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  • Scrub
    replied
    Now that was a statement win. To go into the Carter Center--which has been a real house of horrors for the Hilltoppers in recent years--and put on a defensive clinic like that was truly impressive. The defensive intensity from whistle to whistle was absolutely off the charts. Granted, Concord was down their second-leading scorer, Gilbert, who was reportedly in a boot on the sidelines. And I'm sure the Mountain Lions will be ready for the return visit--that's a good Concord team. But for tonight, that was definitely a statement win worth celebrating.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI WLU Glenville Stats
    • Red cell indicates 20% below D1 median value, green cell is above 90th percentile D1 value (where D1 data available
    WVU vs Glenville 1/14/26
    Statistic Glenville WLU WLU Season Avg WLU Season Totals 2024 D1 Median Value For Comparison
    FGM 33 29 34 477 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FGA 61 65 70 983 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTM 6 27 31 257 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTA 13 35 25 348 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Three Point FGM 11 9 10 140 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    three Point FGA 28 34 24 341 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Off REB 7 11 11 158 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Def REB 24 26 24 331 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Total REB 31 37 35 490 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Personal Fouls 22 19 21 294
    Assists 13 19 18 257 d1 median 13.7 90th percentile 16.5
    Turnovers 18 9 12 172 d1 median 11.6 90th percentile 10.2
    Blocks 5 2 2 27 d1 median 3.4 90th percentile 4.7
    Steals 5 11 13 183 d1 median 7.0 90th percentile 8.7
    Turnovers Forced 9 18 22 311 d1 median 12.4 90th pctile 14.6
    Points off Turnovers 8 14 N/A N/A
    Points in the Paint 42 28 N/A N/A
    Second Chance Points 8 12 N/A N/A
    Fast Break Points 11 8 N/A N/A
    Bench Points 20 37 65 N/A
    Points 83 94 96.5 1351 D1 median 74.9 90th pctile 81
    Games Played 15 14 14 14
    Number of Possessions 78 78 82 1150 median 70.7 90th pctile 74.6
    Pts per Possession 1.07 1.20 1.17 1.17 median 1.034 90th pctile 1.134
    Effective Possession Ratio
    EPR =(Possessions + Off. Rebounds - Turnovers) / Possessions
    0.86 1.026 0.988 0.988 median .953 90th pctile .994
    Offensive Rating - pts/100 possessions 107 120 117 117 median 103.4 90th pctile 113.4
    Shooting Efficiency (FGM +0.5*3ptFGM) /FGA 63.1% 51.5% 56% 56% median 50.5% 90th pctile 55.4%
    True Shooting % (0.5*(PTS*(FGA+(0.44*FTA))) 62.2% 58.5% 59% 59% median 54.2% 90th pctile 58.9%
    FT % 46.2% 77.1% 74% 74% median 71.9% 90th pctile 77.9%
    FG% 54.1% 44.6% 49% 49% median 44.1% 90th pctile 47.9%
    3PT% 39.3% 26.5% 41% 41% median 33.3% 90th pctile 37.4%
    2PT% 66.7% 64.5% 52% 52% median is about 47.8% 90th pctile 50.8%
    Turnovers Per Game 18 9 12 12 median 12.1 90th pctile 10.4
    Turnover Margin (+ is good) -9 9 22 9.9 D1 median 0.6 90th percentile 3
    Turnover % 23.2% 11.5% 15% 15% typicall D1 is 15% to 20%
    Forced Live Ball Turnovers % of total Forced Turnovers 55.6% 61.1% 59% 59% estimate: median(steals)/median(turnovers)
    Points per Opponent Turnover 0.89 0.78 N/A N/A N/A
    Assists % of FG Made 39.4% 65.5% 54% 54% median 51.6% 90th pctile 59.8%
    Assist to Turnover Ratio 0.72 2.11 1.49 1.49 median 1.087 90th pctile 1.487
    Defensive Rebound % 68.6% 78.8% 67% 67% median 72.3% 90th pctile 75.9%
    Offensive Rebound % 21.2% 31.4% 29% 29% median 28.1% 90th pctile 33.7%
    Scoring Margin -11 11 -15 -210 Median 3 pts, 90th pctile 11 pts.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI

    A Dummy's Observations of WLU -Glenville Game - WLU 94 - Glenville 83

    Glenville (GS) Preview
    GS has about 1,583 students (as of fall 2023). GS is a very athletic, tall, and talented team. They have quick, athletic guards who are excellent three-point shooters, and who can also create their own shot. They play excellent defense. Glenville has 5 double figure scorers. Nos. 0 and 23 are good 3-pt shooters. They play 4 players over 30 minutes a game, so they may be vulnerable to fatigue.


