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  • IUPbigINDIANS
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post

    I wonder if football will disappear as a core requirement. Big money loser in d2 with median loss of $1+M a year, according to one study. If alumni could set aside tradition, it makes financial sense to drop it and pick up lower cost sports.

    Imho once enrollment falls below 1000, schools lose critical mass to remain solvent in the long term, unless they have a huge endowment.
    I'd love to see that study if you have it.

    To be honest, I find it shocking - especially considering how many of the players are paying their own way.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by boatcapt View Post

    Bylaws stat the minimum FTE enrollment for new members is 1000. Also states new members must meet "Core Sports" sponsorship which includes football. Clearly the conf is not requiring new schools to meet the Core Sports requirement (D&E and now Point Park) so I guess they could equally ignore the 1000 FTE student "requirement."

    Seems like we're in make it up as we go mode.
    I wonder if football will disappear as a core requirement. Big money loser in d2 with median loss of $1+M a year, according to one study. If alumni could set aside tradition, it makes financial sense to drop it and pick up lower cost sports.

    Imho once enrollment falls below 1000, schools lose critical mass to remain solvent in the long term, unless they have a huge endowment.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post

    I think their low enrollment could be a barrier to entry at 782 (fall 2022). We already have a couple of existing schools in that situation.
    Bylaws stat the minimum FTE enrollment for new members is 1000. Also states new members must meet "Core Sports" sponsorship which includes football. Clearly the conf is not requiring new schools to meet the Core Sports requirement (D&E and now Point Park) so I guess they could equally ignore the 1000 FTE student "requirement."

    Seems like we're in make it up as we go mode.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by boatcapt View Post
    WLU had another hard to tell much game Wed night vs Salem. Toppers won handily 112-72. Salem was out gunned and out classed from the opening tip.

    Salem is struggling as the AB "stand in." If this season is their "MEC audition," the MEC would be better served looking elsewhere.
    I think their low enrollment could be a barrier to entry at 782 (fall 2022). We already have a couple of existing schools in that situation.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Scrub View Post

    WLU ended up winning the battle of the boards (which is surprising given that Concord leads the nation in rebounding).

    Curious, though, that May took so long to slow down. Concord decided to run with WLU for the whole first half to the tune of a 20-point deficit. But once May decided to slow the pace and exploit size mismatches in the second half, it was an evenly played game. Had he gone there from the start (rather than playing from a 20-point hole), I'm not sure whether WLU comes out with a win.
    Coaches hate to change what they do. They figure if they just do it harder or better, eventually they will break through. Typically, as with this game, they don't change until it's too late.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    WLU had another hard to tell much game Wed night vs Salem. Toppers won handily 112-72. Salem was out gunned and out classed from the opening tip.

    Salem is struggling as the AB "stand in." If this season is their "MEC audition," the MEC would be better served looking elsewhere.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by boatcapt View Post

    Good article. Some small concerns...he expected to have a list of offers an arm long. Reading into that, when WLU came in late and offered him, he jumped on it. Makes me wonder what he will do if a D1 expresses interest? As his father told him, it only takes one!
    I guess anything is possible these days. Some positives:
    - he likes the wlu style.
    - he likes the school academically.
    - 4.3 gpa and high basketball iq is usually not a good fit for aau style give me the rock bottom feeder d1 schools
    - his physical size is better suited for d2 than the much more physical mid major d1 game.
    - he may have gotten lower d1 interest but it wasn't a good fit. We don't know who offered.
    - dad is AD of his school. Parents who are coaches or former college players "get it" that the wlu style is good training for europe.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-26-2024, 02:08 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post
    Fyi - interesting article about jp dragas and his recruiting visit to wlu before he signed.
    https://www.starbeacon.com/sports/ma...16553a0b1.html
    Good article. Some small concerns...he expected to have a list of offers an arm long. Reading into that, when WLU came in late and offered him, he jumped on it. Makes me wonder what he will do if a D1 expresses interest? As his father told him, it only takes one!

