, amongst lots of other wrong predictions...

    Leave a comment:


  • Anchorage
    replied
    Originally posted by tsull View Post

    My motto right now is: Hoping for a hoop season. I think football season is kaput for this year. Complete, 100% moron idiots like Mike Gundy and Dabo Swinney are saying practices will get going this summer and we'll be ready to go. I guarantee you not one has ever read a peer reviewed science journal in their life. Swinney says because we put a man on the moon we''ll fix this by the fall. Freaking moron. The University of Oklahoma -- yeah, the Sooners -- aren't letting anyone back on campus until August 1st. They're not listening to stupid football coaches, they're listening to scientists.

    Yes, next year's hoop season could be in peril and I'd understand why, NYC deaths are climbing right now, rural America is getting hit harder. Here in idaho our numbers keep going up every day -- not down. Stupid, rich football coaches should spend some time in hospitals right now and see how things are going.

    Just hoping for a hoop season ... not expecting it, but hoping for one.
    For a bit more optimism...Fauci was just on one of the news networks and he said while he can’t completely predict, that he thought schools (grade, high and college) everywhere will be back in session in the fall. And if schools are open then it’s probably not far behind that it’s back to life in some semblance of normal. So we can continue to hope...

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Originally posted by crixus View Post
    I just heard a Doctor with the World Health Organization say that he doubts they'll be a vaccine for Covid 19 until the next 12-18 months. So there's a possibility that there won't be a 2020-2021 basketball season. But I'm an optimist and will be hoping for the best.
    My motto right now is: Hoping for a hoop season. I think football season is kaput for this year. Complete, 100% moron idiots like Mike Gundy and Dabo Swinney are saying practices will get going this summer and we'll be ready to go. I guarantee you not one has ever read a peer reviewed science journal in their life. Swinney says because we put a man on the moon we''ll fix this by the fall. Freaking moron. The University of Oklahoma -- yeah, the Sooners -- aren't letting anyone back on campus until August 1st. They're not listening to stupid football coaches, they're listening to scientists.

    Yes, next year's hoop season could be in peril and I'd understand why, NYC deaths are climbing right now, rural America is getting hit harder. Here in idaho our numbers keep going up every day -- not down. Stupid, rich football coaches should spend some time in hospitals right now and see how things are going.

    Just hoping for a hoop season ... not expecting it, but hoping for one.

    Leave a comment:


  • crixus
    replied
    I just heard a Doctor with the World Health Organization say that he doubts they'll be a vaccine for Covid 19 until the next 12-18 months. So there's a possibility that there won't be a 2020-2021 basketball season. But I'm an optimist and will be hoping for the best.
    Last edited by crixus; 04-08-2020, 05:41 AM.

    Leave a comment:


  • CWU Wildcat Nation
    replied
    CWU's Kevin Baker is heading to the islands to play for HPU http://www.verbalcommits.com/players/kevin-baker-wa

    Leave a comment:


  • Anchorage
    replied
    Originally posted by northernGNAChoopfan View Post
    UAF: UAF graduates four players in Hatch, McCullough, Daugharty, and Sweet. Sweet was a threat for scoring and his points and toughness will be missed. McCullough had some mighty energy that proved crucial in a few wins over the season. Daugharty was a season-long starter, but rarely looked for a shot and mostly seemed to be a reliable defender and passer. Hatch, along with McCullough were Durham's last recruits to move through the school and Hatch brought some fundamental skills and energy in a few key moments this year too.