    Here are some stats prior to the game, sorted by descending scoring average.
    Name GP MIN/G Pts/G FG% FGM/G FGA/G 3P% 3PM/G 3PA/G
    #01 Knott, Jalen 14 32.6 18.4 40.60% 5.9 14.4 38.1% 3.6 9.6
    #12 Redfern, Elijah 14 22.3 16.9 44.50% 5.8 13 38.3% 2.2 5.8
    #07 Mosengo, Prince 14 30.8 13.1 64.50% 5.6 8.6 57.1% 0.3 0.5
    #33 Colon-Lewis, Don 14 2.7 12.3 25.00% 0.3 1.3 34.5% 2.1 6.2
    #00 Maxwell, Ammar 14 32.8 10.8 49.60% 4.1 8.2 44.8% 0.9 2.1
    #22 Gadd, Rye 14 7.4 7.9 38.80% 1.4 3.5 34.2% 0.9 2.7
    #23 Boulden, Corey 14 4.8 4.1 25.00% 0.4 1.6 41.5% 1.2 2.9
    #11 Crossman, Callum 8 27.6 3.3 52.40% 1.4 2.6
    #02 Kelly, Julian 3 32.1 2.7 66.70% 0.7 1 100.0% 0.3 0.3
    #13 Kisner, Garrison 9 12.6 1.4 38.50% 0.6 1.4 27.3% 0.3 1.2
    #24 Holmes, Jordan 5 3.3 1 42.30% 4.5 10.6 0.0% 0 0.6
    #14 Stump, Trey 8.7 45.60% 2.2 4.9 25.0% 0.3 1.3

    Glenville (GS) Game Plan
    The GS strategy seemed to be:
    • PASSED – Drive and kick the ball out to their excellent three-point shooters. They had 4 players shoot over 40% from three.
    • PASSED – Shoot their average. GS shot significantly better than their average in FG% and 3FG%. However, their FT was abysmal at 46% (73% average), likely due to fatigue.
    Glenville Stat Season Avg WLU Game
    FG% 46.2% 54.1%
    3FG% 37.6% 38.9%
    FT% 72.9% 46.2%
    • FAILED –Win the rebounding battle, by leveraging their height and strength advantage. Despite their size advantage, WLU won the rebounding battle 37-31, as fatigue again played a role.
    • FAILED – Limit the turnover margin. GS had 18 turnovers (12 season avg.) while forcing only 9 WLU turnovers.
    Keys to the WLU Game
    MEC teams are following a similar blueprint to challenge WLU. Tall, athletic teams with good 1-on-1 skills, strong guards, and several elite three-point shooters. So far, it seems there is no longer more than 1 pushover in the league. GS has an impressively athletic team.
    The “second platoon” started the first shift at the beginning of the game, starting 3 freshmen and a sophomore. WLU was using shorter shifts of personnel, following the successful strategy of the Frostburg game. It is becoming evident there is tremendous balance among the 11-12 players. Opponents can never be sure of who they need to prepare for when the game starts. GS was packing the defense to stop the WLU inside game, and was leveraging their height with 5 blocks. GS was expending tremendous energy defending the three and pushing the ball up the court against the WLU trapping defense.

    GS led nearly all of the first half, sometimes by double digits. WLU rallied to cut the lead to six at halftime, 42-36. Davis played a key role in keeping WLU close, making 3 of 4 threes in the first half. GS was expending tremendous energy defending the three and pushing the ball up the court against the WLU trapping defense. GS starters played the first 6 to 10 minutes without a sub. Several starters played between 16 and 19 minutes of the first half. In the second half, this strategy was to prove to be their undoing.

    WLU finally tied the game around the 15-minute mark of the second half. They were inexorably starting to exert their will on GS. GS was getting a step slow on defense, with WLU finding Davis for open looks from three. Davis was 3-5 from three in the second half. The WLU grew to 6 at the 12-minute mark, but the outcome remained in doubt. GS regained a 4-point lead at the 4:45 mark.

    However, GS was playing on an empty tank. WLU hit open threes by several different players and got easy inside baskets. With a 6-point WLU lead with just over 2 minutes remaining, GS had to resort to fouling, WLU was making FTs, while GS was missing FTs due to dead legs. The final score did not reflect the closeness of the game.

    WLU had an incredible 66% of goals from assists (90th percentile D1 is 59%). They did a great job in finding the open shooter, especially in the second half. WLU had an outstanding offensive rating of 120 points per 100 possessions (90th percentile D1 is 113). They forced 18 turnovers while committing only 9 turnovers (90th percentile D1 is 10.4). WLU shot an outstanding 77% FT.

