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Midway point Playoff picture SR1

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  • #16
    Originally posted by IUPbigINDIANS View Post
    Cal will be a playoff team (likely) but I think SRU will hammer them.
    ROCK D got carved up by Mercyhurst in first half. A big KO return and punt return plus 5 turnovers(all 5 turned into Rock tds) led to the 75 points

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    • #17
      THE ROCK needs to improve in many areas to make the playoffs or make any noise in them. That 6-0 record is a little deceiving.

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      • #18
        Originally posted by IUPbigINDIANS View Post
        Cal will be a playoff team (likely) but I think SRU will hammer them.
        I can't help but think that a Cal loss to Rock would keep them out, barring massive chaos in the other conferences. Yes, they beat IUP, but I still don't trust them to the point where I think they can beat the Slippys.
        Cal U (Pa.) Class of 2014

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        • #19
          Originally posted by ctrabs74 View Post

          I can't help but think that a Cal loss to Rock would keep them out, barring massive chaos in the other conferences. Yes, they beat IUP, but I still don't trust them to the point where I think they can beat the Slippys.
          IUP is .500 and not very good this year.
          Last edited by IUPbigINDIANS; 10-08-2023, 07:12 AM.

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          • #20
            Originally posted by TheROCK View Post
            THE ROCK needs to improve in many areas to make the playoffs or make any noise in them. That 6-0 record is a little deceiving.
            They're in cruise control. But they give up too many yards and points. Some of that is garbage when the outcome is decided but eventually it will bite them. I don't see them as semifinalists though.

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            • #21
              Per Inkblot Sports Twitter feed (@inkblotsports on X/Twitter, give it a follow for some good information) he put out his first bracketology for the D2FB season. SR1 looks like this. Toughest remaining opponents on the schedule included.

              1. Slippery Rock 6-0 - California, @Kutztown (state game)
              2. Tiffin 6-0 - ODU, @ Findlay
              3. Frostburg State 5-1 - WV State, @Charleston, @ Fairmont State
              4. Charleston 5-0 - NDC, @ Fairmont State, Frostburg State (this is 3 consecutive weeks starting this week)
              5. East Stroudsburg 5-1 - @ Shepherd, California
              6. Shepherd 5-1 - @ Millersville, East Stroudsburg
              7. Assumption 4-1 (via Earned Access)- @ New Haven, @ Bentley

              Looking through his site ( https://inkblotsports.com/d2stats/2324/mfb/index.html ), it appears Cal has better metrics than Shepherd, but lost H2H and is now the one being bumped in favor of Assumption for earned access. So Cal is technically #7 and Assumption #8.

              New Haven 4-1 at #9 and Kutztown 4-2 at #10. Kutztown's SOS is pretty solid at the moment, especially with Assumption doing well. Will be interesting if they win out but lose to SRU in the state game for a 3rd loss. I don't believe a state game participant has been shut out of the playoffs since it came back.

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              • #22
                More QB issues at ESU...All of them are very good!!!

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                • #23
                  Originally posted by Ram040506 View Post
                  Per Inkblot Sports Twitter feed (@inkblotsports on X/Twitter, give it a follow for some good information) he put out his first bracketology for the D2FB season. SR1 looks like this. Toughest remaining opponents on the schedule included.

                  1. Slippery Rock 6-0 - California, @Kutztown (state game)
                  2. Tiffin 6-0 - ODU, @ Findlay
                  3. Frostburg State 5-1 - WV State, @Charleston, @ Fairmont State
                  4. Charleston 5-0 - NDC, @ Fairmont State, Frostburg State (this is 3 consecutive weeks starting this week)
                  5. East Stroudsburg 5-1 - @ Shepherd, California
                  6. Shepherd 5-1 - @ Millersville, East Stroudsburg
                  7. Assumption 4-1 (via Earned Access)- @ New Haven, @ Bentley

                  Looking through his site ( https://inkblotsports.com/d2stats/2324/mfb/index.html ), it appears Cal has better metrics than Shepherd, but lost H2H and is now the one being bumped in favor of Assumption for earned access. So Cal is technically #7 and Assumption #8.

                  New Haven 4-1 at #9 and Kutztown 4-2 at #10. Kutztown's SOS is pretty solid at the moment, especially with Assumption doing well. Will be interesting if they win out but lose to SRU in the state game for a 3rd loss. I don't believe a state game participant has been shut out of the playoffs since it came back.
                  Actually in 2011, SRU went to Kutztown for PSAC Championship game and lost 21-14 (I still contend the Kutztown QB was over the line of scrimmage on the TD to tie the game). Rock was left out of NCAA Playoffs.

