Originally posted by Stanger86
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Originally posted by Stanger86 View Post
This is a great point. It has seemed like our programs have been evenly matched most years. But it's worth pointing out that we usually come out on top in these close matches.
Since UIU joined the NSIC we are 13-2 against the Peas. The losses were by 11 and 12 points (both in Fayette ironically), while we've had two OT wins and 8 other wins by 7 or fewer points. We've only blown them out 3 times, in 2016 (59-41), 2015 (34-19) and 2009 (52-24).
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Originally posted by Stanger86 View PostThis week's opponent, Minot State, enters the game 158th of 162 D2 teams in rushing defense.Sherwood should feast.
My guess is they load the box hoping to make us pass.
If we can run some play action, we might get some wide open receivers and a long td. Just my first random thought
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Originally posted by MrMustang View Post
Witt was fairly high on Minot coming into the season. I don't see this as an easy game. We are gonna have to play well to win. Nothing is easy in the NSIC
That being said, the chance we lose is low - but not zero. We're not in a position to overlook any opponent right now (or ever).
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Originally posted by SW_Mustang View Post
I'm well aware - that's why I think I called it at 4-7 with a 4-1 start. 5-6 is my ceiling as I don't think it's beyond the scope of reality that we sneak out a close win in the second half, but I also don't have much reason to believe we'll go beyond that.
If you recall, the preseason onsensus was that we finished 2-9 with wins against the next two teams, so I just think it's neat we seem to have already exceeded expectations.
That being said, we do actually have to win those next two games and I hope we arent overlooking them, but given who's in charge, I doubt that we are.
That being said, the UMD performance was what initially gave me hope, and we have backed it up since then in each game. Sherwood is a bell cow and a big key, but he's far from the only reason we're winning.
I do think we should be favored in these next two weeks. Looking beyond these weeks, I think we even have a chance in a couple games after that. I think the Winona game could be competitive, just for one example. I think 5-6 is likely the ceiling though.
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Originally posted by Stanger86 View Post
Of course we have to play well each week. There are no real gimmes in the league anymore and we have to be prepared and not overlook anyone because we don't have the talent level to just coast by teams.
That being said, the UMD performance was what initially gave me hope, and we have backed it up since then in each game. Sherwood is a bell cow and a big key, but he's far from the only reason we're winning.
I do think we should be favored in these next two weeks. Looking beyond these weeks, I think we even have a chance in a couple games after that. I think the Winona game could be competitive, just for one example. I think 5-6 is likely the ceiling though.
Winona is my potential second-half upset pick as well. At this point in the season, 3-8 is a disappointment, 4-7 is the expectation, and 5-6 will be huge. Anything beyond that feels improbable, but who knows at this point.
The MSU game intrigues me too - if I recall, they hung 52 on us last year with no response. It's highly unlikely that we win, but IMO, it's one of the best measuring sticks we'll have. On top of that, there's the obvious tie-in with the old SCSU rivalry - aside from hiring Hoffner himself, is there a better guy out there to face MSU? It's why I put that game above Augustana in terms of interest despite similar results last year.
Sherwood was a bright spot for me last season, probably the only one - and he's exceeded my expectations thus far, which is why I talk about him a lot. Statistically, he could have the best SMSU season since Tonderum (and might even surpass him on an 11-game basis). That being said, I definitely recognize the other contributions that have come. Defense is very much improved, we haven't missed a PAT, etc. etc. I think we're doing good for right now, with future improvements hopefully to come.Last edited by SW_Mustang; 09-23-2022, 12:47 PM.
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Originally posted by MrMustang View Post
Witt was fairly high on Minot coming into the season. I don't see this as an easy game. We are gonna have to play well to win. Nothing is easy in the NSIC
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That was a bit too close for comfort, but all in all, a win is a win and I'm proud of our team for sticking this one out when everything seemed to be going Minot's way.
After seeing our QB, I like him. A bit rough around the edges, but has good feet and made some good throws. A work in progress no doubt. Put the ball in the back of the endzone when it mattered most.
We split the RB duty between Sherwood and Donald who had 84 yards. Would like to see more of this going forward, as fun as it is seeing Jesse put up bonkers numbers. Was very happy again with the run game.
Minot was a lot better than I expected and I wish them to best going forward.
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Originally posted by SW_Mustang View PostWe split the RB duty between Sherwood and Donald who had 84 yards. Would like to see more of this going forward, as fun as it is seeing Jesse put up bonkers numbers. Was very happy again with the run game.
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Originally posted by Stanger86 View Post
This was really good to see. And we really didn't see a big drop in production (only from 6.7 to 6.5 per carry). Austin is only a sophomore, so I guess we are probably looking at the next era when he totes the rock.
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As I mentioned, Minot was no gimme and was a grind. There are no easy ones.
Mary is 0-4 but the teams they have played are 13-3... so maybe they are a great 0-4 team or maybe they can't win, but my point is all the games were fairly close.
Minot is 0-4 but the teams they have played are 14-2...
I expect Upper Iowa to be very close at the end, especially given the close games we always have against them.
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Originally posted by MrMustang View PostAs I mentioned, Minot was no gimme and was a grind. There are no easy ones.
Mary is 0-4 but the teams they have played are 13-3... so maybe they are a great 0-4 team or maybe they can't win, but my point is all the games were fairly close.
Minot is 0-4 but the teams they have played are 14-2...
I expect Upper Iowa to be very close at the end, especially given the close games we always have against them.
Makes me think UIU will keep it close, probably within a score.
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Originally posted by SW_Mustang View Post
Yeah, I guess I was a little bit too confident in that - but we did pull out the win which is what matters.
Makes me think UIU will keep it close, probably within a score.
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