    Areas for Improvement for WLU
    • Strive to reduce the number of wide-open looks from three by the opponent. Some of these are unavoidable with the trapping style of WLU. GS had some outstanding three-point shooters, such as Boulden. However, their starters had bad (for them) 3FG% in the second half, likely due to fatigue from playing too many minutes.
    • Continue to build on effectiveness of the offense in the second half, where WLU was much more effective in finding the open shooter.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-16-2026, 01:03 PM.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI
    Team Single Game Advanced Stats
    Red cell indicates 20% below D1 median value, green cell is above 90th percentile D1 value (where D1 data available)
    WVU at Fairmont 1/10/26
    Statistic Fairmont WLU WLU Season Avg WLU Season Totals 2024 D1 Median Value For Comparison
    FGM 27 29 35 451 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FGA 50 63 71 921 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTM 33 25 31 236 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTA 40 36 23 298 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Three Point FGM 12 6 10 135 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    three Point FGA 29 26 31 400 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Off REB 7 8 12 150 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Def REB 34 19 24 308 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Total REB 41 27 35 459 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Personal Fouls 22 28 20 266
    Assists 17 9 19 247 d1 median 13.7 90th percentile 16.5
    Turnovers 19 10 13 165 d1 median 11.6 90th percentile 10.2
    Blocks 6 1 2 26 d1 median 3.4 90th percentile 4.7
    Steals 5 12 13 172 d1 median 7.0 90th percentile 8.7
    Turnovers Forced 10 19 23 295 d1 median 12.4 90th pctile 14.6
    Points off Turnovers 13 21 N/A N/A
    Points in the Paint 28 40 N/A N/A
    Second Chance Points 8 9 N/A N/A
    Fast Break Points 19 14 N/A N/A
    Bench Points 16 62 65 N/A
    Points 99 89 96.8 1258 D1 median 74.9 90th pctile 81
    Games Played 14 13 13 13
    Number of Possessions 80 81 82 1067 median 70.7 90th pctile 74.6
    Pts per Possession 1.24 1.10 1.18 1.18 median 1.034 90th pctile 1.134
    Effective Possession Ratio
    EPR =(Possessions + Off. Rebounds - Turnovers) / Possessions
    0.85 0.975 0.986 0.986 median .953 90th pctile .994
    Offensive Rating - pts/100 possessions 124 110 118 118 median 103.4 90th pctile 113.4
    Shooting Efficiency (FGM +0.5*3ptFGM) /FGA 66.0% 50.8% 56% 56% median 50.5% 90th pctile 55.4%
    True Shooting % (0.5*(PTS*(FGA+(0.44*FTA))) 73.2% 56.4% 60% 60% median 54.2% 90th pctile 58.9%
    FT % 82.5% 69.4% 79% 79% median 71.9% 90th pctile 77.9%
    FG% 54.0% 46.0% 49% 49% median 44.1% 90th pctile 47.9%
    3PT% 41.4% 23.1% 34% 34% median 33.3% 90th pctile 37.4%
    2PT% 71.4% 62.2% 61% 61% median is about 47.8% 90th pctile 50.8%
    Turnovers Per Game 19 10 13 13 median 12.1 90th pctile 10.4
    Turnover Margin (+ is good) -9 9 22 10.0 D1 median 0.6 90th percentile 3
    Turnover % 23.9% 12.4% 15% 15% typicall D1 is 15% to 20%
    Forced Live Ball Turnovers % of total Forced Turnovers 50.0% 63.2% 58% 58% estimate: median(steals)/median(turnovers)
    Points per Opponent Turnover 1.30 1.11 N/A N/A N/A
    Assists % of FG Made 63.0% 31.0% 55% 55% median 51.6% 90th pctile 59.8%
    Assist to Turnover Ratio 0.89 0.90 1.50 1.50 median 1.087 90th pctile 1.487
    Defensive Rebound % 81.0% 73.1% 67% 67% median 72.3% 90th pctile 75.9%
    Offensive Rebound % 26.9% 19.0% 31% 31% median 28.1% 90th pctile 33.7%
    Scoring Margin 10 -10 -15 -199.85 Median 3 pts, 90th pctile 11 pts.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI
    A Dummy’s Observations on WLU vs Fairmont State (FS) 1/10/26