    Returning for UAF:
    • PG: Huerta, a junior, becoming senior, at 5'9" is a teeny PG, but he was a fairly reliable shooter and got better through the season and taking to the lane and he also used his small size to play a more surprising role on defense. Lee, a true freshman had a few quality moments, but in his rush to get playing time, he often overlooked his main job in setting up the offense and being the PG on the floor. With maturity and more patience, he looks to have some potential.
    • Shooting Guard: Howard, a junior, becoming senior came off the bench for a few explosive minutes this season. I don't know much about Kelly, who is a JUCO who redshirted this last season.
    • Small Forward: Banks came off the bench and exploded a few times this season for points. He has a great pull up jumper, has a great touch right underneath the basket off the drive, but seemed to lack confidence to make that magic consistently. I look forward to seeing him develop that next year. Sommerfield, at 6'7" is the only real size the team has outside of Kachjaani, and while a great spot-up shooter and decent rebounder, lacks a more well rounded skill set. He clearly does not desire to bang down low and his defense in the post leaves something to be desired too, although he did improve tremendously there this season. I don't know anything about local SF, Scarboro who redshirted this season.
    • Forward/Center: Kachjaani was a true freshman this year and that was the consistent thing; he was still trying to untangle his legs and arms and be competitive at the same time. He had some shining moments and matched up well on occasion, but he needs a lot of foot and hand work still. Lots of potential there, but he needs to put in a tremendous amount of time with his skills to be more consistent.
    • Shabazz: Clearly took the conference by storm this year. His defense was marvelous and the passing on par as well. I like how he chooses to score. There's not much to pick at with his production, but I will say that it won't be so easy to turn in the same kinds of numbers next year, nor will it be easy to deal with the pressure of preseason awards and expectations. And I don't really doubt that he can mentally deal with that, because the team could be much better with more depth and balance. He doesn't really need me to slather on more than this, nor is it beneficial to pick at the few things he could do much better. Staying humble and adjusting to what the team will most need from him will be key to his and the team's success next season. I look forward to seeing him settle into that role, whatever it will look like.
    It was a real joy to watch this team this year. They found a good rhythm together and although they lacked many things, they stuck together and more often than not surprised teams all season long. They bring back 7 players who had court time this year, if they all return. Each brings something and each has a lot of off-season work to do.

    What UAF needs:
    • At least 2 players who can rebound, body up, score inside and defend the post at this level of play. To do that in this league, you need to be 6'6" at minimum. Those players are rare and hard to find, just by nature of their rare size and then add the developed talent already, and they are even rarer. Playing at this level is a big step up from high school ball and a pretty big step from JC ball too, so it'll take some real recruiting to find this.
    • Some depth at the guard positions.
    The need that doesn't appear on paper is the need to develop and sustain the team energy they had this year. UAF is most likely going to remain a dark horse, underdog sort of team just by nature of its existence in Fairbanks, so more than flashy players, they really need the team atmosphere that along with Shabazz won them many games that they otherwise would not have won this year. A focus on defense wouldn't hurt either. I'll be excited to see what the recruiting season yields for the coming year.
    I think even in high school Lee was at his best when he was getting others involved and setting his teammates up. He worked well off his younger (and more athletic, taller and better scoring) brother Chris. (Chris is being recruited by both UAA and UAF currently) They worked well together as Marcus knew where to get Chris the ball so he could put the ball in the hole. Ultimately I think that needs to be his role at this level, organize the offense and get people the ball in their spots, and he will be successful.

    I’ve heard good things about Scarboro but I’ve never seen him play in HS. I’ll be interested to see what he does his first year as well.

    Agree that Fairbanks could use some toughness up front. But honestly if they had a few more shooting threats to stretch out the defense? That would really maximize Shabazz and create even more space for him to operate...and he doesn’t need much. I suspect he’s going to see even more double teams next year, having enough shooters to really make the defense pay when they double would be a top priority for me if I was Sparling.

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Stump, Billy Bronco, you out there? :smile-big:

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Awesome reports Nation and Northern, very thorough.

    Leave a comment:


  • northernGNAChoopfan
    replied
    UAF: UAF graduates four players in Hatch, McCullough, Daugharty, and Sweet. Sweet was a threat for scoring and his points and toughness will be missed. McCullough had some mighty energy that proved crucial in a few wins over the season. Daugharty was a season-long starter, but rarely looked for a shot and mostly seemed to be a reliable defender and passer. Hatch, along with McCullough were Durham's last recruits to move through the school and Hatch brought some fundamental skills and energy in a few key moments this year too.