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                  • #24
                    Originally posted by RockPride View Post

                    Actually in 2011, SRU went to Kutztown for PSAC Championship game and lost 21-14 (I still contend the Kutztown QB was over the line of scrimmage on the TD to tie the game). Rock was left out of NCAA Playoffs.
                    I think history repeats itself if Kutztown gets that 3rd loss.

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                    • #25
                      Originally posted by TheROCK View Post
                      THE ROCK needs to improve in many areas to make the playoffs or make any noise in them. That 6-0 record is a little deceiving.
                      They should be almost a lock to make the playoffs unless they go completely flat, but doing something in them is another matter. Our region has been outclassed recently and the recruiting pie out here is sliced up too many ways.

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                      • #26
                        There’s a strong possibility the PSAC will only get three (or even just two) teams in. I think Slippery Rock is a lock and despite some doubters, they’re the best team I’ve seen this year and I fully expect them to be Cal. The East is very interesting. There’s a scenario where Kutztown could make the State Game yet be left out in favor of East Stroudsburg and Shepherd should the Bears lose. Realistically, ESU and Shepherd will finish with two losses or less. I expect one of those two to finish with one loss. Kutztown’ s SOS would have to be enough to carry them over a team with one less loss. They do have head-to-head wins over both ESU and Shepherd, and also Cal should it come to that. If Cal loses to Slippery Rock (likely), they would need to root for an ESU win over Shepherd and hope for a favorable result in the State Game.

                        Lot’s of scenarios and it’s going to be a fun watch down the stretch.

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                        • #27
                          Originally posted by EyeoftheHawk View Post
                          There’s a strong possibility the PSAC will only get three (or even just two) teams in. I think Slippery Rock is a lock and despite some doubters, they’re the best team I’ve seen this year and I fully expect them to be Cal. The East is very interesting. There’s a scenario where Kutztown could make the State Game yet be left out in favor of East Stroudsburg and Shepherd should the Bears lose. Realistically, ESU and Shepherd will finish with two losses or less. I expect one of those two to finish with one loss. Kutztown’ s SOS would have to be enough to carry them over a team with one less loss. They do have head-to-head wins over both ESU and Shepherd, and also Cal should it come to that. If Cal loses to Slippery Rock (likely), they would need to root for an ESU win over Shepherd and hope for a favorable result in the State Game.

                          Lot’s of scenarios and it’s going to be a fun watch down the stretch.
                          That finish for ESU will tell it all. @ Shepherd and then home for Cal.

                          I have no feel for Shepherd this year. I could see them winning the last 5 and finishing 10-1 and I could see them losing 2 or 3 as well. No consistency, can't get anything sustained on offense really. Still time to try and pull it together for a playoff run, and I have faith in Ernie and Kline to get it there too. The talent is there to threaten for another region title.

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                          • #28
                            Originally posted by Ram040506 View Post

                            That finish for ESU will tell it all. @ Shepherd and then home for Cal.

                            I have no feel for Shepherd this year. I could see them winning the last 5 and finishing 10-1 and I could see them losing 2 or 3 as well. No consistency, can't get anything sustained on offense really. Still time to try and pull it together for a playoff run, and I have faith in Ernie and Kline to get it there too. The talent is there to threaten for another region title.
                            I forgot that ESU and Cal will play in the final week. That might very well be for a playoff spot.

                            I think Shepherd is in. I think the Rams will beat ESU and cruise from there. As a fan though, I can see why you’re not quite as convinced. It’s always harder when it’s your team, LOL.

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                            • #29
                              Originally posted by BigCatcirca73 View Post
                              Great summary! All I can comment on is the NE-10. I've seen New Haven twice - a shadow of the 2021 &; 2022 squads. Big drop off at QB. I think Aasumption runs the table.to go 9-1 and get the only NE-10 bid. Bentley should be 4-0 but lost 2 games by 1 pt. [WC & NH]. But they aren't the team they've been the last 2 seasons. The coaching carousel has resulted in some lean recruiting years. Falcons have zero depth along the O & D lines.
                              Agreed. NH QB room is a mess and their QB1 is
                              now injured. The RB1 is also injured too. Kicker has been out too, so they don’t do anything longer than an extra point. That being said, still should have beat Frostburg if they had any second half offense.
                              Last edited by cwfenn; 10-10-2023, 09:28 AM.

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                              • #30
                                Originally posted by EyeoftheHawk View Post

                                I forgot that ESU and Cal will play in the final week. That might very well be for a playoff spot.

                                I think Shepherd is in. I think the Rams will beat ESU and cruise from there. As a fan though, I can see why you’re not quite as convinced. It’s always harder when it’s your team, LOL.
                                A Kutz/Cal championship gives ESU a date with Slippery Rock

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