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI
    A Dummy’s Observations on WLU vs Glenville 1/20/23 WLU 114-78

    GSU Game Plan
    The new coach for GSU is a legend in southern WV, having won the NIAA national championship at Mountain State University and has won over 500 games. He has a good eye for athletic talent as he has recruited far and wide for players. For example, Dominique Penn, son of OSU star Scoonie Penn and NBA assistant coach, played at D1 Univ Washington and Seattle Univ before GSU. Collins, a 6-8 player who years ago verbally committed to WLU for about 2- or 3-days before winding up at Marshall and then at Pikeville KY last year is a mobile big who can shoot the three. Returnee Turbo Smith is one of the better guards in the MEC. GSU plays a deep bench, which could delay or mitigate the onset of fatigue against the WLU pressure.
    With his bench and athletes, his game plan was to run with WLU in an open court, transition game. Their guards had the green light to shoot threes in transition with no one under. They will also attack the rim in dribble drives.
    First Half
    Turbo Smith for GSU and Montague from WLU were on fire from three. The difference was Turbo was launching in transition with no one under. In contrast, Montague was getting great open looks, primarily from kick out passes from his teammates.
    GSU played their starting five over 6 minutes before subbing 3 players. At the time the WLU lead was 3.
    Smith played 8.5 mins and Penn played nearly 10 minutes before subbing out. At around the 9:25 minute mark, the WLU lead was 12 and GSU had already committed 11 turnovers. The lead continued to grow to 22 with 1:39 left.
    WLU was moving the ball quickly on offense, driving to collapse the defense and then finding the teammate for wide open looks from three. WLU had 5 secondary assists, which indicated GSU was getting a step slow on their rotations from fatigue. By the half WLU had forced 18 turnovers and led by 19 at 59-40.
    Second Half
    WLU hit a cold spell, where they only scored 7 points in nearly 7.5 minutes. In a testament to WLU’s defense, GSU only narrowed the halftime lead by 4 points in that time span. GSU could not get closer than 15 down, when they lost their legs and the lead stretched to 21 at the 9:25 mark. The fatigue increased, resulting in a 30-point lead at the 4:48 mark.
    In the second half, as the game got beyond the reach of GSU, I thought GSU got a little chippy. After a steal by Fergus, Collins fouled Fergus in the lower leg with his leg, which the ref missed because he was looking at the upper body for contact. Hinds took a hard elbow to the ribs after he committed a reach in foul. With the shot clock off, WLU called off the dogs, as is customary. As WLU dribbling out the clock, Turbo Smith left his man and ran across the court to try to steal the ball from behind. He was called for a foul. After that bush league play, the dogs were called back. WLU passed the ball inbounds to West, who buried a three. A fitting end to the game.

    Keys to the game:
    • Glenville did not have the quality depth to counter the WLU pressure. IMHO, they played their starters too long before giving them a break. They have talent, but still lack cohesion.
    • WLU roster made significant strides as a team in this game. The new players, both guards and forwards, greatly reduced their difficult shot attempts, while finding a teammate for a great shot. The style is starting to become second nature. They have not approached their ceiling.
    • WLU moved the ball much better, resulting in an outstanding 2.33 assist to turnover ratio, 28 assists and an elite offensive rating of 128 points per 100 possessions and team shooting efficiency of 60%.
    • WLU played solid defense, causing shot clock violations and several 5 second calls. Glenville's offensive rating was 90 pts per 100 possessions, which indicates great WLU defense. 58% of Glenville's 31 turnovers were live ball turnovers.
    • IMHO, Shuler, Fergus and Korte draw attention from multiple defenders when they have the ball in their hands, which allows their teammates to back cut for easy shots or receive kick outs for open looks from three. In particular, Fergus would have had 3 or 4 more assists, had his teammates ben able to convert an easy shot.
    • Fergus’ defense is improving as he had 4 steals. In the press he, like Shuler, is like a free safety, watching the passer’s eyes and jumping into the passing lane.
    • We have several players who will pick your pocket or intercept your pass in the back court in Montague, Spadafora, Shuler, Fergus and Rasile.
    • Our goal defending bigs in the press did a great job of managing some 2 on 1 attacks against them, forcing them into bad passes, which prevented dunks.
    • Multiple players had great shooting nights. Montague had an effective FG% of 115%, while Spadafora was 77%, Shuler was 65% and Woodward was 60%, followed by Rasile at 55% and Fergus at 50%.