    Returning for UAF:
    • PG: Huerta, a junior, becoming senior, at 5'9" is a teeny PG, but he was a fairly reliable shooter and got better through the season and taking to the lane and he also used his small size to play a more surprising role on defense. Lee, a true freshman had a few quality moments, but in his rush to get playing time, he often overlooked his main job in setting up the offense and being the PG on the floor. With maturity and more patience, he looks to have some potential.
    • Shooting Guard: Howard, a junior, becoming senior came off the bench for a few explosive minutes this season. I don't know much about Kelly, who is a JUCO who redshirted this last season.
    • Small Forward: Banks came off the bench and exploded a few times this season for points. He has a great pull up jumper, has a great touch right underneath the basket off the drive, but seemed to lack confidence to make that magic consistently. I look forward to seeing him develop that next year. Sommerfield, at 6'7" is the only real size the team has outside of Kachjaani, and while a great spot-up shooter and decent rebounder, lacks a more well rounded skill set. He clearly does not desire to bang down low and his defense in the post leaves something to be desired too, although he did improve tremendously there this season. I don't know anything about local SF, Scarboro who redshirted this season.
    • Forward/Center: Kachjaani was a true freshman this year and that was the consistent thing; he was still trying to untangle his legs and arms and be competitive at the same time. He had some shining moments and matched up well on occasion, but he needs a lot of foot and hand work still. Lots of potential there, but he needs to put in a tremendous amount of time with his skills to be more consistent.
    • Shabazz: Clearly took the conference by storm this year. His defense was marvelous and the passing on par as well. I like how he chooses to score. There's not much to pick at with his production, but I will say that it won't be so easy to turn in the same kinds of numbers next year, nor will it be easy to deal with the pressure of preseason awards and expectations. And I don't really doubt that he can mentally deal with that, because the team could be much better with more depth and balance. He doesn't really need me to slather on more than this, nor is it beneficial to pick at the few things he could do much better. Staying humble and adjusting to what the team will most need from him will be key to his and the team's success next season. I look forward to seeing him settle into that role, whatever it will look like.
    It was a real joy to watch this team this year. They found a good rhythm together and although they lacked many things, they stuck together and more often than not surprised teams all season long. They bring back 7 players who had court time this year, if they all return. Each brings something and each has a lot of off-season work to do.

    What UAF needs:
    • At least 2 players who can rebound, body up, score inside and defend the post at this level of play. To do that in this league, you need to be 6'6" at minimum. Those players are rare and hard to find, just by nature of their rare size and then add the developed talent already, and they are even rarer. Playing at this level is a big step up from high school ball and a pretty big step from JC ball too, so it'll take some real recruiting to find this.
    • Some depth at the guard positions.
    The need that doesn't appear on paper is the need to develop and sustain the team energy they had this year. UAF is most likely going to remain a dark horse, underdog sort of team just by nature of its existence in Fairbanks, so more than flashy players, they really need the team atmosphere that along with Shabazz won them many games that they otherwise would not have won this year. A focus on defense wouldn't hurt either. I'll be excited to see what the recruiting season yields for the coming year.

    Leave a comment:


  • CWU Wildcat Nation
    replied
    I wrote a season preview on my Facebook page https://www.facebook.com/notes/cwu-c...4623228318480/

    CWU will be losing 5 of their top 6 scorers, 3 guards to graduation and 2 forwards transferring.

    Graduating 3 of their top guards in Jeryn Lucas (13.8 ppg), Davon Bolton (9.2 ppg), and Gamaun Boykin (7.4 ppg, 2.5 apg). Top returning guard will be Oregon State and Idaho transfer Xavier Smith (9.1 ppg). Poised for a breakout year will be Micah Pollard, who scored in double-digits on five occasions including both of the last two games of the season. Amari Stafford, Lewis Pope, and Rayvaughn Bolton (the latter two redshirted last season) will also add to the depth.

    Losing the top two forwards in Kevin Baker (8.4 ppg) and Tariq Woody (10.4 ppg), who will both be transferring away. Matt Poquette (7.3 ppg, 5 rpg, 1.1 bpg) and Marqus Gilson (5.9 ppg, 5.1 rpg), will be the top returning forwards. Malcolm Cola played in just 5 games last season with only about 5 minutes per game while Westchester (Los Angeles) product Zellie Hudson only averaged 4.6 minutes per game in 15 games. So hopefully they can get back on track. And joining the Wildcats next season will be 6’9” Tri-Cities area star Kyson Rose, who has of now will have 3 inches over the next tallest players on the team (6’6” Matt Poquette and Malcolm Cola).

