Originally posted by IUPNation
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Possibly since the population decline was under 1%. Its still too easy to live outside the city or the county and commute. There's a lot of residential development going on downtown but most of it is gentrification. Nobody's fixing up some of the better residential neighborhoods unfortunately.
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Originally posted by complaint_hopeful View PostThe new generations are having less kids...so as the older generation dies off, you have less people replacing them. So lots of areas might lose in the future.
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Originally posted by complaint_hopeful View PostThe new generations are having less kids...so as the older generation dies off, you have less people replacing them. So lots of areas might lose in the future.
So, obviously, a declining birth rate will decrease population over time, but in PA if there is growth among households with children that will more than offset the death rate. PA's high average age is a big factor with everything in the state.
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Originally posted by Fightingscot82 View Post
Yep. That's a big part. A lot of these have also lost their "destination purpose." They thrived as a manufacturing center, agricultural center, or transportation hub and none of those purposes are relevant like they were decades before. So people leave to find opportunity or wind down their life elsewhere. Look at places like New Castle, Meadville, and Titusville. Once thriving, now struggling. Out East, look at Scranton, Allentown, and York. Same situations.
A lot of the growth in the SE PA region is due to Hispanics and Asians. Nationwide, that is the source of growth, as well. Over the last 30 years or so, Allentown (or the entire corridor) has been pulled into both the NY and Phila. spheres of influence in a unique way, based on geography.
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Originally posted by ironmaniup View Post
Philadelphia's growth is small compared to the other major cities - Phoenix passed Philly as the 5th largest city. NYC grew more than Philly. Philly is a 3rd rate city. The 4 fastest growing states ? Utah, Idaho, Texas North Dakota.
BTW, how is Philly a 3rd rate city? In football?
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Originally posted by Fightingscot82 View Post
Yep. That's a big part. A lot of these have also lost their "destination purpose." They thrived as a manufacturing center, agricultural center, or transportation hub and none of those purposes are relevant like they were decades before. So people leave to find opportunity or wind down their life elsewhere. Look at places like New Castle, Meadville, and Titusville. Once thriving, now struggling. Out East, look at Scranton, Allentown, and York. Same situations.
For example, while not the booming places they were in their heyday, York County (York) still had a 4.9% growth rate. Lackawanna County (Scranton) is a dying place but still managed a positive growth rate of 0.7%. Luzerne (Wilkes-Barre_ in the same situation as Scranton area but still had a 1.5% growth rate. Lehigh County (Allentown/Bethlehem) growth rate was 7.2% and Northampton County (Bethlehem/Easton) was 5.1%. Compare these rates to the large negative numbers across western and northern PA and then consider the cumulative effect over 20-30 years and it's a dire situation.
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