A Dummy’s Observations on WLU at Concord 1/17/26
WLU 102- Concord 70
Concord (CU) Preview
CU has about 1,800 students. Concord is a talented team that has the size, length, shooting and quickness to play with the style of any D2 team. #33 and #25 are both 6-8 and average 17 and 16 points on 57% and 60% FG, respectively. They are dominant inside. #33 is also deadly from three, shooting 51%. #4 and #11 are also elite from three. #25 is dominant on the boards. Their bench goes 8 deep with their two 6-8 players playing 30-31 minutes.
WLU must shoot well, limit the CU rebounding advantage, and tire out their athletic players to limit their minutes and/or effectiveness. WLU must avoid foul trouble; else there will be serious matchup issues.
CU Game Plan
CU was missing #33, their 6-8 leading scorer and 3-pt shooter. The CU strategy seemed to be:
- PASSED – Attack WLU inside with their talented tall, athletic athletes
- FAILED – Shoot their average. CU shot significantly worse than their average in FG% and 3FG%. They actually shot more threes than WLU at 23-20. A modest bright spot was their FT was slightly above average a 78% (73% average) on 18-23 FTs.
| Concord Stat | Season Avg | WLU Game |
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.1% |
| 3FG% | 38.2% | 26.1% |
| FT% | 75.6% | 78.3% |
- FAILED –Dominate the rebounding battle, by leveraging their height and strength advantage, especially limiting offensive rebounds by WLU. Despite their size advantage, WLU won the rebounding battle 38-31, as fatigue again played a role.
- FAILED – Limit the turnover margin. CU had 18 turnovers (11.6 season avg.) while forcing only 9 WLU turnovers.
MEC teams are following a similar blueprint to challenge WLU. Tall, athletic teams with good 1-on-1 skills, strong guards, and several elite three-point shooters. So far, it seems there is no longer more than 1 pushover in the league. CU has an impressively athletic team and was tied for first place in the MEC with WLU.
The “second platoon” started the first shift at the beginning of the first and second halves, with 3 freshmen and a sophomore. WLU was using shorter shifts of personnel, following the successful strategy of the Frostburg game. It is becoming evident there is tremendous balance among11-12 players. Opponents can never be sure of who they need to prepare for when the game starts. CU was expending tremendous energy defending the three and pushing the ball up the court against the WLU trapping defense. WLU forced early turnovers and hit some timely threes to take an early lead. CU closed the gap to a 40-38 WLU lead at the half.
CU starters played the first 6 to 10 minutes without a sub. Several starters played between 16 and 19 minutes of the first half. Like Glenville, CU played their starters too long without subbing. In the second half, this strategy was to prove to be their undoing.
In the first 2:08 of the second half, WLU went on an 11-0 run to extend the lead to 53-38. CU was getting a step slow on defense and offense. By the 14:39, the margin had grown to 17. By the 9:08 mark, the lead was 22 and CU clearly was clearly suffering from exhaustion. The lead never went below 20 and CU took their starters at the 2:35 mark. The difference in depth between the second units became evident, as WLU increased the lead to 34, with the final score 102-70.
Some keys to the victory:
- WLU played excellent half-court defense against the talented CU team, forcing them into difficult shots.
- WLU had 46% of goals from assists (90th percentile D1 is 59%), which is deceptively low, mainly because they were scoring from steals or beating their man off the dribble for layups. WLU made some great interior passes. They did a great job in finding the open shooter.
- WLU shot 50% from three (10-20), far above their 34% season average, and 57% FG (49% season average).
- WLU had an outstanding offensive rating of 137 points per 100 possessions (90th percentile D1 is 113) to a decent 94 offensive rating for CU.
- WLU had a 66% true shooting percentage, well above D1 90th percentile of 59%.
- They forced 18 turnovers while committing only 9 turnovers (90th percentile D1 is 10.4).
- WLU shot an outstanding 77% FT.
- Against a much taller team, WLU won the rebounding battle.
Areas for Improvement for WLU
- Strive to protect the ball in traffic, as CU got some steals by players dribbling in traffic without an immediate goal of attacking the rim.
- Continue to build on effectiveness of the offense in finding the open shooter, as sometimes the ball sticks in one player’s hands.
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