Originally posted by Fightingscot82
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This is a hard game to compare stats and ranks. IUP has played two of the top teams in the region. Best team SRU has played is probably East Stroudsburg. So, I think that can lead you down a distorted path in comparing season numbers.
A big question not being mentioned much is how the SRU defense is going to hold up. They haven't faced a good QB all year, let alone a good QB with the caliber of IUP's WRs and TEs. Winless Wayne State is probably the best offense SRU has faced and they don't throw the ball.
IUP has a different defense since Shepherd torched them. With some changes and also guys back, they are at least better than they were then. Aside from the secondary being torched that day, IUP also played without starting LB Connor Kelly and its best pass rusher in Vaughn Wallace. They are both healthy now. Randy Washington is also back which is a big addition. This isn't a great defense by any means but it is slowly getting better. Why they can't get any sacks with all that talent up front is beyond baffling. They don't blitz much. I can tell you that much. Not sure if that is in part trying to drop more guys back to help the freshmen back there or not. I don't know the 'game inside the game' well enough.
The weather is what it is. They both have to play in it.
End of the day ...
I see both QBs having field days. Both teams will rush for about the same. Which defense can force the most punts (I don't think the punters will be real busy). One turnover could tell the tale. This game may set a PSAC record for combined penalties. Aside from each teams normal stuff, I'd fully anticipate several personal fouls, unsportsmanlike, etc. If IUP survives the first half, I like its chances. Big if, by the way.
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