MIAA Week 10 Column

November 2nd, 2022 9:00pm

MIAA Week 10 Column

The playoffs are only two weeks away. Let’s take a look at the teams with two or fewer losses in Super Region Three. 


GAC (3): Ouachita Baptist (9-0), Harding (7-2) and Henderson State (7-2)

GLIAC (3): Grand Valley (9-0), Davenport (8-0) and Ferris State (7-1).

GLVC (2): Indianapolis (7-1) and Truman State (7-1).

MIAA (3): Pittsburg State (9-0), Emporia State (7-2) and Northwest Missouri (7-2).

*A couple things to note on the teams above. Grand Valley has a 8-0 Division II record, Davenport is 7-0, Ferris State is 6-1 and Indianapolis is 6-1.


That is 11 teams battling for seven spots. 


Here is a chart with the remaining schedule for the 11 teams still in playoff contention.



Week 10

Week 11


Grand Valley

Wayne State (1-7)

at Davenport (8-0)


Pittsburg State

at Washburn (6-3)

Fort Hays (2-7)


Ferris State

Davenport (8-0)

at Wayne State (1-7)


Ouachita Baptist

at SE Oklahoma (6-3)

at Henderson State (7-2)



at Ferris State (7-1)

Grand Valley (9-0)


Truman State

McKendree (5-4)

at Indianapolis (7-1)



at William Jewell (1-8)

Truman State (7-1)



at SW Oklahoma (3-6)

Arkansas Tech (4-5)


Emporia State

at Lincoln (0-9)

Northwest Missouri (7-2)


Northwest Missouri

Missouri Southern (4-4)

at Emporia State (6-2)


Henderson State

Oklahoma Baptist (1-8)

Ouachita Baptist (9-0)



At this point, I believe four teams have all but locked in their playoff spot. Grand Valley, Pittsburg State, Ferris State and Ouachita Baptist. Davenport is most likely in as well after beating Saginaw Valley last week. Even with losses to Ferris State and Grand Valley to end the year, Davenport should be in as well. Especially with the head to head tiebreaker over Truman State. The winner of the Truman State at Indianapolis game in week 11 will be in the playoffs as well.
This leaves one spot left up for grabs. Will the committee take a two-loss MIAA team (winner of Northwest Missouri at Emporia State), a two-loss GAC team (Harding or Henderson State) or a second GLVC team (loser of Truman State at Indianapolis). The numbers would lean towards the second two-loss GLVC team, but recent history in this region would point to either the MIAA or GAC two-loss team to get into the playoffs. 

If you are a fan of Emporia State or Northwest Misosuri, you are rooting for McKendree to beat Truman State and then Truman State to beat Indianapolis and for Ouachita Baptist to beat Henderson State. 

My prediction for the seven final playoff teams:

  1. Grand Valley

  2. Pittsburg State

  3. Ouachita Baptist

  4. Ferris State

  5. Indianapolis

  6. Davenport

  7. Northwest Missouri

There is a scenario where a two-loss Truman State beat makes the playoffs over a two-loss MIAA team and for Pittsburg State to slide down to the four seed. If that were to happen, I would expect the silo scheduling in the MIAA to be voted against in the offseason.


Week Nine Game Recaps

Northwest Missouri 28 Nebraska-Kearney 24
A tremendous game between two playoff caliber teams. I had a great time watching this game in person last week. A solid crowd of 4200 showed up despite the Nebraska Cornhuskers playing at the same time down the road (why you would choose to watch that disaster over this game is beyond me). Nebraska-Kearney actually came out throwing in this game and found success through the air. The Lopers offense completed four passes over 30 yards and had one run for over 30 yards. But the difference in this game was the offensive line for Northwest Missouri. The Bearcats ran for 312 yards on the day including 150 yards on 17 attempts in the fourth quarter. The Lopers took a 10 point lead into the fourth quarter but could not hold off the Bearcats late surge. 


Pittsburg State 38 Central Oklahoma 7
The Gorillas are playing tremendous football right now. Central Oklahoma had under 175 yards of total offense before their last drive of the game when the Bronchos were down 38-0. Central Oklahoma is back sliding right now and is on the brink of finishing under .500 on the year. Congrats to Pittsburg State for clinching a share of the MIAA title with two weeks left. 


