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  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by Scrub View Post
    But another thing I noticed from the box score--and your recap didn't necessarily mention this, Columbuseer--is that their assists were way down yesterday as well. Against Frostburg they had assists at some absurd rate (something like 30 assists on 45 made buckets). Against Fairmont, they had what I presume to be a season low 15 assists. They were on the wrong side of the Assist-to-Turnover ratio for the first time all season. I have to assume this means they were not moving the ball well and got sucked into one-on-one AAU hero ball. I can't confirm this--as I mentioned, I was unable to watch the game. But the season low in assists is bothersome and might, in fact, impact the wild swings in shooting percentage. When the ball moves, the shooter is more open. When the shooter shoots uncontested he makes at a higher rate. It might be that simple, Boat. It might not be that they're streaky shooters; it might be that when they stick to the system and move the ball, shooters are more open and shoot for higher percentage. When they don't move the ball and take contested shots, the percentages go down.
    Could be. But whatever is making it happen, it's clear that it is a thing. As March ticks closer and the level of competition ramps up, we need to eliminate these massive shooting swings. A WLU team that shoots 41% from three with a 3 or 4 percentage swing from night to night would be extremely hard to beat...A WLU team shooting 41% from 3 but with a 23% swing from night to night becomes much more beatable.

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  • Scrub
    replied
    But another thing I noticed from the box score--and your recap didn't necessarily mention this, Columbuseer--is that their assists were way down yesterday as well. Against Frostburg they had assists at some absurd rate (something like 30 assists on 45 made buckets). Against Fairmont, they had what I presume to be a season low 15 assists. They were on the wrong side of the Assist-to-Turnover ratio for the first time all season. I have to assume this means they were not moving the ball well and got sucked into one-on-one AAU hero ball. I can't confirm this--as I mentioned, I was unable to watch the game. But the season low in assists is bothersome and might, in fact, impact the wild swings in shooting percentage. When the ball moves, the shooter is more open. When the shooter shoots uncontested he makes at a higher rate. It might be that simple, Boat. It might not be that they're streaky shooters; it might be that when they stick to the system and move the ball, shooters are more open and shoot for higher percentage. When they don't move the ball and take contested shots, the percentages go down.

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  • boatcapt
    replied
    This team is so hot and cold shooting. Huge variance between nights when they are on and nights when they are off. They have massive swings...ex. Sore to 53% from 3 against Concord to 30% against Glenville to 43% against Frostburg and slam back down to 30% against Fairmont. A 23% variance in a 10 day period over four games! Over those same four games, WLU is shooting 41% from 3...makes you think that WLU is scorching the nets but clearly from a game-to-game/consistency stand point, they are NOT scorching the nets!! Also worth noting that on most nights, most teams don't have the ability to stop Butler and on our "off" shooting nights we can ride him to a W...but clearly, SOME teams do have the horses to limit Butler.
    Last edited by boatcapt; 01-15-2023, 08:36 AM.

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  • Columbuseer
    replied
    I'll keep this short as it is cold and windy on this high-rise window ledge.

    Fairmont had great game plan.
    • put sanders and/or parris in offense corner against press. When they broke press with 3 on 2, sanders was unguarded in corner. Hit 7-10 from 3. Parris was 5-11. Hale 3-5, Dobbs 1-2.
    • They were not going to let Bryce beat them. Collapsed on him inside forcing kickout pass. First 10 mins, we were hitting 3s and had leads.
    • Bigs provided help defense when guards entered lane.
    • Limit turnover margin
    they generally succeeded:
    • After first 10 mins, press did not trouble them. Turnovers even at 16.
    • They hit 61% 3s in 2nd half to 16% for wl.
    • They played passing lanes very well, slowing our offensive ball rotation around the perimeter, which restricted open looks.
    • They have equally great shooters, equally great dribble drive guards, but more experienced bigs.
    • In general they had better, less difficult shot selection.
    • Their bigger guards gave our guards trouble.
    • Deadly FT shooting
    Perfect storm if you have a below average shooting night and a good team is red hot.

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  • Columbuseer
    replied
    Originally posted by Layton View Post
    Yikes looks like Howlett had his eyes set on the WVU assistant job this week
    Are you serious? Evidence? Not all coaches think D1 is Shangri-la.