    Fairmont State (FS) Game Plan
    FS has about 3,300 students (as of 2023). They have a deep and talented team, with strong inside and outside players.
    They have 3 former D1 players from Marshall, Univ. Md BC, and Wright State. They have the Concord big man in Diop.
    They have quality depth; there are 8 players that play 20 minutes or more and no one plays over 28 minutes.
    Apparently, they have designed their roster to combat the fatigue generated by WLU. They shoot 47% FG, 34% 3FG on about 9.4 3FG made per game. They share the ball with 17 assists and only 13 turnovers per game.
    Here are some stats, sorted by descending scoring average.
    Player games played min per game Scoring avg 3FGM 3FGA 3FG% 3FGA / Game FGM FGA FG% FGA / Game
    #02 Carter, Drey 13 27.5 16.3 8 20 40.0% 1.5 74 122 60.7% 9.4
    #13 Martinez, Miguel 13 23.2 13.3 35 108 32.4% 8.3 57 146 39.0% 11.2
    #03 Jolinder, David 13 27.7 12.7 16 51 31.4% 3.9 60 133 45.1% 10.2
    #22 Meredith, CJ 12 19.9 11.5 27 69 39.1% 5.8 42 107 39.3% 8.9
    #05 Peterson, Tyheil 12 22.3 8.6 16 47 34.0% 3.9 30 70 42.9% 5.8
    #24 Diop, Rene 13 21.1 8.4 49 74 66.2% 5.7
    #11 Brown, Joey 13 19.9 6.9 5 21 23.8% 1.6 28 73 38.4% 5.6
    #00 Dobbs, Zycheus 13 20.3 5.5 1 1 100.0% 0.1 26 44 59.1% 3.4
    #21 Spatafore, Anthony 9 6.8 2.9 6 12 50.0% 1.3 7 13 53.8% 1.4
    #01 Thomas, Caleb 4 8.8 2.5 1 1 100.0% 0.3 4 6 66.7% 1.5
    #23 Mangas, George 4 2.3 2 2 4 50.0% 1 3 5 60.0% 1.3
    #04 West, Jaidyn 10 8.3 1.4 3 13 23.1% 1.3 5 20 25.0% 2
    #12 Thomason, Brayden 5 2.6 1 1 1 100.0% 0.2 2 4 50.0% 0.8
    #33 Lilja, Hugo 9 4.4 0.8 1 6 16.7% 0.7 3 8 37.5% 0.9
    The FS strategy seemed to be:
    • PASSED – Drive and kick the ball out to their excellent three-point shooters. They had 4 players shoot over 40% from three.
    • PASSED – Attack WLU at the rim in transition after breaking the press or take a 3-pt. shot from the corner in transition if wide open. They shot 54% FG % and 41.4% 3FG% for the game.
    • PASSED – Shoot their average FG %. FS shot 54% FG %, 41.4% 3FG% and 82.5% FT%
    • PASSED–Win the rebounding battle, by leveraging their height and strength advantage. FS dominated defensive rebounding 34-19.
    • FAILED – Limit the turnover margin. FS had 22 turnovers while forcing only 10 WLU turnovers. WLU got 21 points off turnovers to just 13 for FS.
    Keys to the WLU Game
    FS is a very athletic, tall, and talented team that plays excellent defense. When one plays such a strong team, one cannot have a subpar shooting performance. FS won the game because they:
    • Limited offensive rebounds by WLU, limiting WLU to just 19% of possible offensive rebounds.
    • Shot far above their average FG%, 3FG% and FT%.
    • Dominated defensive rebounding stat.
    • Made many 3FG in transition after breaking the press.
    • Played strong defense, limiting WLU assists and interior passes with their length.
    • WLU shot significantly below their average in FG%, 3FG% and FT%
    FS shot significantly better than their average in FG%, 3FG% and FT%.
    Fairmont Stat Season Avg WLU Game
    FG% 47% 54%
    3FG% 34% 41.4%
    FT% 73% 82.5%
    In addition, Fairmont had an amazing effective shooting percentage of 66%, compared to very subpar 50.8% for WLU. D1 90th percentile is 55.4%.
    WLU forced 22 turnovers, while only committing 10 turnovers. WLU played with great effort and intensity throughout the game.

    Areas for Improvement for WLU
    • Foul shooting
    • Offensive rebounding. WLU only got 19% of possible offensive rebounds, where the D1 median is 28%.
    • Strive to reduce the number wide-open looks from three by the opponent. Some of these are unavoidable with the trapping style of WLU.

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Scrub View Post
    Only 9 assists on 29 makes. Woof. That's not West Liberty basketball. Hats off to Fairmont. They're a really good team and they're really tough to beat in Joe Retton. Hopefully WLU is ready to return the favor when FSU makes the return trip to the ASRC.
    Add to that 24% from 3. Two base things WLU has done very well over the years...Shoot the 3 and assists. Take those two things away and WLU becomes very beatable.

    Leave a comment:


  • Scrub
    replied
    But we owe D&E a big thanks for preventing Concord from taking sole possession of first place in the league. Odd loss for a Concord team that had really been clicking.

    Leave a comment:


