Re: PSAC WEST
Of the four games tomorrow, I'd rank them in this order as the road team having the best odds of winning:
1. Shippensburg - Red Raiders are every bit as talented as WCU and tend to rise up under the bright lights.
2. Mercyhurst - Lakers are due in this series -- and are just better
3. Kutztown - Golden Bears went in to a surprisingly packed Millersville last night and dropped the hammer the final 10 minutes. Anthony Lee can explode.
4. UPJ - Mountain Cats are 2-9 on the road and the KCAC crowd will again tee off on Josh Wise. Last visit he was mentally gone by halftime. UPJ just doesn't have the depth to pull this upset.
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Re: PSAC WEST
Originally posted by Scrub View PostDo you think so? Isn't there a well-worn talking point among analysts on national media that it's incredibly difficult to beat a team three times in one season? I'm not necessarily questioning your assertion or your memory, as it may be the case that talent disparity in DII causes for different trends. But you often hear from national media outlets about the DI game that they think it's very hard to beat someone three times, so it would seem the underdogs have a slight edge in those 3rd time match-ups. I'm honestly not sure.
But to be totally honest, I don't suspect IUP, Mercy, or ESU to struggle at all tonight. So again, maybe the "conventional wisdom" applied to DI teams isn't applicable to DII. [Just thinking aloud here--sorry for the ramble]
It's almost unfathomable to me that Slippery Rock has defeated Mercyhurst twice. Can they do it again tomorrow night? Who knows. If Micah Till returns, what kind of shape will he be in? Of course, recall SRU beat Merchyhurst once without him. The Rock is very tough in Morrow. Strange things happen in there.
For the West to have the best showing this weekend Mercyhurst needs to win. ESU will clobber SRU if they play again.
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Re: PSAC WEST
Originally posted by IUPTrackMan View PostAll 4 of the home teams have beaten their opponent at home already. Three of them will be looking for a 3 game sweep. Only WC and Ship split.
I believe statistically when teams meet for a third time and one team has already won twice, the undefeated team overwhelmingly wins the third meeting as well
But to be totally honest, I don't suspect IUP, Mercy, or ESU to struggle at all tonight. So again, maybe the "conventional wisdom" applied to DI teams isn't applicable to DII. [Just thinking aloud here--sorry for the ramble]
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Re: PSAC WEST
One of my favorite examples of it actually happening was in 2003. The IUP men had lost to Cal both regular season games ... then went down to a jam-packed Hamer Hall and beat the Vulcans. Gary Edwards had a knack for such moments.
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Re: PSAC WEST
Originally posted by IUPbigINDIANS View PostRound 2 -- Men's
UPJ at IUP
Mercyhurst at Slippery Rock
Shippensburg at West Chester
Kutztown at East Stroudsburg
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Re: PSAC WEST
Round 2 -- Men's
UPJ at IUP
Mercyhurst at Slippery Rock
Shippensburg at West Chester
Kutztown at East Stroudsburg
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Re: PSAC WEST
Not tied anymore. Same with Mercyhurst. Had live stats ... Lakers went up 46-40 to 63-40 in the blink of an eye. What happened?
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Re: PSAC WEST
Ship escaped with a 71-70 win. Lock Haven had a nice look for the win around 6 seconds, but missed a runner.
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Re: PSAC WEST
Turn on Kutz/Ville
56 all with 8 left
Ville is packed.
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Re: PSAC WEST
Originally posted by Golden89 View PostGannon getting trounced at halftime. Not going to win when you go 9/25 with 14 turnovers! UPJ went on a 33-8 run over the last 12:26. Enigmatic Knights back to their old selves.
Gannon whistled for 15 fouls, UPJ called for only 5. Should the halftime score be GAN 21 REFS 43?
Lakers 40
SH 33
14 mins left
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Re: PSAC WEST
Gannon getting trounced at halftime. Not going to win when you go 9/25 with 14 turnovers! UPJ went on a 33-8 run over the last 12:26. Enigmatic Knights back to their old selves.
Gannon whistled for 15 fouls, UPJ called for only 5. Should the halftime score be GAN 21 REFS 43?
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Re: PSAC WEST
Four games on tap tonight ... and, a couple of them should be entertaining.
Lock Haven at Shippensburg -- The Bald Eagles pulled one of the surprise upsets of the season back in mid-January by shocking Shippensburg. The Red Raiders didn't take too kind to it, though, and returned the favor by dropping a 30-point spanking on Lock Haven in the rematch. LHU has had a decent season -- especially when you consider Amir Hinton left town. Interesting note about this one: In the Lock Haven win, they held Ship to just 58 points. In the rematch, the Red Raiders scored 100 points. LHU's only hope is to slow this game down to a 5 mph pace. The odds aren't good of that happening. Take the Red Raiders in a run-away. Ship -21
Seton Hill at Mercyhurst -- It wasn't long ago that Seton Hill was a semi-hot team. That said, they've now lost 4 of their past 6 outings. The ugliest of the recent bunch? Yep, ... at Mercyhurst. The Lakers pummeled the Griffins two weeks ago to the tune of 82-58. The first meeting was closer (21 points) but not by much. Can Round 3 somehow be different? Not likely. Seton Hill just doesn't have the depth to handle Mercyhurst for 40 minutes. Or, even 30 minutes. One thing to keep in mind is Mercyhurst looked real bad last week in a loss at UPJ. Seton Hill and UPJ are very similar teams. The Griffins' star duo of Trevor Blondin and Nathan Davis will need career nights. Don't count on a third blowout but don't count on a Seton Hill win, either. Mercyhurst -11
Kutztown at Millersville -- If you have to pick a dead draw, this is it. Consider: Millersville won at Kutztown, 94-92. The rematch in Millersville? Marauders won 106-98 in 2OT. Games that close likely means Millersville had a little luck to get two wins. Can it continue? The Marauders are tough at home. Kutztown is due. Flip a coin on this one. Millersville -3
Gannon at UPJ -- The Mountain Cats lost a Hammermill Special in early January, 64-61, but then returned the favor in Johnstown, 76-65. This game is as simple as which team can control the tempo -- and would be a Vegas oddsmakers' nightmare. Gannon is very unpredictable. The Knights look good for one game and bad the next. They play great for 10 minutes and then awful the next. For GU to win the game it must set the pace from the opening tip-off. They can't run-n-gun with UPJ. They'll lose by 20 in that style game. They need to muck it up, get physical and score at least 68 points. The latter in that equation is far from guaranteed. The winner is heading to Indiana in 48 hours. Gannon may not need to unpack. That's right, boys and girls. Despite the 11-1 home record, the Golden Knights pull out a big (mild upset) road win tonight. Gannon -5 in a Hammermill Special.Last edited by IUPbigINDIANS; 03-04-2019, 12:51 PM.
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