How many games you play doesn't matter all that much as long as you meet the minimum.
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Early Early Look at SR4 Region
Collapse
Support The Site!
Collapse
X
-
Originally posted by Inkblot View PostHow many games you play doesn't matter all that much as long as you meet the minimum.
Thinking at the end this would put Kingsville at the rear end of all the other 1 or 2 loss teams they are tied with.
This setup always killed Indianapolis and Humboldt State in the mid 2010s when they only scheduled 9 D2 games and lost a game.
They both ended up missing the playoffs with 1 loss.
- 1 like
Comment
-
Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum View Post
Wouldn't it matter if Kingsville finishes 8-1 in D2 games (.889) vs.10-1 in D2 games (.909)? 7-2 (.777) vs. 9-2 (.818)?
Thinking at the end this would put Kingsville at the rear end of all the other 1 or 2 loss teams they are tied with.
This setup always killed Indianapolis and Humboldt State in the mid 2010s when they only scheduled 9 D2 games.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Inkblot View Post
It really depends. Playing Adams State and Fort Lewis would hurt their SOS enough to offset the difference in winning percentage (kinda weird that it tends to work like that, but it does). And of course playing Grand Valley State and Ferris State would help the SOS but likely turn 8-1 into 8-3.
I will defer to you on the expertise for sure.
Kingsville not having any non conference games puts the SOS squarely at .500 in my experience.
Then you are at the mercy of NSIC teams you tie with that might have played stronger teams in the other NSIC division of the silo schedule to bump their SOS over .500
The OOWP will end up against since the majority of non conference games were against the RMAC.
Again talking out loud. I think in the end it should work itself out to where its only a question of a seed or two in the middle.
As it stands right now it looks to be Angelo in the #1 spot, Augustana in the #2 spot, and Mines for the #7 spot at the end unless upsets happen.
Comment
-
By my count there are 23 teams left in SR4 with 2 losses or less.
Likely playoff elimination games in the region (teams that could receive a 3rd D2 loss):
LSC:
Western Oregon (0-2) vs. Angelo State (4-0)
Texas-Permian Basin (2-2) @ West Texas A&M (2-2)
RMAC:
Western Colorado (2-2) @ Colorado Mesa (1-2)
New Mexico Highlands (1-2) @ Adams State (1-3)
Colorado Mines is a heavy favorite.
NSIC:
All the 2 loss teams should be heavy favorites this weekend.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum View PostBy my count there are 23 teams left in SR4 with 2 losses or less.
Likely playoff elimination games in the region (teams that could receive a 3rd D2 loss):
LSC:
Western Oregon (0-2) vs. Angelo State (4-0)
Texas-Permian Basin (2-2) @ West Texas A&M (2-2)
RMAC:
Western Colorado (2-2) @ Colorado Mesa (1-2)
New Mexico Highlands (1-2) @ Adams State (1-3)
Colorado Mines is a heavy favorite.
NSIC:
All the 2 loss teams should be heavy favorites this weekend.
Comment
-
Originally posted by cwfenn View Post
Western Colorado has been a different team since Cummings came back. Wouldn’t surprise me if Mines ran the table, very few teams have a shot at them now.
Looks like Angelo State and Augustana are positioned nicely to win their conferences with most of their tougher games at home.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum View Post
Yup it only matters if they finish 9-0 which they are unlikely to do.
Kingsville fans will be more worried about that number than Angelo Fans.
Wtam - msu, cw, wo, utpb, wnm
asu -wo. TAMK , wnm, cw, msu
hogs- asu,utpb, cw, wo, wnm, msu
msu- utpb, wo, cw, wtam. TAMK, wmn asu.
utpb - wtam, msu, wnmu,TAMK, cwu
wnmu- TAMK, asu, cwu, utpb, wtam, enmu
for some schools their season will really starts this sat.
only team safe to say can run the table is mines. With sdsm and western Colorado really left. Nsic will get 3 in because of number of teams on the conference and play in split division with no title game. ( whatever ) and augastana has every tough game at home. They have the best path of anyone in the region. But as someone said it’s just 4 games so far.
Comment
-
Originally posted by ASUfam&fan View Post
just look at what’s left for each team with po potential oin no order and not knowing home or away. Who has the hardest remaining sched left at this point. Sorry ENMU.
Wtam - msu, cw, wo, utpb, wnm
asu -wo. TAMK , wnm, cw, msu
hogs- asu,utpb, cw, wo, wnm, msu
msu- utpb, wo, cw, wtam. TAMK, wmn asu.
utpb - wtam, msu, wnmu,TAMK, cwu
wnmu- TAMK, asu, cwu, utpb, wtam, enmu
for some schools their season will really starts this sat.
only team safe to say can run the table is mines. With sdsm and western Colorado really left. Nsic will get 3 in because of number of teams on the conference and play in split division with no title game. ( whatever ) and augastana has every tough game at home. They have the best path of anyone in the region. But as someone said it’s just 4 games so far.