  • Scrub
    replied
    Only 9 assists on 29 makes. Woof. That's not West Liberty basketball. Hats off to Fairmont. They're a really good team and they're really tough to beat in Joe Retton. Hopefully WLU is ready to return the favor when FSU makes the return trip to the ASRC.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI Advanced Stats on WL Frostburg Game
    Red background is 20% below D1 median
    Green background is > 90th percentile in D1
    WVU versus Frostburg 1/7/26
    Statistic Frostburg WL WLU Season Avg WLU Season Totals 2024 D1 Median Value For Comparison
    Factor 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44
    FGM 31 42 35 419 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FGA 71 82 71 855 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTM 23 19 31 205 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTA 31 28 23 277 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Three Point FGM 9 14 10 125 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    three Point FGA 28 36 31 371 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Off REB 15 12 12 139 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Def REB 29 25 24 286 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Total REB 44 37 36 426 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Personal Fouls 21 26 21 247
    Assists 17 24 19 229 d1 median 13.7 90th percentile 16.5
    Turnovers 25 12 13 153 d1 median 11.6 90th percentile 10.2
    Blocks 3 3 2 24 d1 median 3.4 90th percentile 4.7
    Steals 8 15 13 160 d1 median 7.0 90th percentile 8.7
    Turnovers Forced 12 25 23 274 d1 median 12.4 90th pctile 14.6
    Points off Turnovers 11 32 N/A N/A N/A
    Points in the Paint 38 56 N/A N/A N/A
    Second Chance Points 21 16 N/A N/A N/A
    Fast Break Points 21 23 N/A N/A N/A
    Bench Points 24 72 65 N/A N/A
    Points 94 117 97.3 1168 D1 median 74.9 90th pctile 81
    Games Played 13 12 12 12
    Number of Possessions 95 94 83 991 median 70.7 90th pctile 74.6
    Avg. Possessions per Game
    Pts per Possession 0.99 1.24 1.18 1.18 median 1.034 90th pctile 1.134
    Effective Possession Ratio
    EPR =(Possessions + Off. Rebounds - Turnovers) / Possessions
    0.89 1.000 0.994 0.994 median .953 90th pctile .994
    Offensive Rating - pts/100 possessions 99 124 118 118 median 103.4 90th pctile 113.4
    Shooting Efficiency (FGM +0.5*3ptFGM) /FGA 50.0% 59.8% 56% 56% median 50.5% 90th pctile 55.4%
    True Shooting % (0.5*(PTS*(FGA+(0.44*FTA))) 55.5% 62.0% 49% 49% median 54.2% 90th pctile 58.9%
    FT % 74.2% 67.9% 74% 74% median 71.9% 90th pctile 77.9%
    FG% 43.7% 51.2% 49% 49% median 44.1% 90th pctile 47.9%
    3PT% 32.1% 38.9% 34% 34% median 33.3% 90th pctile 37.4%
    2PT% 51.2% 60.9% 61% 61% median is about 47.8% 90th pctile 50.8%
    Turnovers Per Game 25 12 13 13 median 12.1 90th pctile 10.4
    Turnover Margin (+ is good) -13 13 22 10.1 D1 median 0.6 90th percentile 3
    Turnover % 26.4% 12.7% 15% 15% typicall D1 is 15% to 20%
    Forced Live Ball Turnovers % of total Forced Turnovers 66.7% 60.0% 58% 58% estimate: median(steals)/median(turnovers)
    Points per Opponent Turnover 0.92 1.28 N/A N/A N/A
    Assists % of FG Made 54.8% 57.1% 55% 55% median 51.6% 90th pctile 59.8%
    Assist to Turnover Ratio 0.68 2.00 1.50 1.50 median 1.087 90th pctile 1.487
    Defensive Rebound % 70.7% 62.5% 66% 66% median 72.3% 90th pctile 75.9%
    Offensive Rebound % 37.5% 29.3% 31% 31% median 28.1% 90th pctile 33.7%
    Scoring Margin -23 23 0 0.1111 Median 3 pts, 90th pctile 11 pts.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-09-2026, 11:05 PM. Reason: Corrected errors in Season average in various points per possession stats, due to incorrect total points for season

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  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI
    A Dummy’s Observations on WLU vs Frostburg (FB) 1/7/26 WLU 117- FB 94



    Frostburg (FB) Game Plan
    FB has 3,320 students (as of 2025). Their coach is in his second season and FB is no longer an easy win. He has demonstrated a knack for finding under-the-radar talent that is very, very good. Trey Simmons is a very quick 6-1 guard who can create his own shot and finish above the rim. He looks like a D1 guard; no one could stay in front of him. FB comes into the WLU game with a deceiving 7-5 record. They lost 3 games by a total of 10 points and they lost to Concord without 28 ppg Mike Montano, who has an injured wrist. They have mobile height in the high-flying Daniels and the nomadic Whippen brothers. They have 7 players shooting over 40% from three, averaging 39% as a team in addition to a 49% team FG%. Freshmen Finefrock from Ohio D1 Massillon Jackson entertained the crowd during the halftime of the women’s game by hitting numerous threes from all distances and points on the court. What perfect mechanics!
    Their vulnerability is depth, as many players play over 30 minutes a game, especially without Montano. This team has speed, shooting, and height. They have the potential to be a very dangerous team in March, especially if Montano gets healthy.
    The FB strategy involved adapting to the loss of 2-time player of the week Montano.
    • PASSED – Spread the floor and have Simmons and Daniels attack the rim. Simmons was very impressive, He made difficult shots look easy and finished over 6-8 defenders. Like many D1 guards, he can create his own good shot.
    • PASSED – Drive and kick the ball out to their excellent three-point shooters. Finefrock lived up his pre-game warmup billing. He was deadly when he had an open look (until he got tired).
    • PASSED – Attack WLU at the rim in transition after breaking the press or take a 3-pt. shot from the corner in transition if wide open.
    • PASSED–Win the rebounding battle. FB got some offensive rebounds, especially in the first half and won the rebounding battle 44-37. Fatigue took its toll in the second half and they were less effective.
    • FAILED – Continue to play an up-tempo style, which has been successful for FB. I can understand playing up-tempo against traditional half-court offenses. But doing this against WLU turns it into an open gym practice, which they love. They finally stopped pressing after about 13 minutes in the first half.
    • FAILED – Limit the turnover margin. FB had 25 turnovers while forcing only 12 WLU turnovers. WLU got 32 points off turnovers to just 11 for FB, which is nearly all of the 23-point margin of victory.
    • FAILED - Substitute frequently to reduce fatigue. FB got into an up-tempo game with WLU, where there was no time to rest on offense or defense. They even pressed WLU for the first 13 minutes of the game, which was a very puzzling decision for a team with a short bench. Simmons played the first 7.33 minutes without rest. By that time, he was exhausted, and his dominance started to wane. Due to lack of depth, FB was subbing after 3 or 4 minutes, but they could not afford to rest their starters long, which limited recovery from fatigue. IMHO, they were not giving players enough time on the bench to recover from fatigue.
    • FAILED – Shoot their average FG %. FB shot 44% FG%, worse than their 49% average. They shot 33% from three, below their 39.4% average.
    Keys to the WLU Game
    FB was hurt by a freak eye injury to Simmons from a teammate late (1:47) in the first half. He did not return for the second half. However, FB kept playing very hard without him in the second half, which was commendable. Daniels had a great game.
    WLU shortened the time between platoon changes and increased the intensity to a fever pitch! They were playing like mad attack dogs! Fans could feel the intense pressure on FB, making some fans glad that their playing days were over and they did not have to face this pressure. WLU was attacking on defense from all angles, creating tremendous stress. Typically, WLU plays about 2.5 to 3.5 minutes between shift changes. Today, WLU was changing shifts much earlier. See table below.

