Regarding NCAA Regional my guess for bids is following:
GMAC - 1 - Winner of Conf. Tourney is in
GLVC - 4 - The winners of the 1st round of the Conf. Tourney are in
GLIAC - 2 - The Finalists of Conf. Tourney are in
GLVC/GLIAC - 1 - Best team left out from above gets in.
Yes, there could be a GLIAC team get hot but lose in Champ. that won't get bid.
Yes, If Drury or SW Baptist beats Indy but loses next game, they may not get bid.
But overall I think this is way it will go because GLVC is so even 1 through 8.
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Regional Rankings 2020
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A team that could easily throw a wrench into the works is Ashland. They were preseason pick to win the GLIAC and just got off to a horrible start. They have won 9 of their last 10, including a win over Ferris and road wins against GVSU and Davenport. They are a definite threat to win the GLIAC tournament.
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After looking at Schnautza's rankings, it's actually pretty interesting to see that there are seven clear teams that are "in". UIndy is likely to be 1, Ferris appears pretty solid in the 4/5 range, but then the other five (TSU, UMSL, BU, GV and USI) could probably be anywhere in the 2-7 range with little to gripe about.
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Current top 10 in various rating systems:
MASSEY
1. Indianapolis
2. Truman
3. UMSL
4. USI
5. Ferris
6. Bellarmine
7. GVSU
8. Walsh (before tonight's loss)
9. Davenport
10. Drury
TalismanRed
1. Indianapolis
2. Bellarmine
T3. USI
T3. GVSU
5. Ferris
6. UMSL
7. Truman
8. Davenport
9. Michigan Tech
10. Drury
PI
1. Indianapolis
2. Bellarmine
3. UMSL
4. Ferris
5. GVSU
6. Truman
7. USI
8. Findlay
9. Walsh
10. Michigan Tech
RPI
1. Indianapolis
2. Truman
3. Bellarmine
4. UMSL
5. Ferris
6. GVSU
7. USI
8. Northwood
9. Rockhurst
10. Drury
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Walsh loses tonight, their 5th loss of the season. The plot thickens.
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A mess is a good description this year.
If all of your regions are predicted correctly, then that puts the records against ranked teams as such:
Indianapolis 4-2 (GVSU, USI, BU, TSU / BU, UMSL)
Bellarmine 3-2 (UIndy, USI, UMSL / UIndy, TSU)
Truman 3-5 (MO Southern, UMSL, BU / NWMSU, GVSU, Davenport, USI, UIndy)
UMSL 2-4 (UIndy, USI / Walsh, BU, TSU, USI)
Ferris State 3-2 (Concordia CA, GVSU, MTU / Davenport, MTU)
Grand Valley State 3-2 (TSU, Davenport, MTU / UIndy, Ferris)
Southern Indiana 3-3 (King, TSU, UMSL / BU, UIndy, UMSL)
Davenport 3-3 (USC Aiken, TSU, Ferris / Lincoln Memorial, GVSU, MTU)
Walsh 1-0 (UMSL / - )
Michigan Tech 2-3 (Ferris, Davenport / Minn-Duluth, GVSU, Ferris)
........
Findlay 2-3 (St Thomas Aquinas, Walsh / TSU, Ferris, Walsh)
Ashland 4-4 (Le Moyne, Ferris, Davenport, GVSU / Ferris, MTU, GVSU, Davenport)
Southwest Baptist 2-2 (USI, BU / UMSL, UIndy)
Drury 1-4 (Rogers State / USI, UMSL, UIndy, BU)
Rockhurst 2-4 (TSU, BU / Davenport, USI, TSU, UIndy)
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(Posted in "Regional ranking predictions" thread under General Discussion)- Indianapolis (18-5)
- Bellarmine (16-6)
- Truman (17-7)
- UMSL (15-5)
- Ferris State (20-5)
- Grand Valley State (18-5)
- Southern Indiana (18-5)
- Davenport (16-8)
- Walsh (15-4)
- Michigan Tech (15-8)
In my weighted average, there's a logjam from #2 through #6. And another from #8 through... well, it's hard to tell exactly where that one ends, but it goes way past tenth. Among those just outside this top 10 (and potentially inside the committee's top 10) are Findlay, Drury, Ashland, Southwest Baptist, and Rockhurst.
One thing I think is clear, though, is that the GMAC will be a one-bid conference. The odds of a GMAC team losing in the conference tournament and remaining in the top seven seem low.Last edited by Inkblot; 02-17-2020, 02:48 PM.
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From the NCAA website the selection process involves picking teams based on the following
following.- In-region winning percentage
- DII winning percentage
- Strength of schedule against DII programs
- Head-to-head wins and losses against DII programs
- Results against common DII opponents
- RPI
- Performance indicator
- Record vs. ranked teams
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There is going to be a lot of teams with 6+ losses when they pick the 8 for the regional. The conference tournaments will add another loss for all but 3 teams. Still 4 regular season GLVC games and 3 regular season games for the other 2 conferences. Expect a few more upsets. Having upset winners of the conference tournaments will add to the uncertainty.
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Regional Rankings 2020
Its getting close. First rankings should come out Wednesday. I got no clue but will give an uneducated guess anyway:
1. Indy
2. UMSL
3. Ferris
4. GVSU
5. USI
6. Truman
7. BU
8. Walsh
9. Findlay
10.SW Baptist
I can't say that I even have 8 of the right teams in there. Davenport, MI Tech, Drury could all definitely make it. Got to say this may be the hardest year in memory to rank this region.Tags: None
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