Comment
-
By my count there are 19 teams left with 2 or fewer D2 losses after week 5.
D2 records only (not rankings):
Angelo State 5-0
Sioux Falls 5-0
Black Hills 4-0
Texas A&M-Kingsville 3-0
Augustana 4-1
Minnesota State 4-1
Southwest Minnesota 4-1
Wayne State Nebraska 4-1
Winona State 4-1
Central Washington 3-1
Western New Mexico 3-1
Midwestern State 3-2
West Texas A&M 3-2
Bemidji State 3-2
Minnesota Duluth 3-2
Colorado Mines 3-2
Western Colorado 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2
New Mexico Highlands 2-2
Elimination games Week 6:
West Texas A&M 3-2 @ Midwestern State 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2 @ Western Colorado 3-2
- 1 like
Comment
-
[QUOTE=Buffalo/Islander Alum;n699942]By my count there are 19 teams left with 2 or fewer D2 losses after week 5.
D2 records only (not rankings):
Angelo State 5-0
Sioux Falls 5-0
Black Hills 4-0
Texas A&M-Kingsville 3-0
Augustana 4-1
Minnesota State 4-1
Southwest Minnesota 4-1
Wayne State Nebraska 4-1
Winona State 4-1
Central Washington 3-1
Western New Mexico 3-1
Midwestern State 3-2
West Texas A&M 3-2
Bemidji State 3-2
Minnesota Duluth 3-2
Colorado Mines 3-2
Western Colorado 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2
New Mexico Highlands 2-2
Elimination games Week 6:
West Texas A&M 3-2 @ Midwestern State 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2 @ Western Colorado 3-2
Great break down. I saw the sf and augastana game. (Great game ). I agree with u about wtam and msu game as elimination game but moe
re for msu. That Pueblo loss is awful compared to 2 losses by undefeated teams for wtam. I can compare that to the 2 school of mines losses. I consider those 2 “good” loses. Western col looks like they got it together and still have mines and black hills to play. That helps wtam cause there sos will go up. That’s how angelo got a 2 seed barely being in the top 25. Cause lindenwood won out and Chardon finished with a winning record. But still a loooong way to go. @ wnmu on oct15th for asu is looking more formidable now.
Comment
-
Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum View PostBy my count there are 19 teams left with 2 or fewer D2 losses after week 5.
D2 records only (not rankings):
Angelo State 5-0
Sioux Falls 5-0
Black Hills 4-0
Texas A&M-Kingsville 3-0
Augustana 4-1
Minnesota State 4-1
Southwest Minnesota 4-1
Wayne State Nebraska 4-1
Winona State 4-1
Central Washington 3-1
Western New Mexico 3-1
Midwestern State 3-2
West Texas A&M 3-2
Bemidji State 3-2
Minnesota Duluth 3-2
Colorado Mines 3-2
Western Colorado 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2
New Mexico Highlands 2-2
Elimination games Week 6:
West Texas A&M 3-2 @ Midwestern State 3-2
S.D. Mines 3-2 @ Western Colorado 3-2
WT and CWU alternate opponents the next two weeks (WO and MSU) and then play each other. Then their schedules go in completely opposite directions. WT has the New Mexico schools and then Simon Fraser to end the season, and CWU has Kingsville/Angelo/Permian to end the season.
There is a path to 8-2 for WT, but they can’t slip up.
If CWU wins out with maybe the toughest LSC schedule down the stretch, they may get a top 2/3 seed in the region.
Comment
-
Originally posted by cwfenn View Post
Agreed on the WT/MSU game - I got that pinned down as I was starting my game notes for their coming week.
WT and CWU alternate opponents the next two weeks (WO and MSU) and then play each other. Then their schedules go in completely opposite directions. WT has the New Mexico schools and then Simon Fraser to end the season, and CWU has Kingsville/Angelo/Permian to end the season.
There is a path to 8-2 for WT, but they can’t slip up.
If CWU wins out with maybe the toughest LSC schedule down the stretch, they may get a top 2/3 seed in the region.
- 1 like
Comment
-
Originally posted by cwfenn View Post
Agreed on the WT/MSU game - I got that pinned down as I was starting my game notes for their coming week.
WT and CWU alternate opponents the next two weeks (WO and MSU) and then play each other. Then their schedules go in completely opposite directions. WT has the New Mexico schools and then Simon Fraser to end the season, and CWU has Kingsville/Angelo/Permian to end the season.
There is a path to 8-2 for WT, but they can’t slip up.
If CWU wins out with maybe the toughest LSC schedule down the stretch, they may get a top 2/3 seed in the region.
- 1 like
Comment
Ad3
Collapse
Comment