    Effective FG %
    This stat weighs the value of the 3-point shot 50% more than a 2-pt shot, which allows more effective comparison with post players, etc. A perfect score for a 2-pt shooter who does not miss is 100%. However, if the shooter only shoots threes and never misses, the maximum possible value is 150%. Here were the top effective shooters for WLU:

    Box Score

    number Player Minutes FGM FGA FG% 3PT 3PTA 3PT% FTM FTA FT% PTS Effective FG%
    01 Montague, Christian 20 8 10 80.0% 7 9 77.8% 0 0 0.0% 23 115.0%
    10 Spadafora, Dante 19 5 9 55.6% 4 6 66.7% 2 3 66.7% 16 77.8%
    04 Shuler, Lanyc 18 6 10 60.0% 1 4 25.0% 2 2 100.0% 15 65.0%
    03 Woodward, Finley 19 3 5 60.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 6 60.0%
    25 Rasile, Zach 20 4 10 40.0% 3 9 33.3% 1 1 100.0% 12 55.0%
    02 Fergus, Darren 15 2 4 50.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 4 50.0%
    23 West, Alek 20 2 7 28.6% 2 5 40.0% 0 0 0.0% 6 42.9%
    24 Sarson, Ben 19 3 9 33.3% 0 3 0.0% 4 5 80.0% 10 33.3%
    05 Korte, John 18 1 3 33.3% 0 1 0.0% 7 8 87.5% 9 33.3%
    13 Daugustino, Kyler 16 0 5 0.0% 0 1 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0.0%
    11 Barnhart, Grant 3 0 2 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 0 0 0.0% 2 0.0%

    Advanced Game Stats
    Statistic WLU 1/20/24 Glenville
    Factor 0.44 0.44
    FGM 39 25
    FGA 82 56
    FTM 16 20
    FTA 19 26
    Three Point FGM 20 8
    three Point FGA 45 25
    Off REB 12 9
    Def REB 23 32
    Total REB 35 41
    Assists 28 15
    Turnovers 12 31
    Steals 18 4
    Turnovers Forced 31 12
    Points 114 78
    Games Played 1 1
    Number of Possessions 89 87
    Pts per Possession 1.28 0.90
    Offensive Rating - pts/100 possessions 128 90
    Shooting Efficiency (FGM +0.5*3ptFGM)/FGA 60% 52%
    FT % 84% 77%
    3PT% 44% 32%
    2PT% 51% 55%
    Turnovers Per Game 12 31
    Turnover % 13% 36%
    Percent Forced Live Ball Turnovers 58% 33%
    Assists % of FG Made 31% 17%
    Assist to Turnover Ratio 2.33 0.48

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Fyi - interesting article about jp dragas and his recruiting visit to wlu before he signed.
    https://www.starbeacon.com/sports/ma...16553a0b1.html

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by Scrub View Post

    WLU ended up winning the battle of the boards (which is surprising given that Concord leads the nation in rebounding).

    Curious, though, that May took so long to slow down. Concord decided to run with WLU for the whole first half to the tune of a 20-point deficit. But once May decided to slow the pace and exploit size mismatches in the second half, it was an evenly played game. Had he gone there from the start (rather than playing from a 20-point hole), I'm not sure whether WLU comes out with a win.
    I thought the game was a great half court defensive battle by both teams. WLU really disrupted their offense in the first half. WLU showed that it can win even when forcing only 13 turnovers.
    Great foul shooting and rebounding really helped WLU.
    But we are still having short stretches where we take difficult shots, either off balance or contested by 2 players. This could bite us if we are shooting our normal 70% FT and are not getting offensive rebounds.

    I liked Coach May's adjustment in the 2nd half. He not only forsook the three for the size advantage inside, but he also cleared out the side from the low post guy so that there was no guard to drop down on help defense. In the first half, our guards were making the bigs pick up the ball after 1 dribble. He also put a taller player on Rasile to limit his open looks.