    Honestly CWU has some work to do

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Northern, where are you? Probably really busy ... if you have the time, chime in, you have the top player in the country returning, that's gonna be fun.

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Originally posted by crixus View Post

    Oops! I guess I'm always thinking football first. I'm getting old and have noticed my brain farts are increasing. My apologies. Grandpa needs a nap.
    No problem, and IMO, a bring-back-Humboldt football topic can land on any board!

    Leave a comment:


  • crixus
    replied
    Originally posted by tsull View Post

    Well, you can still post Humboldt's prospectives in CCAA basketball ... but yeah, I wish HSU still was playing football, they had the best stadium/game-day venue on the west coast, if not west of the Mississippi.
    Oops! I guess I'm always thinking football first. I'm getting old and have noticed my brain farts are increasing. My apologies. Grandpa needs a nap.
    Last edited by crixus; 04-02-2020, 05:12 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • tsull
    replied
    Awesome breakdown, Anchorage, that's what I was looking for!

    Leave a comment:


  • Anchorage
    replied
    UAA -


    Best Returning Player -

    Oggie Pantovic/Tobin Karlberg

    Pantovic was possibly the surprise player of the GNAC showing a great ability to score and rebound the ball around the basket for the Seawolves. Tough as nails with silky smooth jumper, Karlberg took another giant step forward to become one of the most consistent players on the team despite being just a sophomore.

    Other Key Returning Players -


    DeAndre Osuige, solid do-everything guard. Great athlete and motor with improvements on his jumper needed.

    Amare Hale/David Riley, came in with expectations but never found consistent minutes. Will be interesting if they decide to come back or try to find a program that better fits.


    Concerns -


    It’s early...potentially a lot of openings to be filled this summer despite this crazy recruiting period. Wings need to be a top priority for the team.


    Unknown -


    Wing Danilo Guzman is a jack of all trades type who has spent his redshirt year developing his outside shot and ball handling skills. He should be a rotation player in the near future.


    6’9 redshirt freshman Center Evan Hoosier should add some interior defense, presence and rebounding right off the bat which the Seawolves desperately need.


    6’0 true freshman Moses is dynamic point guard who is a 3 level scorer. Isaiah can play extremely fast or slow it down and run an offense. He excels at getting to the basket but also is a career 40% + 3pt shooter in high school. He gives the Seawolves a different look than they previously had but he also has never played a minute of college ball so that is an unknown.


    Keegan Crosby - Wing Player with great pedigree (High School starter from the #1 team in the country his SR year, North Idaho CC) who redshirted a year at North Idaho because of injury. Crosby got to UAA with 3 years eligibility but issues with his transfer made it so he couldn’t play till the spring semester. He was very rusty and seemingly trying to play himself into shape, never got consistent minutes down the stretch. I think there is a lot more to this guy that could show through with a full pre-season and season. He has two years of eligibility remaining.

    There is talent in this group...it’s just showing it on the court in real games.


    Outlook - The Seawolves will assuredly have a different look next season from this season. Being so early in the process not knowing fully who is coming back and what their recruiting class ends up being...it’s tough to make any type of prediction. I feel good about the bigs and the point guard position...but lots of work needed 2 through 4. So my prediction will simply be change around Oggie and Tobin, who are two very good building blocks.

    ***update 4/4 - following UAA mentions on twitter, it appears 6’4 wing Hunter Sweet has committed to the Seawolves for his senior season. Hunter scored 12 ppg and shot 40% from 3 for Concordia (Or) last season and was honorable mention all-GNAC. He fills a area of need for sure and I suspect will get some good minutes in the rotation for the Seawolves.

    4/5 - UAA adds 6’2 SG Tyson Gilbert, previously of D2 CSU-Pueblo. Gilbert averaged 11 pts and shot 43% from 3pt range last season. He has 2 years of eligibility remaining.
    Last edited by Anchorage; 04-05-2020, 06:38 PM.

    Leave a comment:

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