Missouri Western 31 Missouri Southern 27
This was a big win for Missouri Western. The Griffons had been on the struggle bus since the week two win at Fort Hays. It was also good to see Missouri Western go three of four in the end zone including scoring two touchdowns. That had been a problem all year for Missouri Western.


Emporia State 42 Fort Hays 14 
Another dominant performance by Emporia State. The Hornets are playing great football right now, Fort Hays could not run the ball and the Hornets offense did whatever it wanted to all day. Luckily for the Tigers, there are only two games left in the season. 


Washburn 21 Northeastern State 17
I still cannot figure out how this game happened. Northeastern State held the top scoring offense in the MIAA to six points in the first half. Despite turning the ball over three times in the second half, the Ichabods overcame an 11 point halftime deficit to avoid the upset of the year. Washburn lost the turnover battle three to zero and went 3/14 on third down. 


Central Missouri 61 Lincoln 14
The one thing I wanted to see Central Missouri do in this game was run the ball. Well, the Mules ran for 225 yards, including 12 first down on the ground. Shoutout to Cedric Case for throwing six touchdowns as well.


MIAA Week 10 Power Rankings

  1. Pittsburg State –

  2. Emporia State --

  3. Northwest Missouri --

  4. Nebraska-Kearney --

  5. Washburn --

  6. Missouri Western +2

  7. Missouri Southern --

  8. Central Oklahoma -2

  9. Fort Hays --

  10. Central Missouri --

  11. Northeastern State --

  12. Lincoln --


MIAA Picks

Last Week: 5-1 (83.3%)

Season: 40-14 (74.1%)


Week 10 Game Previews

I looked back at my picks last year and I am actually doing better this year by one game. I need to go 5-1 or better this week to continue to beat myself. 


Game of the Week: #4 Pittsburg State (9-0) at Washburn (6-3)
Saturday, 1pm
All-time series: Pittsburg State leads 63-27-1
Last Year: Washburn won 28-26.


Pittsburg State


Points Scored

32.9 (4th)

33.8 (1st)

Points Allowed

14.3 (1st)

22.3 (5th)

Total Offense

395.9 (5th)

424.1 (2nd)

Total Defense

275.2 (2nd)

370.9 (6th)

Pass Yards

246.7 (4th)

287.3 (2nd)

Pass Yards Allowed

174.2 (1st)

240.2 (10th)

Rush Yards

149.2 (6th)

136.8 (8th)

Rush Yards Allowed

101.0 (2nd)

130.7 (3rd)

Pittsburg State can clinch the outright MIAA title with a win at Washburn this week. Last year Washburn won in Pittsburg on a blocked field goal to end the game. The Gorillas are playing fantastic football right now and are primed for a playoff run. Washburn will present a few interesting challenges. The Ichabods have the top offense in the MIAA with a dynamic passing attack. Pittsburg State was able to hold Emporia State’s dynamic offense to 13 points earlier in the year. Washburn’s struggles against Northeastern State last week is troubling and I believe Pittsburg State keeps their undefeated season alive.

Pittsburg State 34 Washburn 24


Missouri Southern (4-5) at #11 Northwest Missouri (7-2)
Saturday, 1:30pm
All-time series: Northwest Missouri leads 28-4.
Last Year: Northwest Missouri won 49-7.


Missouri Southern

Northwest Missouri

Points Scored

23.7 (7th)

29.2 (5th)

Points Allowed

23.7 (7th)

17.0 (2nd)

Total Offense

328.7 (10th)

406.0 (3rd)

Total Defense

373.0 (7th)

266.3 (1st)

Pass Yards

159.8 (10th)

232.0 (6th)

Pass Yards Allowed

200.7 (4th)

219.6 (9th)

Rush Yards

168.9 (4th)

174.0 (3rd)

Rush Yards Allowed

172.3 (10th)

46.8 (1st)

I expect a low scoring game in Maryville this week. Missouri Southern has an improved defense but the offense struggles to move the ball, especially through the air. I believe Northwest Missouri unlocked something in the offense last week with the running game. The Lions have struggled to stop the run this year, look for the Bearcats to exploit that on Saturday. Northwest Missouri wins by a couple scores, but control the game from start to finish. 

Northwest Missouri 27 Missouri Southern 13


Central Oklahoma (5-4) at Nebraska-Kearney (6-3)
Saturday, 12pm
All-time series: Central Oklahoma leads 6-4.
Last Year: Nebraska-Kearney won 37-22.