    Playing Duration by Team and by Half
    Team Statistic Time in Minutes Half 1 Half 2
    WLU Frostburg WLU Frostburg
    Max Time before Player gets a rest 2.52 min 7.33 min 4.20 min 17.25 min
    Average Playing Time per Player 1.72 min 3.33 min 2.13 min 3.57 min
    Median Playing Time Per Player 1.78 min 3.47 min 1.82 min 3.00 min

    FB also did not give their players much time on the bench to recover, as evidenced by their playing time minutes. (Note Simmons did not play the second half). See Table below.
    Number Player *=Started game minutes played Points
    10 McCarty,Zane * 33 8
    2 Daniel,DJ * 32 30
    1 Finefrock,Mitch * 28 11
    5 Whippen,Kyle * 24 8
    0 Burrows,Blake 21 9
    3 Simmons,Trey * 16 13
    30 Meakin,Christopher 14 8
    14 Slanina,Vilius 12 2
    21 Walters,Brady 6 2
    7 Kovich,Kyle 3 0
    9 Bonds,Will 3 0
    15 Cochran,Chris 3 0
    33 McFarland,Max 3 0
    24 Koehl,Will 1 3
    22 Fenn,Aurek 1 0


    I will remain puzzled by FB pressing WLU with such a short bench.

    WLU was sharing the ball extremely well. WLU had a 2.0 assist to turnover ratio, with 24 assists and only 12 turnovers. They had assists on 57% of FG made, which is just below 90th percentile for D1 at 59%. The WLU stat is deceptively low because WLU got many steals in the backcourt that led directly to layups.

    The WLU transition from defense to offense is instantaneous. Late in the first half, Daniels broke away in the open court and hammered a dunk over WLU players. WLU immediately got the ball in bounds and Landon Butler went coast to coast for a layup at the other end while the FB bench was still whooping it up. Loved it. Last I checked layups and dunks still count 2 points. So many teams relax to celebrate after a dunk, and WLU makes you pay.

    Our big men used better judgment in contesting shots. We also got some clean blocks under the rim.

    We had great interior passing for easy layups.

    WLU used very good judgment on taking threes. WLU shot 39% 3FG as a team and 51% FG overall. Their true shooting percentage was 62% (90th percentile D1 is 58.9%). Their offensive rating (points per 100 possessions) was an outstanding 124 (90th percentile D1 is 113).

    Some examples of the great effort and hustle:
    • Abdullah gets a defensive rebound in the first half and makes a great outlet pass to Landon Butler near half court. Landon attacks the rim on the dribble drive for a layup. The ball comes off the rim and Abdullah is there to pluck it out of the air and jam it home in one motion.
    • When there was a loose ball, there were not one, but at often two WLU players diving on the floor for it, with another WLU player running nearby to get the pass from the floor.
    • Players were continuing to dive for loose balls with 20 points lead late in the game!
    Overall, this was a great victory over a very talented, well-coached team.

    Areas for Improvement for WLU
    • We had some careless, routine, soft passes that FB intercepted. If we eliminate that issue and gain more situational awareness, we would have had only 8 or 9 turnovers.

    Leave a comment:


  • TopperNation
    replied
    I've been talking about this for years!!!! Ever since WL played NWMST in the elite eight, which seems like almost a decade ago, lol. I sometimes can't stand the "West Lib" way, where you continue to full court press even if the other team seems unfazed and is killing you on it. WL needs to be able to adjust at times and can't have the "this is what we do no matter what" attitude. You can go to half court traps, zones, 3 quarter press, corners...etc.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by Scrub View Post

    It looked like Coach Lamberti didn't call off the trap until about 6-7 minutes remained. And no surprise, that's when the game stabilized again (and WLU kept the 4-5 point lead steady--i.e., trading buckets at times but not allowing DE to gain ground).

