A Dummy’s Observations on WLU vs Shippensburg 11/10/23 – 129-59
Basketball is often a game of matchups. In this case, Shippensburg had a bad matchup to start the season. Shippensburg lost much talent to graduation and has many new faces on the team. They had to spend time melding the team for the PSAC season and could not afford to devote inordinate amounts of time to prepare for this unique style of WLU. Meanwhile, due to their platooning over past years, WLU has waves of at least 6 players to attack opponent’s guards in shifts.
This perfect storm led to an initial 30-0 WLU lead after the first 7:10 of the game. During that period, Ship missed 9 shots and 2 Free throws. Ship committed 7 turnovers, all of which were live ball turnovers (steals), which led to easy shots or layups. Meanwhile WLU was red hot from three during this time.
· The full court pressure disrupted Ship’s offensive continuity.
· WLU forced 15 steals out of the 27 turnovers committed by Ship. WLU only had 10 turnovers, with a significant number occurring trying to make the extra pass or make a great play. Ten turnovers on 85 possessions are a very low 11.7%, given the pace of play.
· WLU was making the extra pass. Almost every shot was a great, open look shot. WLU had 30 assists on 47 made goals.
· WLU was playing at extremely high offensive efficiency. For a season, WLU normally averages 125 pts per 100 possessions, which is better than D1 (best D1 team was 118 last year) and all of D2 (with possible exceptions of Nova SE and NW Mo. State, who approach 125). Against Ship, they were at 142, compared to Ship at 72.
Ship attempted to address the fatigue issue by platooning 5 new players concurrently with WLU. However, WLU was much deeper with experienced players in the second platoon. It was like putting blood in shark-infested waters. Ship’s second team could not compete. As they got tired, WLU was dominating the boards and getting to every 50-50 ball.
The effective shooting % of some of the WLU players was incredibly good. This stat weighs the value of the 3-point shot 50% more than a 2-pt shot, which allows more effective comparison with post players, etc. A perfect score for a 2-pt shooter who does not miss is 100%. However, if the shooter only shoots threes and never misses, the maximum possible value is 150%. Here were the top effective shooters for WLU:
Spadafora - 125% on 5 of 6 shooting, all of which were threes
Montague 86%
Hinds 85%
Rasile 81%
Woodward 67%
D’Augustino 58%
Korte 56%
Fergus 50%
Seven players scored in double figures. All 12 players saw at least 10 minutes of action, with only 2 players at 20 or more minutes (max of 23 minutes).
The platooning duration varied from 2:17 to 4:17. The two platoons soften up the opponents and they seem to want to exert more pressure and energy than the previous platoon shift. At about the 11-minute mark of the second half with a 61-point lead, WLU stopped platooning and started using different combinations, subbing one or two at a time for the remainder of the game.
Plus/Minus scoring stat measures whether lead increased or decreased while player was in the game.
In the first half, Alpha platoon was +14, while Bravo Platoon was +24.
In the second half Alpha was +9 in two shifts and Bravo was +14 in one shift.
In summary, Ship is not as bad, and WLU is not as good, as the performance last night. It was just a bad matchup.
The Ship team will be completely different by Feb as they develop together, led by their great coach
Basketball is often a game of matchups. In this case, Shippensburg had a bad matchup to start the season. Shippensburg lost much talent to graduation and has many new faces on the team. They had to spend time melding the team for the PSAC season and could not afford to devote inordinate amounts of time to prepare for this unique style of WLU. Meanwhile, due to their platooning over past years, WLU has waves of at least 6 players to attack opponent’s guards in shifts.
This perfect storm led to an initial 30-0 WLU lead after the first 7:10 of the game. During that period, Ship missed 9 shots and 2 Free throws. Ship committed 7 turnovers, all of which were live ball turnovers (steals), which led to easy shots or layups. Meanwhile WLU was red hot from three during this time.
· The full court pressure disrupted Ship’s offensive continuity.
· WLU forced 15 steals out of the 27 turnovers committed by Ship. WLU only had 10 turnovers, with a significant number occurring trying to make the extra pass or make a great play. Ten turnovers on 85 possessions are a very low 11.7%, given the pace of play.
· WLU was making the extra pass. Almost every shot was a great, open look shot. WLU had 30 assists on 47 made goals.
· WLU was playing at extremely high offensive efficiency. For a season, WLU normally averages 125 pts per 100 possessions, which is better than D1 (best D1 team was 118 last year) and all of D2 (with possible exceptions of Nova SE and NW Mo. State, who approach 125). Against Ship, they were at 142, compared to Ship at 72.
Ship attempted to address the fatigue issue by platooning 5 new players concurrently with WLU. However, WLU was much deeper with experienced players in the second platoon. It was like putting blood in shark-infested waters. Ship’s second team could not compete. As they got tired, WLU was dominating the boards and getting to every 50-50 ball.
The effective shooting % of some of the WLU players was incredibly good. This stat weighs the value of the 3-point shot 50% more than a 2-pt shot, which allows more effective comparison with post players, etc. A perfect score for a 2-pt shooter who does not miss is 100%. However, if the shooter only shoots threes and never misses, the maximum possible value is 150%. Here were the top effective shooters for WLU:
Spadafora - 125% on 5 of 6 shooting, all of which were threes
Montague 86%
Hinds 85%
Rasile 81%
Woodward 67%
D’Augustino 58%
Korte 56%
Fergus 50%
Seven players scored in double figures. All 12 players saw at least 10 minutes of action, with only 2 players at 20 or more minutes (max of 23 minutes).
The platooning duration varied from 2:17 to 4:17. The two platoons soften up the opponents and they seem to want to exert more pressure and energy than the previous platoon shift. At about the 11-minute mark of the second half with a 61-point lead, WLU stopped platooning and started using different combinations, subbing one or two at a time for the remainder of the game.
Plus/Minus scoring stat measures whether lead increased or decreased while player was in the game.
In the first half, Alpha platoon was +14, while Bravo Platoon was +24.
In the second half Alpha was +9 in two shifts and Bravo was +14 in one shift.
In summary, Ship is not as bad, and WLU is not as good, as the performance last night. It was just a bad matchup.
The Ship team will be completely different by Feb as they develop together, led by their great coach
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