Central Oklahoma


Points Scored

24.0 (6th)

33.2 (3rd)

Points Allowed

23.2 (7th)

20.9 (4th)

Total Offense

344.3 (9th)

395.1 (6th)

Total Defense

344.1 (5th)

379.2 (8th)

Pass Yards

201.7 (7th)

135.1 (12th)

Pass Yards Allowed

204.3 (5th)

210.3 (7th)

Rush Yards

142.7 (7th)

260.0 (1st)

Rush Yards Allowed

139.8 (5th)

168.9 (9th)

The motivations for these teams will be interesting going forward. Central Oklahoma went from playoff hopeful to fighting to finish the year above .500 after blowout losses to Pittsburg State and Washburn. Nebraska-Kearney had a defacto home playoff loss last week. How motivated will the Lopers be in this game? Give me the Loppers to bounce back this week. TJ Davis and company are just a better team this year.

Nebraska-Kearney 30 Central Oklahoma 17


Missouri Western (4-5) at Central Missouri (3-6)
Saturday, 1pm
All-time series: Series tied 18-18-1.
Last Year: Missouri Western won 59-28.


Missouri Western

Central Missouri

Points Scored

22.7 (10th)

23.6 (8th)

Points Allowed

24.3 (8th)

26.4 (9th)

Total Offense

396.2 (4th)

371.2 (7th)

Total Defense

341.6 (4th)

383.4 (9th)

Pass Yards

192.7 (8th)

249.8 (3rd)

Pass Yards Allowed

178.4 (2nd)

218.8 (8th)

Rush Yards

203.6 (2nd)

121.4 (9th)

Rush Yards Allowed

163.1 (7th)

164.7 (8th)

This is a big game for the Griffons. With a win, Missouri Western can secure a winning record on the season (Missouri Western plays Lincoln next week). I like how Missouri Western matchups up with Central Missouri in this game. The Griffons have a stout pass defense that can limit the Mules passing attack. Central Missouri has one of the worst rushing attacks in the MIAA. On the other side of the ball, the Griffons have the second best rushing attack in the MIAA and the Mules have struggled stopping the run all year. The Griffons still struggle in the red zone but pull out a close win.

Missouri Western 24 Central Missouri 20


Northeastern State (1-8) at Fort Hays (2-7)
Saturday, 1pm
All-time series: Fort Hays leads 7-2.
Last Year: Fort Hays won 64-6.


Northeastern State

Fort Hays

Points Scored

15.2 (11th)

23.4 (9th)

Points Allowed

33.4 (11th)

31.2 (10th)

Total Offense

238.0 (12th)

362.4 (8th)

Total Defense

403.6 (11th)

400.8 (10th)

Pass Yards

143.2 (11th)

245.4 (5th)

Pass Yards Allowed

210.1 (6th)

244.3 (11th)

Rush Yards

94.8 (11th)

117.0 (10th)

Rush Yards Allowed

193.4 (11th)

156.4 (6th)

This game actually has some intrigue. I still expect Fort Hays to win, especially with this game being in Hays. Northeastern State nearly upset Missouri Western and Washburn over the last month, but both of those games were in Tahlequah. I cannot pick the Riverhawks with their punchless offense to win on the road.. The Tigers survive and get win number three on the year.

Fort Hays 24 Northeastern State 17


#20 Emporia State (7-2) at Lincoln (0-9)
Saturday, 2pm
All-time series: Emporia State leads 6-2.
Last Year: Emporia State won 56-21.


Emporia State


Points Scored

33.3 (2nd)

11.7 (12th)

Points Allowed

20.2 (3rd)

50.0 (12th)

Total Offense

447.2 (1st)

266.9 (11th)

Total Defense

330.2 (3rd)

507.8 (12th)

Pass Yards

296.8 (1st)

181.6 (9th)

Pass Yards Allowed

194.4 (3rd)

276.6 (12th)

Rush Yards

150.4 (5th)

85.3 (12th)

Rush Yards Allowed

135.8 (4th)

231.2 (12th)

This is the perfect tune up game for the Hornets to get healthy for the season finale game at home against Northwest Missouri. I do not expect Emporia State to have any issues at Lincoln. 

Emporia State 69 Lincoln 0