    In my humble and uninformed opinion, Mike waited too long to call off the trap and guard straight-up. Once a team has gotten comfortable breaking it, all you're doing is putting yourself out of position on the next possession. DE made their comeback run by getting into a rhythm breaking the trap and getting free runs at the rim with superior athletes. If memory serves, there were many nights I can recall Howlett calling off the trap with most of the second half left to play. Trapping for the full first half makes enough sense (regardless of whether a team is scoring out of it, as DE was in the beginning of this game). At that point, you're trapping for the mental and physical toll it will take later in the game. But once the game starts to get late, if a team is comfortable breaking the trap and scoring with relative ease, it becomes a liability, and that's what seemed to be happening in the middle portion of the second half last night allowing DE to climb back into the game until WLU called it off with about 6+ minutes to play.
    I agree that it was a prudent move to call off the press. I may be wrong, but didn't they also go to a zone for a few possessions around the same time? I thought it also confused the D&E offense for awhile. It reminded me of the VA State at IUP regional when Eric Meininger was playing years ago. VA State was killing us inside. Coach Huffman suggested that WLU call off press and go to a zone with about 8 minutes remaining. It stymied the VA State offense and WLU pulled out an improbable victory.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-05-2026, 06:54 PM.

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  • Scrub
    replied
    Originally posted by Columbuseer View Post


    • WLU needs to reduce the situations where the opponent gets open drives to the rim in transition.
    It looked like Coach Lamberti didn't call off the trap until about 6-7 minutes remained. And no surprise, that's when the game stabilized again (and WLU kept the 4-5 point lead steady--i.e., trading buckets at times but not allowing DE to gain ground).

    In my humble and uninformed opinion, Mike waited too long to call off the trap and guard straight-up. Once a team has gotten comfortable breaking it, all you're doing is putting yourself out of position on the next possession. DE made their comeback run by getting into a rhythm breaking the trap and getting free runs at the rim with superior athletes. If memory serves, there were many nights I can recall Howlett calling off the trap with most of the second half left to play. Trapping for the full first half makes enough sense (regardless of whether a team is scoring out of it, as DE was in the beginning of this game). At that point, you're trapping for the mental and physical toll it will take later in the game. But once the game starts to get late, if a team is comfortable breaking the trap and scoring with relative ease, it becomes a liability, and that's what seemed to be happening in the middle portion of the second half last night allowing DE to climb back into the game until WLU called it off with about 6+ minutes to play.

    Leave a comment:


  • Columbuseer
    replied
    A Dummy’s Observations on WLU vs Davis & Elkins (DE) 12/21/25 WLU 101- D&E 97




    Davis & Elkins (DE) Game Plan
    DE has 683 students (as of 2023). DE comes into the WLU game with a 5-6 record and 2-2 in MEC. They seemed to be using one of the common recruiting templates to challenge WLU – tall, long, and/or quick athletic players who can shoot the three and attack the rim in transition. They have depth, as 8 players play >= 18 minutes a game. Okoroji and Hampton both shoot >=40% from three. Evans (6-7 17ppg), Gray (6-7 16 ppg) and Adamczyk (6-0 11 ppg) are double figure scorers, with Roach (6-2) and Okoroji (6-5) at 9 ppg. This team is just learning to play together. They have the potential to be a dangerous team in March.

    The DE strategy seemed to be:
    • PASSED – Attack WLU at the rim in transition after breaking the press or take a 3-pt. shot from the corner in transition if wide open.
    • PASSED – Limit the turnover margin. DE had 16 turnovers while forcing 14 WLU turnovers.
    • PASSED– Use their height and athletic ability to get the ball inside and attack the WLU defense in the half-court offense.
    • PASSED – Substitute frequently to reduce fatigue. DE limited the continuous play over 6 minutes (max of 8 minutes) to just 2 players in the first half and 3 players (max of 13 minutes for Gray) in the second half. Their substitution strategy was probably the best from opponents in quite a while, although they still got very tired.
    • PASSED – Shoot their average FG %. DE shot 50%, better than their 46% average. They were helped by numerous finishes at the rim. They were deadly from 10 feet and closer. DE shot 33% 3FG (avg 33%) for the game. After shooting 50% (5-10) threes in the first half, they cratered to 18% (2-11) in the second half (probably due to fatigue).
    • FAILED – control the boards. WLU outrebounded DE 22-19.

