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I know nothing about Kutztown. First time the Bisons and the Golden Bears have met, as far as I know. Weather is predicted to be in the low 30s in the early afternoon on Saturday and a dusting of light snow. What are you thinking?
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Kutztown seems balanced on offense from their stats. Their QB has 0 interceptions on the year, which is quite impressive.
They haven't seen anything like our flexbone before. I'm wondering if they'll pick up the same basic 4-3 that most people seem to run on us recently, or maybe get something else to try to stop us. UTPB clearly chose to shut down Miller up the middle, with Braden Jay being more hindered by our holding penalties. KU will have to pick their poison, too.
I had to explain to multiple people at church this morning that the national polls don't matter. Kutztown, according to some metrics, performed better within SR1 than Harding performed within SR4, but obviously the AFCA and d2football.com think there's quite a difference in the level of football played in those 2 super regions.
Last year the Bisons showed an ability to go on the road and dominate in the playoffs. Here's hoping this squad does the same.Passing is a Sin -
Here’s how it looks on paper:
Total Offense: # 3 nationally (HU - 494 yds/game) vs # 19 (KU - 426 yds/game)
Total Defense: # 1 (HU - 240 yds/game vs # 2 (KU - 253 yds/game)
Rushing Offense: # 1 (455 yds/game) vs Rushing Defense # 3 (KU - 78 yds/game)
Red Zone Defense: # 1 (HU - .444) vs # 5 (KU - .625)
IMO this is a much better match up for the Bisons than the UTPB game. HU vs KU is a match up of two solid teams that efficiently move the ball in two different ways. KU is balanced (220 rushing/212 passing/game). Harding, of course, has a unique rushing attack (455 yds/game). Both teams have solid special teams play. HU scores an average of 45 pts/game. KU scores an average of 44 pts/game. HU allows their opponents an average of 9.64 pts/game. KU allows 11.64.
I see this game as a tight battle where the team with fewest mistakes win. I’m guessing a relatively low scoring affair. I’d be surprised if either team hits their scoring average.
My pick: HU by 10
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Kutztown by Fiddy. Write it down.
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KU does a better job moving the ball on the ground than through the air. The pass offense can still get it done. But the run offense is stronger than their passing offense. KU on defense likes to play soft coverage and let the front seven pressure the QB. Obviously that strategy doesn't apply as well against your offensive scheme. Freddie Retter is our best defensive lineman (21 tackles, 10.5 TFL, 8.5 sacks). He had a really quiet start for a while this season, but has been heating up the last couple weeks. Brayden Pohlman and Lawron Short are also D-Linemen to keep an eye on. Pohlman got the MVP for the conference championship game this year. Our LB's with Brandon Hile, Eden Johnson, and Brandon Strausser also do a good job with pressure on the lines. Our coaches are both awesome and very frustrating. While they do a good job, they also frustrate me a lot by running the same play(s) a lot even if it isn't working at all. Their ability to adjust on the fly is so-so. Sometimes they do a good job with it, sometimes not.Originally posted by OldBison View PostComment
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I always root for the underdog when my team isn't involved. So I hope Kutztown wins!Comment
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What you talkin bout? Kutztown is the higher seed!Originally posted by crixus View PostPassing is a SinComment
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Harding by 6 TDs.
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I look forward to hearing on tonight’s D2.com Show what Chuck Bitner has to say about this game. He knows PSAC teams better than anyone. My hunch is there will be at least one person on the show to pick Kutztown to win. This game will definitely be more competitive than Ferris- Newberry.Comment
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Unanimous pick by all five pundits... Harding to win after a close first half.Originally posted by OldBison View PostComment
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A little surprised none of the D2.com gave KU much of a chance on tonight’s show. Hoping they’re right and our first trip to PA will be a good one. I probably ought to amend my prediction to Harding by 25.Comment
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Harding wins with their biggest margin of victory in these playoffs.
I would pick all three teams Harding has beaten in the playoffs already over Kutztown.Comment
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This was actually my thought as well based on the games I have watched. Speed of the game will be the biggest factor for Kutztown to overcome.Originally posted by ReddieMade View PostComment
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They say you’re only as good as your competition. Guess we’ll find out. Because those of us in GAC never face teams for Region 1 it’s hard to know good teams are from the PSAC, MEC. NE10 and CIAA. Typically the PSAC teams win the Region 1. We saw Skippery Rock give a really good Ferris State team a battle in last year’s semis. It’s just hard to know how good this KU team stacks up against that one.Comment
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