Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum
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11/8 Regional Rankings
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Originally posted by Buffalo/Islander Alum View PostMy thought for SR4 is if Central Washington falls out of the top 7 playing a winless Simon Frazier. They dropped like a rock from 3 to 6 playing an 1-8 Western New Mexico team.
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Originally posted by Bearhof View PostThere is no way to make playoffs for LR when you have a Mars Hill official on the selection committee. So the fourth best team in the region is unfairly locked out by biased measures. I mean really Sav. State is even ahead in this ridiculous poll.
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Originally posted by BSURover31 View PostTwo of the more interesting matchups will be in the GSC and CIAA. If Bowie does what it's supposed to do and 3peats as the CIAA champs and Valdosta doesn't beat the defending champs, Bowie could end up with the 1st rd bye. If FSU got the upset, they would likely jump up to top 7 in SR II. A lot of football to be played. This last week will definitely be must seee TV or steaming lol.
It could ultimately come down to Valdosta having beaten 4 regionally ranked teams this season, while Bowie only beat 1 (likely 2 come Saturday). I think most people would consider a one loss Valdosta to be better than an undefeated (in D2 games) Bowie. It would suck, but this is a situation where I can't argue against the numbers.Last edited by 4_tattoos; 11-08-2021, 08:40 PM.
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Originally posted by 4_tattoos View Post
I don't know about that man. Valdosta's strength of schedule could legitimately keep them in the 1 seed if they lose to West Florida this week. If you compare the schedules, Valdosta just straight up has more quality wins than Bowie. Valdosta has beaten 3 teams currently ranked in the SR2 top 10 in Savannah, Albany and West Georgia (also West Alabama who was previously ranked). Bowie's best win is against New Haven who's ranked 4th in SR1. Outside of that Bowie's other wins just don't stack up to Valdosta's. Even if you include a win over Fayetteville.
It could ultimately come down to Valdosta having beaten 4 regionally ranked teams this season, while Bowie only beat 1 (likely 2 come Saturday). I think most people would consider a one loss Valdosta to be better than an undefeated (in D2 games) Bowie. It would suck, but this is a situation where I can't argue against the numbers.
It's interesting that UWF would play a D1 game that can only help them fill the required number of games, rather than a HBCU that can help them build their D2 resume (win or lose). UWF has never played an HBCU, how is that even possible with so many of them in their neighborhood? Valdosta State played 3 HBCU's this year and one of those games has helped to solidify them as the top seed in SR2.
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Originally posted by 4_tattoos View Post
I don't know about that man. Valdosta's strength of schedule could legitimately keep them in the 1 seed if they lose to West Florida this week. If you compare the schedules, Valdosta just straight up has more quality wins than Bowie. Valdosta has beaten 3 teams currently ranked in the SR2 top 10 in Savannah, Albany and West Georgia (also West Alabama who was previously ranked). Bowie's best win is against New Haven who's ranked 4th in SR1. Outside of that Bowie's other wins just don't stack up to Valdosta's. Even if you include a win over Fayetteville.
It could ultimately come down to Valdosta having beaten 4 regionally ranked teams this season, while Bowie only beat 1 (likely 2 come Saturday). I think most people would consider a one loss Valdosta to be better than an undefeated (in D2 games) Bowie. It would suck, but this is a situation where I can't argue against the numbers.
I'm not talking formulas or any other science, just what makes sense. VSU does have a strength of schedule advantage, however Bowie did not play a cup cake schedule. They are the one loss on a New Haven team that just beat the former #1 seed in their respective region. In most polls, when you lose, you drop.
Either way, BSU is only worried about the CIAA Championship at this moment. That's the only thing they can control
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Originally posted by boyblue View Post
Where do you believe that would put West Florida, would they move ahead of Albany?
It's interesting that UWF would play a D1 game that can only help them fill the required number of games, rather than a HBCU that can help them build their D2 resume (win or lose). UWF has never played an HBCU, how is that even possible with so many of them in their neighborhood? Valdosta State played 3 HBCU's this year and one of those games has helped to solidify them as the top seed in SR2.
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Originally posted by Bearhof View PostThere is no way to make playoffs for LR when you have a Mars Hill official on the selection committee. So the fourth best team in the region is unfairly locked out by biased measures. I mean really Sav. State is even ahead in this ridiculous poll.
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Originally posted by Inkblot View Post
That seems likely to me.
This is how things look right now.
xxw/l OWP v. 500+ Harding 9-1 .509 4-1 Grand Valley 7-1 .565 4-1 Northwest Missouri 8-1 .531 2-1
This is the most likely outcome in terms of data after week 11.
xxw/l OWP v. .500+ Harding 10-1 .500 4-1 Grand Valley 8-1 .535 ish 4-1 Northwest Missouri 9-1 .535 ish 4-1
In that scenario, I do not believe the teams would or should remain the same.
Other things to consider... If SVSU beat Michigan Tech, GV's results v. .500+ would drop to 2-1. If Fort Hays beats Pittsburg State, Northwest Missouri's wins v. .500+ would be 5-1.
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9-1 Fayetteville State's showdown with SR2's undefeated Bowie State this weekend looms large in the final playoff ranking as the CIAA could end up with 2 programs with 9-1 records. Could be a game changer this year since there seems to be a lot more parity with some conferences this year.
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