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  • IUPbigINDIANS
    replied
    Originally posted by EyeoftheHawk View Post
    West Liberty shot only 36% to Fairmont’s 53%. That a pretty wide margin. Sometimes it’s just the building and once things start slipping away it can totally get away from a team when confidence is lost. The margin of victory is a bit surprising, but I’d just chalk it up to a bad day at the office and that’s going to happen on occasion.
    Well, I'd add I think everybody who actually pays attention knew FSU was much better than its record. They had a lot of talented imports this year. That takes time to mesh. Looks like it sure meshed today. And, they are very well-coached.

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  • Scrub
    replied
    Originally posted by EyeoftheHawk View Post
    West Liberty shot only 36% to Fairmont’s 53%. That a pretty wide margin. Sometimes it’s just the building and once things start slipping away it can totally get away from a team when confidence is lost. The margin of victory is a bit surprising, but I’d just chalk it up to a bad day at the office and that’s going to happen on occasion.
    Yes, that shooting percentage is pretty ugly. And FSU's was over 60% in the second half (including over 60% from behind the arc). It seems like it was one of those perfect storm kinda nights at Retton. Unfortunately, those seem to happen a lot in that building.

    I have a feeling Alderson Broaddus won't know what hit them on Wednesday. They are going to run into a motivated WLU team, I suspect.

    I was worried about the sloppiness of the Frostburg game creating a kind of hangover in Fairmont today. In fact, I think I told another poster in a PM that I wouldn't be the least bit surprised to drop one today at Retton. I just didn't think it would be a behind-the-woodshed kind of L.

    Tough day. Gotta learn from it.

    Leave a comment:


  • IUPbigINDIANS
    replied
    Originally posted by Layton View Post
    Yikes looks like Howlett had his eyes set on the WVU assistant job this week
    Reality is it's a matter of time. He's young and people notice. I'd love to see him at a Duquesne type just to see what happens. I didn't think you'd still have him this year (let alone next year). Although I do have serious doubts if the WL style would work in (major) D1.

    Leave a comment:


  • EyeoftheHawk
    replied
    West Liberty shot only 36% to Fairmont’s 53%. That a pretty wide margin. Sometimes it’s just the building and once things start slipping away it can totally get away from a team when confidence is lost. The margin of victory is a bit surprising, but I’d just chalk it up to a bad day at the office and that’s going to happen on occasion.

    Leave a comment:


  • Scrub
    replied
    Wow.

    I was unable to watch this one because I had to attend a program for my kid. When the program ended and I checked the score . . . just wow. WLU hasn't been that uncompetitive since NWMSU.

    I'm gonna need someone who watched that game to explain to me how that final score happened. I know WLU never plays well in Retton, and I know FSU doesn't fear WLU one iota. But I can't fathom getting their behinds handed to them like that.

    I eagerly await your analysis, Columbuseer.

    Hats off to Fairmont. Big win for those guys that should give a nice boost to their regional profile.

    (And thank God for my kid's extracurriculars. He might have saved my blood pressure by drawing me away from watching that debacle.)

    Leave a comment:


  • IUPbigINDIANS
    replied
    Originally posted by Layton View Post
    Yikes looks like Howlett had his eyes set on the WVU assistant job this week
    Odd

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  • Layton
    replied
    Yikes looks like Howlett had his eyes set on the WVU assistant job this week

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by IUPalum View Post

    That's not where I was going with that but nice try!
    In the words of Buckaroo Banzai - No mater where you go, there you are!

    Leave a comment:


  • IUPalum
    replied
    Originally posted by boatcapt View Post

    Stats and where you rank in particular categories compared to other DII teams are MUCH more important than your W/L record. Hahahahaha!!!!!
    That's not where I was going with that but nice try!

    Leave a comment:


  • boatcapt
    replied
    Originally posted by IUPalum View Post

    If you knew basketball then you'd understand that most of those stats are meaningless. That's a lot of work for meaningless stats.
    Stats and where you rank in particular categories compared to other DII teams are MUCH more important than your W/L record. Hahahahaha!!!!!

    Leave a comment:

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