    In the second half, they also baited WLU into taking early threes with no one under.
    IMHO, a great 3 point shot has the following characteristics:
    1 Shooter's feet are set .
    2. Defender is at least 6 feet away
    3. Teammates are anticipating the shot and moving toward the rim before the shot is released to get in rebounding position.

    WLU was taking threes early in the shot clock when #3 above was not met. No one was under. One and done.
    Also sometimes the three looked a little rushed.

    Once we got into our half court game, moving without the ball and rapidly passing the ball 5 or 6 times, we started getting easier scores. We started getting secondary assists.
    Player 1 passes to player 2 within 2 seconds
    Player 2 passes to player 3 within 2 seconds
    Player 3 scores within 2 seconds.
    Player 2 gets an assist.
    Player 1 gets a secondary assist.

    We lost our big lead when we got away from secondary assists.

    Leave a comment:


  • Scrub
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post

    Me too. Historically, it is a tough gym for us.
    Coach May will have his team hit the boards hard and he has players who can finish at the rim in transition.
    if we have a cold shooting night and they shoot like they did against D&E, it could be a nail biter.
    WLU ended up winning the battle of the boards (which is surprising given that Concord leads the nation in rebounding).

    Curious, though, that May took so long to slow down. Concord decided to run with WLU for the whole first half to the tune of a 20-point deficit. But once May decided to slow the pace and exploit size mismatches in the second half, it was an evenly played game. Had he gone there from the start (rather than playing from a 20-point hole), I'm not sure whether WLU comes out with a win.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by boatcapt View Post

    Then what is the point in signing them to a NLI at all? Just tell potential recruits that the first three incoming freshmen that enroll and pay their tuition will get X scholly. NLI's are a two way street. By signing a player, the team is blocked from using that scholly money to recruit other players...that is until a player decides to back outs. By that time, the prime recruits have probably already committed elsewhere.

    Were I a new HC at a low/mid level D1, the players that WLU signed would be instantly on my radar. 1st because Ben is a good talent evaluator and 2nd because we let recruits out of their NLI with no fuss and certainly no tampering complaints.

    It would be interesting to know if other DII's let their NLI signees out of their commitment as readily as WLU seems to?
    No easy solution that is not a " cut off your nose to spite your face" situation for a coach.
    Fortunately, most wlu signees like the unique style and understand it will increase their basketball iq, which can give them a better chance to play in Europe. BTW, will yoakum is playing in 2nd highest league in Germany. Monteroso just ended his career playing in Germany and is an assistant coach, which should be an incentive for recruits.

    Transfer portal mitigates what was previously a huge negative impact of hs signee backing out.
    Can only recall two players backing out -
    1. Sincere Carry- He was legit high major guard before 2 knee injuries caused teams to back off. We got Robinson and McKinney in his place.
    2. Luke Denbow - went as package with brother Garrett to Anderson, a bad d2 team. Watched him play recently. Imho, he has not progressed much since high school.

    Leave a comment:


  • Layton
    replied
    Nm
    Last edited by Layton; 01-17-2024, 06:45 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post

    Do you see any downside to your proposed approach?
    Some questions:
    1. What is the impact on the team if a player does not want to be there? Could the player be a cancer in the locker room?
    2. Let us say the player is from the Cleveland area. Could there be a significant long term negative impact on recruiting there if you held a player who wanted to go d1? Bad optics when there are no transfer limitations after 1 year anyhow.

    if someone backs out now, there will be plenty of proven players in the portal to take his place. But it does hurt a player from an integrity perspective. I would never hire him and I am probably not alone.
    Then what is the point in signing them to a NLI at all? Just tell potential recruits that the first three incoming freshmen that enroll and pay their tuition will get X scholly. NLI's are a two way street. By signing a player, the team is blocked from using that scholly money to recruit other players...that is until a player decides to back outs. By that time, the prime recruits have probably already committed elsewhere.

    Were I a new HC at a low/mid level D1, the players that WLU signed would be instantly on my radar. 1st because Ben is a good talent evaluator and 2nd because we let recruits out of their NLI with no fuss and certainly no tampering complaints.

    It would be interesting to know if other DII's let their NLI signees out of their commitment as readily as WLU seems to?

    Leave a comment:

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