    Keys to the WLU Game
    This had to be a very disappointing loss for DE. They did almost everything right to beat WLU. Unfortunately, WLU’s offensive rating was an outstanding 122 (points per 100 possessions) compared to an excellent 109 for DE.
    WLU played with great effort, subbing frequently, and putting severe mental stress on DE. DE fatigue made them a step slow on defense, foul more frequently and reduced their foul shooting, especially in the 2nd half. WLU scored 8 more points off turnovers. In addition, WLU shot 34 FTs to 25 for DE.
    There were times around the 15-minute mark of the 2nd half, where it seemed like WLU was on the verge of breaking the game open. But inopportune WLU turnovers and transition baskets by DE stemmed the WLU tide.
    Surprisingly, WLU won the rebounding battle against the taller DE squad 22-19.
    A key factor was bench scoring. WLU had 49 bench points to just 25 for DE. In addition, WLU had an incredible 64% True Shooting %, compared to 58% for DE. 90th percentile in D1 is 58.9%.
    IMHO in the last 4 minutes, WLU had much more energy when compared to DE.


    Areas for Improvement for WLU
    • Interior passing success relies on the both the sender and receiver. The sender has to put the ball in a position where only the receiver can get it, and the receiver has to position his body so that the opponent cannot touch the pass without fouling.
    • Players need to be cautious dribbling the ball inside in traffic. Often, there are a plethora of long armed opponents, who can deflect the ball.
    • WLU needs to reduce the situations where the opponent gets open drives to the rim in transition.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-04-2026, 09:32 PM.

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  • Columbuseer
    replied
    FYI
    Team Single Game Advanced Stats
    Red cell indicates 20% below D1 median value, green cell is above 90th percentile D1 value (where D1 data available)
    WVU at Davis & Elkins 1/3/25
    Statistic D&E WLU WLU Season Avg WLU Season Totals 2024 D1 Median Value For Comparison
    Factor 0.44 0.44 0.44 0.44
    FGM 36 35 34 342 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FGA 72 64 70 703 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTM 18 23 31 181 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    FTA 25 34 22 221 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Three Point FGM 7 8 11 108 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    three Point FGA 21 23 32 324 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Off REB 10 10 12 118 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Def REB 19 22 24 244 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Total REB 29 32 36 362 N/A - sensitive to number of possessions
    Personal Fouls 23 20 20 198
    Assists 18 14 19 194 d1 median 13.7 90th percentile 16.5
    Turnovers 16 14 14 136 d1 median 11.6 90th percentile 10.2
    Blocks 3 1 2 17 d1 median 3.4 90th percentile 4.7
    Steals 8 12 13 133 d1 median 7.0 90th percentile 8.7
    Turnovers Forced 14 16 24 236 d1 median 12.4 90th pctile 14.6
    Points off Turnovers 11 19 N/A N/A N/A
    Points in the Paint 54 54 N/A N/A N/A
    Second Chance Points 16 5 N/A N/A N/A
    Fast Break Points 18 16 N/A N/A N/A
    Bench Points 25 49 65 N/A N/A
    Points 97 101 95.9 959 D1 median 74.9 90th pctile 81
    Games Played 12 11 10 10
    Number of Possessions 89 83 82 818 median 70.7 90th pctile 74.6
    Avg. Possessions per Game
    Pts per Possession 1.09 1.22 1.17 1.17 median 1.034 90th pctile 1.134
    Effective Possession Ratio
    EPR =(Possessions + Off. Rebounds - Turnovers) / Possessions
    93.3% 95.2% 0.98 0.98 median .953 90th pctile .994
    Offensive Rating - pts/100 possessions 109 122 117 117 median 103.4 90th pctile 113.4
    Shooting Efficiency (FGM +0.5*3ptFGM) /FGA 54.9% 60.9% 56% 56% median 50.5% 90th pctile 55.4%
    True Shooting % (0.5*(PTS*(FGA+(0.44*FTA))) 58.4% 64.0% 60% 60% median 54.2% 90th pctile 58.9%
    FT % 72.0% 67.6% 82% 82% median 71.9% 90th pctile 77.9%
    FG% 50.0% 54.7% 49% 49% median 44.1% 90th pctile 47.9%
    3PT% 33.3% 34.8% 33% 33% median 33.3% 90th pctile 37.4%
    2PT% 56.9% 65.9% 62% 62% median is about 47.8% 90th pctile 50.8%
    Turnovers Per Game 16 14 14 14 median 12.1 90th pctile 10.4
    Turnover Margin (+ is good) -2 2 21 10.0 D1 median 0.6 90th percentile 3
    Turnover % 18% 17% 17% 17% typicall D1 is 15% to 20%
    Forced Live Ball Turnovers % of total Forced Turnovers 57.1% 75% 57% 57% estimate: median(steals)/median(turnovers)
    Points per Opponent Turnover 0.79 1.19 N/A N/A N/A
    Assists % of FG Made 50% 40% 57% 57% median 51.6% 90th pctile 59.8%
    Assist to Turnover Ratio 1.13 1.00 1.43 1.43 median 1.087 90th pctile 1.487
    Defensive Rebound % 66% 69% 68% 68% median 72.3% 90th pctile 75.9%
    Offensive Rebound % 31% 34% 30% 30% median 28.1% 90th pctile 33.7%
    Scoring Margin -4 4 -18 -181.89 Median 3 pts, 90th pctile 11 pts.
    Last edited by Columbuseer; 01-04-2026, 03:07 PM. Reason: fixed spacing on table cells

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